Push to lifttrade ties with Burma
Published: 12/07/2009 at 12:00 AM
Newspaper section: News
More trade and investments are needed between Thailand and Burma, former army chief Chettha Thanajaro said, after being named new chairman of the Thai-Burmese cultural and economic cooperation association.
He said that despite the global economic slump which had led to a reduction in trade between the two countries, the association was likely to remain a key driver for the growth of bilateral trade.
Gen Chettha said he would lead a delegation of Thai investors to Burma to discuss any problems which hinder economic cooperation.
With Burma's abundant natural resources and Thailand's advanced technology, both countries would receive huge benefits if they can strengthen cooperation.
Thai businesses were ready to increase investments in Burma if the atmosphere permits.
The association would not interfere in Burma's internal affairs and would focus its activities on economic and cultural exchanges, he said.
Thailand is Burma's third biggest trading partner and both countries' trade with each other has increased in the past few years.
In the 2005-2006 fiscal year, trade between the two nations was worth US$1.59 billion, but in the 2006-2007 fiscal year that had grown to US$2.4 billion, or about 30% of Burma's overall trade volume.
Sunday, 12 July 2009
Friday, 10 July 2009
SOS BURMA,’ time for UN to do the right thing
SOS BURMA,’ time for UN to do the right thing
by May Ng
Wednesday, 08 July 2009 14:45
Unlike in the past visit, this time there was no real expectation that the United Nations General Secretary’s visit to Burma would change anything.
The State Peace and Development Council (SPDC) wanted Ban Ki-moon only to see a sterile and desolate Naypyidaw and forget the long suffering Karen and Shan people living in armed conflict areas, or the hellish lives of exiled Rohingyas, or the Chin, Kachin, Arkan, Mon, Hindus, Muslims, Christians and Chinese who lack citizenships or human rights, and the revered Buddhist monks living under severe oppression.
But one thing is certain that conflicts are only between the SPDC and the rest of Burma. Be it among ethnic nationalities or people of different shade of skin or faith it is only when SPDC enters the picture sparks of resentment ignite and even the same ethnic brothers are persuaded to take up arms against each other.
The generals may consider Naypyidaw their spanking modern Kyan-sit-thar fantasy land. But in reality they are surrounded by enemies they have created. They are digging tunnels deeper underground and they do desperately seek nuclear and missile capability. There is every reason to assume that the latest North Korean ship which has turned back might have been carrying suspicious weapons for the military junta in Burma.
In 1952 the great traveler Norman Lewis wrote that to cross the Burmese frontier was to pass behind a curtain excluding all news of the outside world. And he said that while in Vietnam the established authority was challenged by a united opposition with a single ideology, in Burma the government was opposed by countless band of oppositions and ideologies. He also wrote that unlike Vietnam in the 50’s where even after the years of Japanese occupation and the war with the French, much of the ordinary routine of life had survived, Burma in comparison had remained isolated and mysterious.
The military in Burma therefore came to power by default rather than by its ability. Its intention now is to hold Burma a hostage to its past. But things have changed since the internet generation came of age as seen in the 2007 Saffron Revolution.
Without true liberty and equality, small minorities even while oppressed by the mighty military or invaded by a major ethnicity, will continue to rebel. Political turmoil across the globe from Baghdad to Urumqi in Xinjiang clearly suggests that the use of force alone gains very little. No matter how large the military force the ghost of discontent will continue to circle unseen, only to show its anger and ferocity in another unexpected corner.
The battle ground will shift but Generals in Naypyidaw will continue to be haunted by ghosts of yesterday’s rebels long after their tunnel complexes are built and their arsenals fully assembled.
The Shan State armed movement initiated first by a small band of July 7th student rebels after the 1962 coup, has evolved into today’s Shan State Army South. Its present chairman Colonel Yawd Serk said that a political party without an army is similar to a tiger without claws and fangs; nevertheless he also believes that it is the political force which must lead the army. And to be able to lead, the political force must have a good competitive constitution, rules and regulations and clear political policy. The humanitarian wing of the SSA organization, the Shan Sapawa Environmental Organisation member Sai Khur Hseng has been trying to procure funds to provide political and democracy lessons to its fighters. The priority and the frontline of Burma’s fight for freedom have moved on and now traverse across linguistic, cultural, political and racial barriers. It is now expected that uniting the efforts of all political and ethnic movement is more possible than ever.
Besides, with the electronic speed of traversing borders, Burma is now clearly visible on the world’s stage. The challenge for Ban ki-moon is what can the United Nations do to stop the overt hostility of the Burmese military junta against their own people, and to help end the political persecution and military aggression on ethnic areas in Burma? For a start Ban should press the UNSC to forbid all arms sale to the military regime. The Saffron Revolution central leader U Pyinya Zawta urged that to be effective President Obama, ASEAN and EU must all work together to continue to pressure the Burmese military. It is right that Ban Ki moon asked for the release of Aung San Suu Kyi and all political prisoners to make clear to the regime of Naypyidaw that the 2010 election will be a sham without freedom for the people in Burma.
The Burmese people will never forget their leaders in junta’s jails. Not withstanding what James George Scott wrote in 1886 that ‘Pohn-gyee’ or Burmese monk’s person is sacred and inviolable and nothing he does can subject him to the civil law. U Pyinya Zawta, a Saffron commander in exile confirmed that Ashin U Gambira, the spokesperson and a distinguished monk leader of the ABMA during the Saffron Revolution is now sick in prison from torture and severe punishment by the military in Burma.
Min Ko Naing’s poem written in 2007,
‘8888’
Slavery by foreigners
Or slavery by military dictators
No slavery will be tolerated
Flag of the Peacock!
Atop the student union
We shall resurrect ‘Daun A Larn’ the Peacock flag
and the traffic volume on Ko Moethee Zun’s web blog are evidences that, even in the aftermath of the bloody show of force against the young leaders during the 2007 Saffron Revolution, nothing will stop the anti-government activities continuing in the shadow of bloody oppression in Burma. The new generation leaders believe that the freedom prize they seek is not worth anything if it isn’t worth dying for.
