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Tuesday, 14 July 2009

UN's Ban Says Than Shwe Pledged Fair Election, But Suu Kyi Can't Run, Military Seats

UN's Ban Says Than Shwe Pledged Fair Election, But Suu Kyi Can't Run, Military Seats

Byline: Matthew Russell Lee of Inner City Press at the UN: News Analysis

UNITED NATIONS, July 13 -- Myanmar's purported election slated for 2010 requires that one quarter of the seat go to candidates with military backgrounds, and precludes opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi from running for office, since she married a foreigner.

Nevertheless, UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon on July 13 told the Security Council that during his recent visit, Myanmar's "Senior General Than Shwe has pledged to make the elections free and fair."

After Mr. Ban spoke to the Council, he came to the Council stakeout to take four questions. Since the other questions ranged from Lebanon through Sudan to Srebenica, Inner City Press went first, asking about Myanmar:

Inner City Press: Mr. Secretary-General, you said that [Senior General] Than Shwe has committed to make the elections free and fair. But the constitution that was passed right after the cyclone says that a quarter of the seats have to go to people with military backgrounds, and that Aung San Suu Kyi couldn’t run because she married a foreigner. Under those conditions, how can you believe that the elections are going to be free, fair or credible?

SG Ban: I urged Senior General Than Shwe that this election should be fair and free, but also legitimate, inclusive and credible. To be credible and legitimate, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and all political prisoners should be released. I emphasized that, without participation of Aung San Suu Kyi, without her being able to campaign freely, and without her NLD party [being able] to establish party offices all throughout the provinces, this election may not be regarded as credible and legitimate.

Inner City Press: Should she be a candidate?

SG Ban: That is what I am going to continue to follow up. You have heard the Permanent Representative of Myanmar saying that his Government is now taking some procedures to allow some amnesty. But I’m not quite sure who will be included in this amnesty. But I have made it quite clear that Daw Aung San Suu Kyi in particular should be released and free to participate in the election. [Video here.]

The question is, by "free to participate" does Ban Ki-moon mean "free to run for office"? Because the Constitution which Myanmar pushed through during the time of Cyclone Nargis prohibit a person who had a foreign spouse, even if as is the case with Ms. Suu Kyi the spouse has died, from running for office.


UN's Ban and Than Shwe shake: Constitution not shown

Inner City Press has repeatedly asked Ban's spokesperson and his envoy to Myanmar, Ibrahim Gambari, for the UN's position on Myanmar's constitution, whether any "free and fair" election is possible under its terms. The UN has thus far refuse to comment on that constitution, calling into question its commitment to free and fair elections.

Mr. Gambari last week affably told Inner City Press to please wait for him to comment, until after Ban Ki-moon briefed the Council. After the briefing and the stakeout, Inner City Press called out after Ban and Gambari, respectively, "travel safely" (to Egypt for the Non-Aligned Movement meeting) and "now you can talk." Gambari replied, the boss had just spoken. But what is the UN's position on the Myanmar constitution? Watch this site.

Footnote: Beyond his failure to meet during his visit with Aung San Suu Kyi, questions that have arisen since the trip include reports that even the former armed groups Mr. Ban met with were told what to say by the regime of General Than Shwe, and that he listened to opposition groups only two minutes each. Of the former issue, Ban's spokesperson Michele Montas told Inner City Press last week that Ban "would be become aware of it." On the latter, Ms. Montas said she didn't know how long each opposition group got with her boss. Presumably he does. We will await more answers.

* * *
At UN on Myanmar, Ban Is Asked to Not "Mislead" the Council as Groups Says Gambari Did

Byline: Matthew Russell Lee of Inner City Press at the UN: News Analysis

UNITED NATIONS, July 13, update -- Ten days after his fruitless visit to Myanmar, Secretary General Ban Ki-moon returned to the UN in New York to brief the Security Council and then take limited questions from the press. Beyond his failure to meet with opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi, questions that have arisen since the trip include reports that even the former armed groups Mr. Ban met with were told what to say by the regime of General Than Shwe, and that he listened to opposition groups only two minutes each.

