LIKELY OUT COME OF BURMA'S 2010 ELECTIONS

The endgame scenario, from the point of Burmese military junta, will be the monopolisation of political decision-making power through its self-created political parties like USDA or NUP ally, plus 25% seat of the military without having to enter election, as prescribed by its self-drawn constitution.

With the voice for dropping various sanctions getting louder with the day, encouraged by the Obama's overture of sending one senior diplomat to Naypyidaw lately after so many years, the timing of the junta's complete control of the electoral outcome would be welcomed by most states for two simply reasons. One is none other than acknowledging the junta supremacy, even if it is known to be a sham and stage-managed election. The motto of "If can’t beat them join them" has been there for nothing. And the other is the growing fatigue for having to endure the never-ending people’s struggle against the junta, without ever reaching the climax. And as such, any kind of ending is desirable, provided it comes to an end, at least from the point of international stakeholders.

As it is, the concerned, international stakeholders would applaud the 2010 election and normalcy or relation with the West will be restored, making everyone happy, except, of course, the oppressed people of Burma.

Shan Herald-http://www.shanland.org/