(May Ng is a member of Justice for Human Rights in Burma.)
http://www.mizzima.com/edop/commentary/2418-sos-burma-time-for-un-to-do-the-right-thing.html
by May Ng
Wednesday, 08 July 2009 14:45
Unlike in the past visit, this time there was no real expectation that the United Nations General Secretary’s visit to Burma would change anything.
The State Peace and Development Council (SPDC) wanted Ban Ki-moon only to see a sterile and desolate Naypyidaw and forget the long suffering Karen and Shan people living in armed conflict areas, or the hellish lives of exiled Rohingyas, or the Chin, Kachin, Arkan, Mon, Hindus, Muslims, Christians and Chinese who lack citizenships or human rights, and the revered Buddhist monks living under severe oppression.
But one thing is certain that conflicts are only between the SPDC and the rest of Burma. Be it among ethnic nationalities or people of different shade of skin or faith it is only when SPDC enters the picture sparks of resentment ignite and even the same ethnic brothers are persuaded to take up arms against each other.
The generals may consider Naypyidaw their spanking modern Kyan-sit-thar fantasy land. But in reality they are surrounded by enemies they have created. They are digging tunnels deeper underground and they do desperately seek nuclear and missile capability. There is every reason to assume that the latest North Korean ship which has turned back might have been carrying suspicious weapons for the military junta in Burma.
In 1952 the great traveler Norman Lewis wrote that to cross the Burmese frontier was to pass behind a curtain excluding all news of the outside world. And he said that while in Vietnam the established authority was challenged by a united opposition with a single ideology, in Burma the government was opposed by countless band of oppositions and ideologies. He also wrote that unlike Vietnam in the 50’s where even after the years of Japanese occupation and the war with the French, much of the ordinary routine of life had survived, Burma in comparison had remained isolated and mysterious.
The military in Burma therefore came to power by default rather than by its ability. Its intention now is to hold Burma a hostage to its past. But things have changed since the internet generation came of age as seen in the 2007 Saffron Revolution.
Without true liberty and equality, small minorities even while oppressed by the mighty military or invaded by a major ethnicity, will continue to rebel. Political turmoil across the globe from Baghdad to Urumqi in Xinjiang clearly suggests that the use of force alone gains very little. No matter how large the military force the ghost of discontent will continue to circle unseen, only to show its anger and ferocity in another unexpected corner.
The battle ground will shift but Generals in Naypyidaw will continue to be haunted by ghosts of yesterday’s rebels long after their tunnel complexes are built and their arsenals fully assembled.
The Shan State armed movement initiated first by a small band of July 7th student rebels after the 1962 coup, has evolved into today’s Shan State Army South. Its present chairman Colonel Yawd Serk said that a political party without an army is similar to a tiger without claws and fangs; nevertheless he also believes that it is the political force which must lead the army. And to be able to lead, the political force must have a good competitive constitution, rules and regulations and clear political policy. The humanitarian wing of the SSA organization, the Shan Sapawa Environmental Organisation member Sai Khur Hseng has been trying to procure funds to provide political and democracy lessons to its fighters. The priority and the frontline of Burma’s fight for freedom have moved on and now traverse across linguistic, cultural, political and racial barriers. It is now expected that uniting the efforts of all political and ethnic movement is more possible than ever.
Besides, with the electronic speed of traversing borders, Burma is now clearly visible on the world’s stage. The challenge for Ban ki-moon is what can the United Nations do to stop the overt hostility of the Burmese military junta against their own people, and to help end the political persecution and military aggression on ethnic areas in Burma? For a start Ban should press the UNSC to forbid all arms sale to the military regime. The Saffron Revolution central leader U Pyinya Zawta urged that to be effective President Obama, ASEAN and EU must all work together to continue to pressure the Burmese military. It is right that Ban Ki moon asked for the release of Aung San Suu Kyi and all political prisoners to make clear to the regime of Naypyidaw that the 2010 election will be a sham without freedom for the people in Burma.
The Burmese people will never forget their leaders in junta’s jails. Not withstanding what James George Scott wrote in 1886 that ‘Pohn-gyee’ or Burmese monk’s person is sacred and inviolable and nothing he does can subject him to the civil law. U Pyinya Zawta, a Saffron commander in exile confirmed that Ashin U Gambira, the spokesperson and a distinguished monk leader of the ABMA during the Saffron Revolution is now sick in prison from torture and severe punishment by the military in Burma.
Min Ko Naing’s poem written in 2007,
‘8888’
Slavery by foreigners
Or slavery by military dictators
No slavery will be tolerated
Flag of the Peacock!
Atop the student union
We shall resurrect ‘Daun A Larn’ the Peacock flag
and the traffic volume on Ko Moethee Zun’s web blog are evidences that, even in the aftermath of the bloody show of force against the young leaders during the 2007 Saffron Revolution, nothing will stop the anti-government activities continuing in the shadow of bloody oppression in Burma. The new generation leaders believe that the freedom prize they seek is not worth anything if it isn’t worth dying for.
(May Ng is a member of Justice for Human Rights in Burma.)
http://www.mizzima.com/edop/commentary/2418-sos-burma-time-for-un-to-do-the-right-thing.html
Thursday, 9 July 2009
Dear Everyone
Hope this email finds everyone well and happy. In my view, the sanctions are working as they are intended to (may be limited), but not in a way that will totally satisfy our expectations, which is to choke off the blood supply of the military regime, thus the end of the regime.
In the broad perspectives, economic sanctions are just part of the total rejection of the military regime’s opression on the people of Burma by the global community, to say that it’s brutal actions and unjust rules are not acceptable in the modern democratic and civilised global community. It is a way of putting pressure on the military regme. When the economic sanctions are put into place in conjunction with other mechanisms, then these sort of regimes will eventually collapse such as South Africa’s apartheid regime. In the end, the time will come for these regimes to collapse as their foundations are eroding gradually – economics, social and their power bases. People who are supporting them, including the military itself, wiil see the opportunity cost of supporting these regimes, and will eventually forced to stop their support. In that situation, stopping support for the military regime, and supporting the democratic forces would become more attractive and beneficial for them, which will have a snowball effect. To gain momemtum to have this snowball effect, economic sannctions are part of an integral ingreidents. Economic sactions alone will not be the ultimate solution, but together with other many fronts, it is vital. We cannot expect the economic sanctions alone to work miracles and solve all the problems and topple the military regime in a flash.