Of the former issue, Ban's spokesperson Michele Montas told Inner City Press last week that Ban "would be become aware of it." On the latter, Ms. Montas said she didn't know how long each opposition group got with her boss. Presumably he does.

Given the format, with Ban briefing at 11:30 and taking press questions at the Security Council stakeout at 12:30, it seems unlikely that the Security Council members will have a substantive debate of how to proceed on Myanmar.

The show trial of Aung San Suu Kyi, suspended the day Ban was in the country, has resumed, and she faced five more years in detention. The government proceeds toward a 2010 election in which the military is guaranteed at least one quarter of the seats, and those like Suu Kyi who married foreigners are deemed ineligible to run.

Hours before Ban's briefing, All Burma Monk's Alliance (ABMA), the 88 Generation Students, and All Burma Federation of Student Unions (ABFSU) submitted a letter to him -- copy here.


In Myanmar, rule of law or rule of the gun?

The letter states that

"it would be wrong for you to mislead the international community by saying that the military regime will consider your proposals seriously. The previous inaccurate and misguided reporting by your Special Envoy after his failed visits have already caused the international community to wait and see without taking action, while the people of Burma, including ethnic minorities, have been suffering crimes against humanity continuously. We urge you to recognize the ineffectiveness of the current diplomatic approach without the strong backing from the UN Security Council with a binding resolution to deal with Burma’s military regime."

What will Ban say about these issues? Watch this space.

Update of 11:34 a.m. -- Ban advisers Nambiar, Pascoe and Kim have gone in. Most of the assembly press are asking not about Myanmar but about the North Korea sanctions committee, meeting in the basement. A diplomat tells Inner City Press the format: Ban and then the Myanmar Ambassador, then members of the Council. "No output expected." At 11:34 a.m., Ban and Gambari rush in.

Update of 11:57 a.m. -- After Ban Ki-moon recited Than Shwe's pledge to make the 2010 elections "free and fair," Myanmar's Ambassador topped him with this whopper, that the election will be "credible."

Update of 12:32 p.m. -- For the U.S., rather than Permanent Representative Susan Rice, Rosemary DiCarlo was the speaker. She called on the "Burmese generals" to make good on their statement that cooperation with the UN is a "cornerstone of the foreign policy of Myanmar."

Update: after the Council meeting, Inner City Press managed to ask Ban Ki-moon two questions about Myanmar - click here.

* * *
At UN, Ban's Two Minute Myanmar Drill May Lead to Grill Monday Between Trips

Byline: Matthew Russell Lee of Inner City Press at the UN: News Analysis

UNITED NATIONS, July 10, updated -- As the closed door show trial of Aung San Suu Kyi resumed on July 10, the UN's pass the buck approach to Myanmar continued. In the wake of Secretary General Ban Ki-moon's ill-fated, some say humiliating meetings with dictator Than Shwe, it was Ban's envoy Ibrahim Gambari who briefed the Group of Friends on Myanmar on July 8, rather than Ban.

Security Council members told Inner City Press that Ban himself would brief the Council. A Council staffer told Inner City Press that it would take place in an open meeting on Monday, July 13.

But when Inner City Press asked Ban's political advisor Lynn Pascoe on July 9, he said, "it's up to the Council." And when Inner City Press asked the head of the Turkish Mission to the UN, he said, it's up to the Secretary General.

On July 10, diplomats told Ban has been requested to formally brief the Council, but since Monday will be his only day in headquarters before heading out again, to the meeting of the Non Aligned Movement in Egypt, Myanmar may be related to one of many topics at the Council's closed door luncheon with Ban.