The other way of viewing this situation is, to lift the economic sanctions. Once it is lifted, the military regime will have more money rolling into their coffers due to the lucrative deals they and their cronies would enjoy. To a certain degree, some influential people will no doubt benefit from it as well. But, due to the fluency in their coffers, the regime will have more weapons and more mechanisms to supress the people. Democracy will be a forgone conclusion then. The abilities for them to keep the people suppressed will be far greater in that situation. It will also affect the morality of the global community and we will be living in a world filled with evil people and governments whose priorities are money and profit alone. No place for morality.
But the world is not like that in this day and age. The global community embrace justice and democracy. The civilised world will never allow that to happen. It will do whatever it can, such as imposing economic sanctions. Not to impose economic sanctions would be a moral shame in this situation. Of course, we need to do other things as well, for the economic sanctions to work, which we are doing now. Such as demonstartions, UN Ban K Moon demanding the release of Daw Su and the political prisoners, and the whole world community denouncing the military regime.
What other things would we do if we don’t put economic sanctions on Burma and other rogue regimes? Do we do nothing and let the people suffer? Or we do everything we can to help the people struggling for freedom and democracy?
By the way, in my view and if I may suggest, the world cup (football or soccer) is in progress and it would be a very good idea to approach to individual players like David Beckham, Christiena Ronaldo, Kaka, Brazilian and other teams etc, to wear something like a red or a yellow ribbon on their arms, with or without Daw Su’s photo on their arms throughout the series, right to the final, to show their support to Daw Su. It will have an enourmous effect on the regime as the Burmese soldiers will be watching as well. The impact of that will be tremendous.
Please take care all and have a pleasant day.
Kind regards
Zor Hane
Hope this email finds everyone well and happy. In my view, the sanctions are working as they are intended to (may be limited), but not in a way that will totally satisfy our expectations, which is to choke off the blood supply of the military regime, thus the end of the regime.
In the broad perspectives, economic sanctions are just part of the total rejection of the military regime’s opression on the people of Burma by the global community, to say that it’s brutal actions and unjust rules are not acceptable in the modern democratic and civilised global community. It is a way of putting pressure on the military regme. When the economic sanctions are put into place in conjunction with other mechanisms, then these sort of regimes will eventually collapse such as South Africa’s apartheid regime. In the end, the time will come for these regimes to collapse as their foundations are eroding gradually – economics, social and their power bases. People who are supporting them, including the military itself, wiil see the opportunity cost of supporting these regimes, and will eventually forced to stop their support. In that situation, stopping support for the military regime, and supporting the democratic forces would become more attractive and beneficial for them, which will have a snowball effect. To gain momemtum to have this snowball effect, economic sannctions are part of an integral ingreidents. Economic sactions alone will not be the ultimate solution, but together with other many fronts, it is vital. We cannot expect the economic sanctions alone to work miracles and solve all the problems and topple the military regime in a flash.
The other way of viewing this situation is, to lift the economic sanctions. Once it is lifted, the military regime will have more money rolling into their coffers due to the lucrative deals they and their cronies would enjoy. To a certain degree, some influential people will no doubt benefit from it as well. But, due to the fluency in their coffers, the regime will have more weapons and more mechanisms to supress the people. Democracy will be a forgone conclusion then. The abilities for them to keep the people suppressed will be far greater in that situation. It will also affect the morality of the global community and we will be living in a world filled with evil people and governments whose priorities are money and profit alone. No place for morality.
But the world is not like that in this day and age. The global community embrace justice and democracy. The civilised world will never allow that to happen. It will do whatever it can, such as imposing economic sanctions. Not to impose economic sanctions would be a moral shame in this situation. Of course, we need to do other things as well, for the economic sanctions to work, which we are doing now. Such as demonstartions, UN Ban K Moon demanding the release of Daw Su and the political prisoners, and the whole world community denouncing the military regime.
What other things would we do if we don’t put economic sanctions on Burma and other rogue regimes? Do we do nothing and let the people suffer? Or we do everything we can to help the people struggling for freedom and democracy?
By the way, in my view and if I may suggest, the world cup (football or soccer) is in progress and it would be a very good idea to approach to individual players like David Beckham, Christiena Ronaldo, Kaka, Brazilian and other teams etc, to wear something like a red or a yellow ribbon on their arms, with or without Daw Su’s photo on their arms throughout the series, right to the final, to show their support to Daw Su. It will have an enourmous effect on the regime as the Burmese soldiers will be watching as well. The impact of that will be tremendous.
Please take care all and have a pleasant day.
Kind regards
Zor Hane
Wednesday, 8 July 2009
Review of the junta’s 2008 constitution is a MUST before playing into the junta’s illegal 2010 election
Burma Democratic Concern (BDC) calls for the international community to pay close attention to what the democratic forces are saying especially the “Shwe-Gone-Dine” declaration by the National League for Democracy (NLD).
Aung San Suu Kyi and her party the National League for Democracy (NLD), the unanimous victors of the 1990 election, clearly stated their position in the “Shwe-Gone-Dine” Declaration.
NLD outlined the five main principles that need to place in order to have true national reconciliation. They are:
1. Release of all the political prisoners
2. Review of draft 2008 Constitution
3. Allow to reopen NLD and ethnic nationalities offices
4. Recognition of the 1990 election result
5. Political dialogue
These are the fundamental demands requested by legitimate leaders of Burma. If the international community truly wanted to see national reconciliation in Burma, they must find ways to facilitate these demands rather than playing into the junta’s illegal 2010 election.
Before we could possible address the junta’s proposed 2010 election we must address the validity of the recently adapted constitution. Drafted by the junta, this document is far from credible or constitutional. Free, fair and all inclusive is not what this document represents.
We would like to draw particular attention on these points:
1. The Junta gave itself amnesty from the crimes against humanity it has perpetrated throughout Burma during their reign of terror.
2. The Military regime systematically took 25% of the parliamentary seats. The military commander in chief was also given absolute authority to dissolve the parliament at any time effectively neutralizing the voice of the people.
The junta’s planned 2010 election is only a charade designed to legitimise the military dictatorship within Burma. The International Community should be aware of the hopelessly irreconcilable contents of the constitution that was adopted in 2008. The referendum was ushered into existence under questionable conditions including extortion and rigged ballots. Giving the military junta 25% of the parliamentary seats, unbridled authoritarian control and a self serving amnesty for the crimes against humanity were truly not the will of the Burmese people. Legitimizing the criminal regime was also not the will of the people and this is incomprehensible and totally unacceptable to the Burmese people.
It should not be forgotten that in spite of promises made by the military junta in the 1990 which they sponsored they did not relinquish power when they lost the election. Even though Aung San Suu Kyi and her party won a landslide victory the junta chose to ignore the election results and the voice of the people of Burma. Further, the junta arrested the victors including Aung San Suu Kyi. Later they also tried to assassinate Aung Suu Kyi and continue to arrest and imprison pro democracy activists.
Now to insure they will not loose the 2010 election they have intensified the arrests of democratic proponents and concocted charges against Aung San Suu Kyi to eliminate her influence in this sham election. Ironically the architects of the 1990 election are the very same generals who’ve plotted this latest scam to nullify the voice of the people in this rigged election. With victory in their sights the junta has already made plans for after the election clearly indicating this election is a sham. Obviously there will be no need to count the votes since it would be an exercise in futility.
For more information please contact Burma Democratic Concern (BDC) at
Myo Thein
00-44-78 7788 2386
00-44-20 8493 9137
myothein@bdcburma.org
myothein19@gmail.com
[United Kingdom]
Khin Maung Win
00 194196126 22
[United States]
Kyaw Lin Oo
00 6684107 9352
[Thailand]
or visit
http://www.bdcburma.org
http://bdc-burma.blogspot.com/
http://www.gcast.com/u/bdcburma/main
http://www.youtube.com/user/bdcburma
Aung San Suu Kyi and her party the National League for Democracy (NLD), the unanimous victors of the 1990 election, clearly stated their position in the “Shwe-Gone-Dine” Declaration.
NLD outlined the five main principles that need to place in order to have true national reconciliation. They are:
1. Release of all the political prisoners
2. Review of draft 2008 Constitution
3. Allow to reopen NLD and ethnic nationalities offices
4. Recognition of the 1990 election result
5. Political dialogue
These are the fundamental demands requested by legitimate leaders of Burma. If the international community truly wanted to see national reconciliation in Burma, they must find ways to facilitate these demands rather than playing into the junta’s illegal 2010 election.
Before we could possible address the junta’s proposed 2010 election we must address the validity of the recently adapted constitution. Drafted by the junta, this document is far from credible or constitutional. Free, fair and all inclusive is not what this document represents.
We would like to draw particular attention on these points:
1. The Junta gave itself amnesty from the crimes against humanity it has perpetrated throughout Burma during their reign of terror.
2. The Military regime systematically took 25% of the parliamentary seats. The military commander in chief was also given absolute authority to dissolve the parliament at any time effectively neutralizing the voice of the people.
The junta’s planned 2010 election is only a charade designed to legitimise the military dictatorship within Burma. The International Community should be aware of the hopelessly irreconcilable contents of the constitution that was adopted in 2008. The referendum was ushered into existence under questionable conditions including extortion and rigged ballots. Giving the military junta 25% of the parliamentary seats, unbridled authoritarian control and a self serving amnesty for the crimes against humanity were truly not the will of the Burmese people. Legitimizing the criminal regime was also not the will of the people and this is incomprehensible and totally unacceptable to the Burmese people.
It should not be forgotten that in spite of promises made by the military junta in the 1990 which they sponsored they did not relinquish power when they lost the election. Even though Aung San Suu Kyi and her party won a landslide victory the junta chose to ignore the election results and the voice of the people of Burma. Further, the junta arrested the victors including Aung San Suu Kyi. Later they also tried to assassinate Aung Suu Kyi and continue to arrest and imprison pro democracy activists.
Now to insure they will not loose the 2010 election they have intensified the arrests of democratic proponents and concocted charges against Aung San Suu Kyi to eliminate her influence in this sham election. Ironically the architects of the 1990 election are the very same generals who’ve plotted this latest scam to nullify the voice of the people in this rigged election. With victory in their sights the junta has already made plans for after the election clearly indicating this election is a sham. Obviously there will be no need to count the votes since it would be an exercise in futility.
For more information please contact Burma Democratic Concern (BDC) at
Myo Thein
00-44-78 7788 2386
00-44-20 8493 9137
myothein@bdcburma.org
myothein19@gmail.com
[United Kingdom]
Khin Maung Win
00 194196126 22
[United States]
Kyaw Lin Oo
00 6684107 9352
[Thailand]
or visit
http://www.bdcburma.org
http://bdc-burma.blogspot.com/
http://www.gcast.com/u/bdcburma/main
http://www.youtube.com/user/bdcburma
Burmese opposition leader honoured by university
Posted: 07 Jul 2009 09:30 AM PDT
Imprisoned Burmese opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi was awarded an honorary degree today by the University of Ulster. Ms Suu Kyi, a Nobel Peace laureate, has spent much of the past two decades in prison or under house arrest under the military junta’s regime...
{googleads}
Imprisoned Burmese opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi was awarded an honorary degree today by the University of Ulster.
Ms Suu Kyi, a Nobel Peace laureate, has spent much of the past two decades in prison or under house arrest under the military junta’s regime. She is on trial for breaking the terms of her detention.
The democracy campaigner was awarded the honorary degree of Doctor of Laws for services to human rights during a ceremony at the Millennium Forum in Derry.
Her representative Mra Razam Linn told 500 new graduates the recipient was a “great hero” who had sacrificed her life in the struggle for democracy for 50 million people in Burma.
“This award is not only honouring Daw Aung San Sui Khi, but also I do believe that the honour is for all democracy-loving people of Burma, those who are tirelessly struggling and sacrificing their life for the advancement of democracy and human rights in Burma,” she added.
“I do believe that the peoples of Ireland support our non-violence movement for democracy in their heart and soul, and recognise non-violent activists who are struggling for the peace, justice and human rights in Burma. The award of the honorary doctorate degree to our top leader Daw Aung San Suu Kyi is a kind of recognition to our whole people in Burma.