In terms of what Ban should expect be asked or grilled about, consider this account of Ban's meetings with the opposition, a mere two minutes each:

The regime invited the National League for Democracy to send five CEC members to Nay Pyi Taw to meet with Ban Ki-moon. U Aung Shwe replied with a list of five, including U Win Tin. The regime replied that they would not allow U Win Tin to meet Ban. Then, Police Special Branch picked up the four CEC members on the July 2nd, brought them to Nay Pyi Taw.

On the afternoon of July 3rd, representatives from all ten registered parties, including NLD, were allowed to meet with Ban for an hour. Ban made an opening speech.

In his speech, Ban said that the government is carrying out a seven-step roadmap, and is now at the fifth step, which is to hold the election. He said that the government promised him that they will conduct the election free and fair. He also said that he and UN also will try to make the election free and fair.

Then all parties were allowed to present their stance for two minutes each.


UN's Ban arrives in Yangon, two minutes per group, airport to airport

U Khin Maung Gyi from National Unity Party said that his party wants the regime to hold the election in 2010 and he does not want any postponement. He asked Ban to make this happens. Then U Nyunt Wai (NLD) stood and said that NLD would not accept the two minutes limit and it would not be possible to present important political matters in two minutes. Then he sat down. Ban was shocked. Then other parties presented their position in two allotted minutes. The NLD "Uncles" didn’t say anything.

After the meeting, Ban’s assistant approached the Uncles and invited them to follow with him to Ban’s bedroom. Only then, Uncles were allowed to meet with Ban alone in his bedroom for 10 minutes.

The Uncles told him four points that (a) Aung San Suu Kyi and all political prisoners should be released, (b) meaningful political dialogue between the regime and democratic opposition should be realized, (c) the 1990 election result should be recognized by some ways, and (d) the 2008 Constitution should be revised to be satisfactory of all parties concerned. Ban asked more details for these positions and they explained.

The Uncles believe that Ban was not well informed or reported to by his Special Adviser and staff. He didn’t realize the magnitude of the problems.

So will Ban be asked about this by Council members on July 13? As happened during Team Ban's hand selection of which reporters could cover Ban's trip, will questions to Ban on this be allowed at his promised "monthly" press conference?

Update of 12:09 p.m. -- at the UN's noon briefing just now, Ban's spokesperson announced Ban will brief the Council on Monday at 10 a.m., and then will go to the Council stakeout around 11. This apparently will constitute Ban's monthly "press conference." Will he answer the above?

Update of 2 p.m. -- later in the noon briefing, Inner City Press asked Ban's spokesperson Michele Montas to confirm or deny that two minutes was given to each opposition group. Ms. Montas said she didn't know how much time was given, but that Ban addressed the elections in his speech while in Myanmar. But what Iabout the constitution? nner City Press asked again about reports that one or more of the former armed groups that Ban met with was told by the government what to say. Ms. Montas had said that Ban would be become aware of this, and presumably would comment. On July 10, Montas made was appeared to be her own answer: that Ban could only ask to meet groups, not that they be free in what they could say to him. Watch this site.

* * *
As Group of Friends on Myanmar Meets at the UN, UK Perm Rep Sawers Doesn't Friend Them Despite UK Push for Trip

Byline: Matthew Russell Lee of Inner City Press at the UN: News Analysis

UNITED NATIONS, July 8 -- In the run up to the trip to Myanmar by UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon and his envoy Ibrahim Gambari, Prime Minister Gordon Brown told the House of Commons that the UK had urged Ban to go to Burma. The trip took place; General Than Shwe rejected Ban's request to meet with opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi; nearly everyone called the endeavor a failure.

With Ban still out of New York, at the G-8 meetings in Italy, Gambari descended to the UN basement on July 8 to brief the 14 countries on Ban's Group of Friends on Myanmar. Notably, UK Permanent Representative John Sawers was not present, unlike his counterparts from Japan, Indonesia and Singapore, among others. Some some suspected Facebook fallout -- and joked of Sawers not "friending" the Group -- others questioned the UK being so loud before the trip, and so quiet afterwards, at least in public.