“Now, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi is being detained in Insein Prison. But she is not alone; I am with her, we all are with her, people who love peace in the world are with her.”
Ms Suu Kyi is leader of the National League for Burma.
{mosgoogle}Among the first to offer congratulations was fellow Nobel Laureate John Hume.
Mrs Linn was forced to flee the country in 1988 after she delivered the first pro-democracy speech in her home state of Rakhaing in western Burma. She continues to work for the democracy movement and has been internationally recognised for her human rights advocacy and campaigning for the needs of refugee women and children along the border.
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon has called on the generals’ regime in Burma to release Ms Suu Kyi.
He made the request last week during talks with Gen Than Shwe in the remote administrative capital of Nay Pyi Taw.
Imprisoned Burmese opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi was awarded an honorary degree today by the University of Ulster. Ms Suu Kyi, a Nobel Peace laureate, has spent much of the past two decades in prison or under house arrest under the military junta’s regime...
{googleads}
Imprisoned Burmese opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi was awarded an honorary degree today by the University of Ulster.
Ms Suu Kyi, a Nobel Peace laureate, has spent much of the past two decades in prison or under house arrest under the military junta’s regime. She is on trial for breaking the terms of her detention.
The democracy campaigner was awarded the honorary degree of Doctor of Laws for services to human rights during a ceremony at the Millennium Forum in Derry.
Her representative Mra Razam Linn told 500 new graduates the recipient was a “great hero” who had sacrificed her life in the struggle for democracy for 50 million people in Burma.
“This award is not only honouring Daw Aung San Sui Khi, but also I do believe that the honour is for all democracy-loving people of Burma, those who are tirelessly struggling and sacrificing their life for the advancement of democracy and human rights in Burma,” she added.
“I do believe that the peoples of Ireland support our non-violence movement for democracy in their heart and soul, and recognise non-violent activists who are struggling for the peace, justice and human rights in Burma. The award of the honorary doctorate degree to our top leader Daw Aung San Suu Kyi is a kind of recognition to our whole people in Burma.
“Now, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi is being detained in Insein Prison. But she is not alone; I am with her, we all are with her, people who love peace in the world are with her.”
Ms Suu Kyi is leader of the National League for Burma.
{mosgoogle}Among the first to offer congratulations was fellow Nobel Laureate John Hume.
Mrs Linn was forced to flee the country in 1988 after she delivered the first pro-democracy speech in her home state of Rakhaing in western Burma. She continues to work for the democracy movement and has been internationally recognised for her human rights advocacy and campaigning for the needs of refugee women and children along the border.
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon has called on the generals’ regime in Burma to release Ms Suu Kyi.
He made the request last week during talks with Gen Than Shwe in the remote administrative capital of Nay Pyi Taw.
Fundraising And Promoting Awareness For Victims of Nargis
Bamar Innovations
Myanmar Singers Alex, Rebecca Win, J-Me and Moe Hay Ko have arrived in the UK! Tickets going fast! Get yours now! Visit http://www.mlc09.com . Sponsored by Bamar Innovations Ltd. Cheap calls to Myanmar! Visit http://www.bamartalk.com
Burmese Food- Huge Variety of Burmese Food Stalls!
Lucky Draw-Win Fantastic prizes in our lucky Draw!
Special Interview-Your chance to interview the stars on stage
Fabulous Dancers-Will be dancing with Tint Tint Tun,Rebecca and Moe Hay Ko
Family Seating Available!
Under 10s-Free Entry
Lucky Draw: Win Fantastic Prizes in our Lucky Draw during the Interval. 1st Prize: Dinner with the STARS! 2nd Prize:£100 Bamar Talk Phone Card 3rd Prize:1 night for 2 at a 4 star Hotel 4th Prize:10%Off for 6 months at shwe Mandalay plus Many More Great Prizes!!! Fundraising and Promoting Awarenesss For Victims Of Nargis
Date:11.07.09 (Sat)
Time:4pm-11pm
Venue: Greenford Hall
Websites:http://www.bamartalk.com
http://www.mlc09.com
You can buy Tickets online Here.Please Print out the paid slip and redeem the tickets at the door on that day.
https://www.paypal.com/uk/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_flow&SESSION=BMrGUKwRnOe3OfQf4I_vt5x8ReJBrMph9JiCXvY9ExDvhSfZ8PO5dzvmgb0&dispatch=5885d80a13c0db1fb6947b0aeae66fdb090c3508df63c7a078883ba93cc8aafe
Myanmar Singers Alex, Rebecca Win, J-Me and Moe Hay Ko have arrived in the UK! Tickets going fast! Get yours now! Visit http://www.mlc09.com . Sponsored by Bamar Innovations Ltd. Cheap calls to Myanmar! Visit http://www.bamartalk.com
Burmese Food- Huge Variety of Burmese Food Stalls!
Lucky Draw-Win Fantastic prizes in our lucky Draw!
Special Interview-Your chance to interview the stars on stage
Fabulous Dancers-Will be dancing with Tint Tint Tun,Rebecca and Moe Hay Ko
Family Seating Available!
Under 10s-Free Entry
Lucky Draw: Win Fantastic Prizes in our Lucky Draw during the Interval. 1st Prize: Dinner with the STARS! 2nd Prize:£100 Bamar Talk Phone Card 3rd Prize:1 night for 2 at a 4 star Hotel 4th Prize:10%Off for 6 months at shwe Mandalay plus Many More Great Prizes!!! Fundraising and Promoting Awarenesss For Victims Of Nargis
Date:11.07.09 (Sat)
Time:4pm-11pm
Venue: Greenford Hall
Websites:http://www.bamartalk.com
http://www.mlc09.com
You can buy Tickets online Here.Please Print out the paid slip and redeem the tickets at the door on that day.
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Tuesday, 7 July 2009
PM’s blog post on Burma
PM’s blog post on Burma
The Prime Minister has written a blog post for the Huffington Post about the UN Secretary-General’s visit to Burma, published on 3 July 2009.
Read the blog post
When UN Secretary-General Ban Ki Moon meets the military dictatorship in Burma today he will have the whole world with him.
His mission, to persuade the junta to release all political prisoners and engage with democracy, is critical to the future of the Burmese people.
But it is also a crucial moment for the international community.
In recent weeks, we have seen an extraordinary consensus around the world in support of all those forced to suffer under the Burmese regime.
The UN, the EU, and ASEAN have all made clear the need for urgent change. More than 45 Heads of State have added their voices to the call.
How we respond to the injustices in Burma will send a message about our resolution to tackle similar abuses across the globe.
Political and humanitarian conditions in the country continue to deteriorate.
When over 140,000 were killed and millions made destitute by Cyclone Nargis last year the world’s efforts to help were resisted, a peaceful uprising by monks in 2007 was violently quashed, ethnic minorities are persecuted and under armed attack.
The media are muzzled, freedom of speech and assembly are non-existent and the number of political prisoners has doubled to more than 2000.
As Secretary-General Ban arrives, the most high profile of them - Aung San Suu Kyi - faces further persecution from the Generals as her sham trial resumes.
She has long been a symbol of hope and defiance during her 14 years as a prisoner of conscience.
She is a most courageous woman. In those long years, she has barely seen her two sons - yet is resolute in her faith in democracy and the Burmese people.
Her refusal to buckle in the face of tyranny is an inspiration.
I call on the regime to mark Ban Ki Moon’s arrival by immediately halting her trial, which makes a mockery of justice, and ending her detention which undermines their credibility in the eyes of the world.
But while hugely significant, this alone would not be the sole measure of progress.
Only agreement to release all political prisoners, start a genuine dialogue with the opposition and ethnic groups will give any credibility to the elections in 2010.
I hope that Ban Ki Moon can convince the Generals to take the first steps. A serious offer is on the table: the international community will work with Burma if the Generals are prepared to embark on a genuine transition to democracy.
But if the Burmese regime refuses to engage, the international community must be prepared to respond robustly.
We should not rest until Aung San Suu Kyi - and all those who share her commitment to a better and brighter future for Burma - are able to play their rightful role in it.
The Burmese people have been condemned to nearly half a century of conflict, poverty and isolation. It is time to give them the chance of a new beginning.
The regime can choose to ignore the clamour for change. Or it can choose the path of reform as the region, and the world, have urged.
Today can be the start.
The Prime Minister has written a blog post for the Huffington Post about the UN Secretary-General’s visit to Burma, published on 3 July 2009.
Read the blog post
When UN Secretary-General Ban Ki Moon meets the military dictatorship in Burma today he will have the whole world with him.
His mission, to persuade the junta to release all political prisoners and engage with democracy, is critical to the future of the Burmese people.
But it is also a crucial moment for the international community.
In recent weeks, we have seen an extraordinary consensus around the world in support of all those forced to suffer under the Burmese regime.
The UN, the EU, and ASEAN have all made clear the need for urgent change. More than 45 Heads of State have added their voices to the call.
How we respond to the injustices in Burma will send a message about our resolution to tackle similar abuses across the globe.
Political and humanitarian conditions in the country continue to deteriorate.
When over 140,000 were killed and millions made destitute by Cyclone Nargis last year the world’s efforts to help were resisted, a peaceful uprising by monks in 2007 was violently quashed, ethnic minorities are persecuted and under armed attack.
The media are muzzled, freedom of speech and assembly are non-existent and the number of political prisoners has doubled to more than 2000.
As Secretary-General Ban arrives, the most high profile of them - Aung San Suu Kyi - faces further persecution from the Generals as her sham trial resumes.
She has long been a symbol of hope and defiance during her 14 years as a prisoner of conscience.
She is a most courageous woman. In those long years, she has barely seen her two sons - yet is resolute in her faith in democracy and the Burmese people.
Her refusal to buckle in the face of tyranny is an inspiration.
I call on the regime to mark Ban Ki Moon’s arrival by immediately halting her trial, which makes a mockery of justice, and ending her detention which undermines their credibility in the eyes of the world.
But while hugely significant, this alone would not be the sole measure of progress.
Only agreement to release all political prisoners, start a genuine dialogue with the opposition and ethnic groups will give any credibility to the elections in 2010.
I hope that Ban Ki Moon can convince the Generals to take the first steps. A serious offer is on the table: the international community will work with Burma if the Generals are prepared to embark on a genuine transition to democracy.
But if the Burmese regime refuses to engage, the international community must be prepared to respond robustly.
We should not rest until Aung San Suu Kyi - and all those who share her commitment to a better and brighter future for Burma - are able to play their rightful role in it.
The Burmese people have been condemned to nearly half a century of conflict, poverty and isolation. It is time to give them the chance of a new beginning.
The regime can choose to ignore the clamour for change. Or it can choose the path of reform as the region, and the world, have urged.
Today can be the start.
Ban Ki-moon's visit to Burma
Ban Ki-moon's visit to Burma (03/07/2009)
LOCATION BBC World News
SPEAKER Ivan Lewis
DATE 03/07/2009
Foreign Office Minister Ivan Lewis spoke to BBC World News about the visit of UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon's visit to Burma, 3 July 2009.
Read the transcript
Jonathan Charles (JC): Ban Ki-moon’s trip to Burma is just part of the growing international pressure on Burma attempting to achieve the release of pro democracy leader Aung San Su Kyi. Many Governments are also trying to exert leverage.
I’ve been speaking to the British Foreign Office Minister responsible for Burma, Ivan Lewis. Does he think that Mr Ban’s visit can achieve anything?
Ivan Lewis (IL): Well we strongly support his mission. We want to see the immediate release of Aung San Su Kyi, the other two thousand one hundred political prisoners. And we want him to send a strong message from the international community that the human rights abuses, particularly of minorities in Burma need to come to an end and we want to see a road map to reform in time for the 2010 elections. So he has our full support and he will be delivering tough messages.
JC: Well he himself has described it as a very tough mission that he’s on.
IL: It is a tough mission. We believe in the man, we believe in his office and we believe if ever there was a test of the United Nations relevance Burma is that test. That’s why we’ve been strongly supportive of the mission, that’s why we believe he’s doing absolutely the right thing and it’s also why our Prime Minister for example only recently spoke directly to the President of China because it’s very important that Burma’s friends and neighbours also send a clear and strong message about the abuse, human rights abuses, and also about political prisoners.