Gambari, normally affable, rushed into the meeting room. UN staff have confirmed to Inner City Press that Than Shwe in a fit of pique made Gambari travel to the country's jungle capital by road, rather than by air. Reportedly, surrounded by the Ban-selected scribes on this most recent trip, Gambari wished for the presence of other reporters, to witness the indignities and discomforts that he has been going through.

There was also the report -- an exclusive by Inner City Press -- that Gambari's name was offered by Ban as a possible replacement for Rodolphe Adada in Darfur, but that some Western powers rejected it. A subsequent candidate Said Djinnit earlier on June 8 thanked Inner City Press for not asking publicly about the Darfur post, at least not during his press conference on West Africa (Inner City Press' report on West Africa is forthcoming.)


UK's Sawers and His Minister with Gambari in previous Friending

Indonesia's Ambassador strode in jaunty as ever; Japan's Takasu with a staffer. China's also jaunty Deputy had Xinjiang on his mind, saying that despite Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan's statement that Turkey will put Xinjiang on the Security Council's agenda (see Inner City Press story here), the Turkish Mission to the UN has received no instructions to this effect. Other Ambassador's marveled at the recent and dirty campaign to re-nominate Mr. Supachai as secretary general of UNCTAD.

Diplomat's minds seemed everywhere except on Myanmar. But since the UK asked for the trip, some felt Sawers should have been present. He spoke of the issue earlier in the day, but only to select reporters, and only off the record. Whether this approach is the best for Burma is in question. Watch this space.

Update of 4:07 p.m. -- to be fair, Sawers' affable deputy was present. Whether he will speak on the record after the meeting, given the UK's role, remains to be seen.

Update of 4:31 p.m. -- while the Friends on Myanmar continue meeting, the head of a Security Council mission spoke to Inner City Press about the Turkish Prime Minister - China imbloglio: "that's why we have a free Press," he said.... But on Myanmar, there are no other reporters outside the Friends' basement meeting.

Update of 5:15 p.m. -- And when the meeting broke up, like clock work at precisely five o'clock, Gambari declines to speak with the Press, saying to wait for Ban to return to New York. Inner City Press said, or asked, "Ban will speak to the Security Council?" "Or to this group," Gambari answered. That would be to further downgrade the Myanmar issue.

* * *
At UN, July 8 Briefing on Ban's Burmese Failure by Gambari, Japan Says "Too Early"

Byline: Matthew Russell Lee of Inner City Press at the UN: News Analysis

UNITED NATIONS, July 7, updated -- While by nearly any measure UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon's two day visit to Myanmar was a diplomatic failure, on July 6 when Inner City Press asked Japan's Ambassador to the UN Yukio Takasu to assess the trip, he said it was "too early" for that, that when Ban returns from Europe they will get a full briefing and address the issue. Video here, from Minute 6:43.

But the so-called Group of Friends on Myanmar, Inner City Press has learned, will be briefed on July 8 by Ban's envoy to Myanmar, Ibrahim Gambari.

Some view this as distancing Ban from the lack of accomplishments on the trip, which they view as having provided some legitimacy to the regime of General Than Shwe. Gambari, recently offered up to replace Rodolphe Adada for the UN in Darfur, has been to Myanmar eight times and has little to show for it.

Gambari's supporters blame the "Western powers" for not giving him any carrots with which to tempt the generals. But perhaps the Myanmar regime, like Sri Lanka's, doesn't need the West's carrots.


UN's Ban and Gambari, the latter will go first while the former goes G-8


China and India are competing for Myanmar's natural gas -- along with French and other Western companies. North Korea is helping militarily, at least with advice on building underground weapons plants.

Japan's position remains ambiguous. While following the Burmese military's murder of a Japanese cameraman during the abortive Saffron Revolution Japan spoke out about Myanmar, Japan was notably less concerned with the human rights of civilians during this year's assault on Northern Sri Lanka by the Mahinda Rajapaksa regime. Amb. Takasu says he's waiting to hear from Ban, but Japan will be represented at the July 8 briefing by Ban's envoy Gambari. Watch this site.