JC: I suppose the trouble is that the Burmese ruling military junta has not in the past proved very susceptible to international pressure and there has been a lot of pressure on them.
IL: Well the message via the Secretary General from the international community is that Burma has a choice. That choice is to continue contravening human rights, to continue imprisoning political prisoners, or to come in to the main stream, to be part of the international community. And in a sense this mission by the Secretary General is a crucial pivotal moment in the choices that Burma has to make.
JC: The generals know there’s a bit of a danger for them though and that is that if they release Aung San Su Kyi she becomes a beacon against them and possibly they could be swept from power.
IL: Maybe, but that’s the consequences of democracy and if they’re serious about free and fair elections in 2010 to imprison the leading opposition leader is completely contrary to any notion of free and fair elections. So you can’t have this double speak, trumped up charges, a bogus trial that Aung San Su Kyi now faces, that needs to be brought to an end. She needs to be released immediately, but so do the other two thousand one hundred political prisoners.
JC: Well I suppose opposition people would say they’re not really serious about the 2010 elections. Do you think there’s any reason at all to be optimistic about change in Burma?
IL: My generation saw the Berlin wall come down, Nelson Mandela become President of South Africa, peace in Northern Ireland, a black American elected as President of the United States. So yes, I believe the job of Governments around the world in these difficult conflicts, challenges, circumstances, is always to go for optimism and hope over despair. But in the end this will be about the choices that the Burmese regime make.
LOCATION BBC World News
SPEAKER Ivan Lewis
DATE 03/07/2009
Foreign Office Minister Ivan Lewis spoke to BBC World News about the visit of UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon's visit to Burma, 3 July 2009.
Read the transcript
Jonathan Charles (JC): Ban Ki-moon’s trip to Burma is just part of the growing international pressure on Burma attempting to achieve the release of pro democracy leader Aung San Su Kyi. Many Governments are also trying to exert leverage.
I’ve been speaking to the British Foreign Office Minister responsible for Burma, Ivan Lewis. Does he think that Mr Ban’s visit can achieve anything?
Ivan Lewis (IL): Well we strongly support his mission. We want to see the immediate release of Aung San Su Kyi, the other two thousand one hundred political prisoners. And we want him to send a strong message from the international community that the human rights abuses, particularly of minorities in Burma need to come to an end and we want to see a road map to reform in time for the 2010 elections. So he has our full support and he will be delivering tough messages.
JC: Well he himself has described it as a very tough mission that he’s on.
IL: It is a tough mission. We believe in the man, we believe in his office and we believe if ever there was a test of the United Nations relevance Burma is that test. That’s why we’ve been strongly supportive of the mission, that’s why we believe he’s doing absolutely the right thing and it’s also why our Prime Minister for example only recently spoke directly to the President of China because it’s very important that Burma’s friends and neighbours also send a clear and strong message about the abuse, human rights abuses, and also about political prisoners.
JC: I suppose the trouble is that the Burmese ruling military junta has not in the past proved very susceptible to international pressure and there has been a lot of pressure on them.
IL: Well the message via the Secretary General from the international community is that Burma has a choice. That choice is to continue contravening human rights, to continue imprisoning political prisoners, or to come in to the main stream, to be part of the international community. And in a sense this mission by the Secretary General is a crucial pivotal moment in the choices that Burma has to make.
JC: The generals know there’s a bit of a danger for them though and that is that if they release Aung San Su Kyi she becomes a beacon against them and possibly they could be swept from power.
IL: Maybe, but that’s the consequences of democracy and if they’re serious about free and fair elections in 2010 to imprison the leading opposition leader is completely contrary to any notion of free and fair elections. So you can’t have this double speak, trumped up charges, a bogus trial that Aung San Su Kyi now faces, that needs to be brought to an end. She needs to be released immediately, but so do the other two thousand one hundred political prisoners.
JC: Well I suppose opposition people would say they’re not really serious about the 2010 elections. Do you think there’s any reason at all to be optimistic about change in Burma?
IL: My generation saw the Berlin wall come down, Nelson Mandela become President of South Africa, peace in Northern Ireland, a black American elected as President of the United States. So yes, I believe the job of Governments around the world in these difficult conflicts, challenges, circumstances, is always to go for optimism and hope over despair. But in the end this will be about the choices that the Burmese regime make.
A united message to Burma on human rights abuses
A united message to Burma on human rights abuses (03/07/2009)
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon travelled to Burma today to put pressure on Burma to release the pro democracy leader Aung San Su Kyi. His visit is part of wider international pressure being applied to Burma by governments worldwide, sending a united message to Burma that human rights abuses, particularly of minorities in Burma, need to come to an end.
Commenting on the visit Foreign Office Minister Ivan Lewis said:
"We strongly support his mission. We want to see the immediate release of Aung San Su Kyi, the other two thousand one hundred political prisoners. And we want him to send a strong message from the international community that the human rights abuses, particularly of minorities in Burma need to come to an end and we want to see a road map to reform in time for the 2010 elections. So he has our full support and he will be delivering tough messages."
He added:
"It is a tough mission. We believe in the man, we believe in his office and we believe if ever there was a test of the United Nations relevance Burma is that test. That’s why we’ve been strongly supportive of the mission, that’s why we believe he’s doing absolutely the right thing and it’s also why our Prime Minister for example only recently spoke directly to the President of China because it’s very important that Burma’s friends and neighbours also send a clear and strong message about the abuse, human rights abuses, and also about political prisoners."
The Prime Minister's wife Sarah Brown has also joined high profile women from around the world calling for the release of Aung San Suu Kyi. She has joined fifty First Ladies, Nobel Laureates and leaders from the world of politics, human rights and the arts to issue a 64 word message.
The message reads:
"Aung San Suu Kyi inspires us all. In recent weeks regional leaders have led demands for her freedom and for reform in Burma. Today we - women from all around the world - add our voices to that call. Until she, and the thousands of other political prisoners in Burma, are released we must keep the spotlight on their plight. The world must not stand by."
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon travelled to Burma today to put pressure on Burma to release the pro democracy leader Aung San Su Kyi. His visit is part of wider international pressure being applied to Burma by governments worldwide, sending a united message to Burma that human rights abuses, particularly of minorities in Burma, need to come to an end.