Post-script: it's been reported that the "former armed groups" with which Ban met were told by the Than Shwe regime what to say. This will be inquired into.

Update of 12:23 p.m. -- Inner City Press asked Ban's Spokesperson Michele Montas about this at Tuesday's UN noon briefing. Ms. Montas said that Ban had thought the groups were free to speak, that he is not yet aware of reports to the contrary but he will be. For convenience sake, check this, and watch this site.

* * *
UN's Ban Claims Burma's Than Shwe Is Ready to Give Up Power, No Pool Despite Internet, LA Times Softball Q&A

Byline: Matthew Russell Lee of Inner City Press at the UN: News Analysis

UNITED NATIONS, July 4 -- Immediately following Burmese dictator Than Shwe's rebuff of UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon even visiting opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi, Ban told the reporters he hand picked to accompany him that Than Shwe had in fact shown that he is willing to "hand over all power."

Ban is quoted that Than Shwe "was saying that after (an election) he will hand over power to civilians. He said when I come back he may be a civilian...That means he's committed to hand over all power."

First, there is no indication that Than Shwe and his cronies have any intention of handing over power. Second, even the quote, which was run without any critique or analysis, can be read that power may go a a civilian, Than Shwe is ready to present himself as a civilian and keep power.

After Team Ban hand picked the reporters allowed to cover the trip, Ban's Spokesperson Michele Montas claimed it the selection was based on "those willing to pool" coverage. But on July 2, she told Inner City Press there would be no text pool coverage. When Inner City Press asked how to get questions answered, she said just read the wires, since communications would be difficult while the Team was there. From the UN's transcript:

Inner City Press: During these two days that he is there, if we’re trying to cover it from here, have questions, who do we seek to get some answers?

Spokesperson Montas: It’s going to be extremely difficult. The materials that your colleagues are sending will give you information, but there is no way you can reach, it’s going to be very difficult to reach people in Myanmar when they are there because of communications problems.

But now it's clear that the Team was allowed to use the Internet while there: "We also had access to the Internet to file stories and send emails about Ban's second trip to the new capital."


UN's Ban and Than Shwe: who's ready to hand over all power?

So why wasn't the promised pool coverage provided? Increasingly it appears that Team Ban, faced with negative reviews, tries to control coverage. The UN News Service dutifully pushed out a story which didn't even mention any of the criticism of Ban and his Myanmar trip.

In the run up to negative profiles in two major U.S. dailies, as Inner City Press first reported, Team Ban brought in the Los Angeles Times for a Q&A with strangely staged questions about the "Asian style" of diplomacy.

But as one scribe put it, "Ban has faced recent criticism for his softly-softly approach to the job of secretary general, but diplomats say he had hoped his quiet brand of diplomacy would work with Myanmar's generals." And it failed, even by Team Ban's own pre-trip measure. Watch this site.

Footnote: as Inner City Press reported June 28 and was confirmed by Ban's Spokesperson Michele Montas on June 29, Ban's office hand-picked which journalists would be told of the opportunity to cover his trip to Burma. Ms. Montas first said that the UN "picked people who were willing to pool for others." On July 2, when Inner City Press asked Ms. Montas when these pool reports would begin, she reversed course and argued that "I said some of them were willing to pool, some of them... There is no print pooling, no."

Inner City Press asked Ms. Montas to confirm the information in a list it has seen, that there are at least 22 UN personnel in Ban's traveling party, ranging from political chief Lynn Pascoe and deputy chief of staff Kim Won-soo to Hak-Fan Lau, to whom reporters on Ban's previous UN mission to Burma gave at least some pooled material. "I can check for you," Ms. Montas answered. By 4 p.m. on July 4 in New York, no information was provided. Watch this site.
http://www.innercitypress.com/bangam4myanmar071309.html

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