Commenting on the visit Foreign Office Minister Ivan Lewis said:
"We strongly support his mission. We want to see the immediate release of Aung San Su Kyi, the other two thousand one hundred political prisoners. And we want him to send a strong message from the international community that the human rights abuses, particularly of minorities in Burma need to come to an end and we want to see a road map to reform in time for the 2010 elections. So he has our full support and he will be delivering tough messages."
He added:
"It is a tough mission. We believe in the man, we believe in his office and we believe if ever there was a test of the United Nations relevance Burma is that test. That’s why we’ve been strongly supportive of the mission, that’s why we believe he’s doing absolutely the right thing and it’s also why our Prime Minister for example only recently spoke directly to the President of China because it’s very important that Burma’s friends and neighbours also send a clear and strong message about the abuse, human rights abuses, and also about political prisoners."
The Prime Minister's wife Sarah Brown has also joined high profile women from around the world calling for the release of Aung San Suu Kyi. She has joined fifty First Ladies, Nobel Laureates and leaders from the world of politics, human rights and the arts to issue a 64 word message.
The message reads:
"Aung San Suu Kyi inspires us all. In recent weeks regional leaders have led demands for her freedom and for reform in Burma. Today we - women from all around the world - add our voices to that call. Until she, and the thousands of other political prisoners in Burma, are released we must keep the spotlight on their plight. The world must not stand by."
ဂ်ိဳင္းတံတား ပ်က္စီးယိုယြင္းမႈေၾကာင့္ ကုန္ေစ်းႏႈန္းမ်ားတက္
NEJ / ၆ ဇူလိုင္ ၂၀၀၉
ကရင္ျပည္နယ္ ေကာ့ကရိတ္ၿမိဳ႕အဝင္ ဂ်ိဳင္းတံတား (ေကာ့ကရိတ္) ယိုယြင္းလာေသာေၾကာင့္ တန္ (၂ဝ) ေအာက္ ကားမ်ားကိုသာ ျဖတ္သန္းခြင့္ျပဳသည့္အတြက္ ကုန္စည္စီးဆင္းမႈေႏွာင့္ေႏွးကာ ကုန္ေစ်းႏႈန္းမ်ား ျမင့္တက္လာေၾကာင္း ဘားအံ-ျမဝတီ ကုန္သည္မ်ားက ေျပာသည္။
ဂ်ိဳင္းတံတား (ေကာ့ကရိတ္) သည္ ရန္ကုန္-ဘားအံ-ျမဝတီ-မဲေဆာက္ ကားလမ္းေပၚတြင္ တည္ရွိၿပီး ထိုင္းႏွင့္ ျမန္မာ ႏွစ္ႏိုင္ငံနယ္စပ္ကုန္သြယ္ေရးတြင္ အေရးပါသည့္လမ္းေပၚရိွ တံတားတခုျဖစ္သည္။
တံတားတာဝန္က်ဝန္ထမ္းတဦးက “ႀကိဳးတံတားႀကီးဟာ ေစာင္းေနၿပီ။ ေလးပင္တဲ့ ကားႀကီးေတြ ျဖတ္ရင္ ေစာင္းၿပီး လိမ္ၿပီး ျပတ္က်သြားမယ့္အႏၲရာယ္ ရွိေနတယ္။ ၿပီးခဲ့တဲ့ (၂) ပတ္ ေနျပည္ေတာ္က အင္ဂ်င္နီယာအဖဲြ႔ ဆင္းလာၿပီး စစ္တယ္၊ တံတား အေျခအေန မေကာင္းဘူးဆိုၿပီး တန္ (၂ဝ) ေအာက္ကားေတြကိုပဲ ျဖတ္သန္းခြင့္ျပဳဖို႔ ၫႊန္ၾကားသြားတယ္” ဟု ေျပာသည္။
မူလက တံတားႀကီးေပၚတြင္ တန္ (၆၀) ေအာက္ကားမ်ား ျဖတ္သန္း၍ရေသာ္လည္း တံတားတည္ေဆာက္ရာတြင္ အင္ဂ်င္နီယာပိုင္းဆိုင္ရာ အားနည္းခ်က္မ်ားရွိၿပီး တံတားတာ၀န္က်မ်ားက ညပိုင္းတြင္ လာဘ္ေငြယူၿပီး တန္ (၆ဝ) အထက္ကားမ်ားကို ညအခ်ိန္ျဖတ္သန္းခြင့္ေပးခဲ့သည့္အတြက္ ယခုကဲ့သို႔ တံတားပ်က္စီးလာျခင္းျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း ၎က ေျပာသည္။
(၁၂) ဘီးကားမ်ားႏွင့္ ထိုင္းနယ္စပ္ ျမဝတီမွ ရန္ကုန္သို႔ ကုန္စည္မ်ားတင္သြင္းေနသည့္ ကုန္သည္တဦးကလည္း ေကာ့ကရိတ္တံတားေရာက္သည္ႏွင့္ ကားေပၚပါလာသည့္ပစၥည္းမ်ားကို ေထာ္လာဂ်ီႏွင့္ အေခါက္ေခါက္တင္ၿပီး တံတားကို ျဖတ္ရေၾကာင္း ေျပာသည္။
၎က “ကားေပၚမွာ ပစၥည္းေတြ ကုန္သေလာက္နီးပါးျဖစ္မွ တန္ (၂ဝ) ေအာက္အျဖစ္ ျဖတ္သန္းခြင့္ရတယ္။ ေနာက္ တံတားတဖက္ကို ျပန္ေရာက္မွ စုပံုထားတဲ့ ပစၥည္းေတြကို ကားေပၚျပန္တင္ၿပီး ခရီးဆက္ရတယ္။ ဒီလမ္းမွာ ကုန္ကားေတြ အမ်ားႀကီးရိွလို႔ ယာဥ္ေၾကာပိတ္ဆို႔ၿပီး ပစၥည္းကဲ့ရတာ အခ်ိန္အေတာ္ၾကာတယ္။ ဒီအတြက္ ကုန္ပစၥည္း သယ္ယူပို႔ေဆာင္ခေတြ ႀကီးျမင့္လာတာျဖစ္တယ္” ဟု ေျပာသည္။
ရန္ကုန္-ဘားအံ-ေကာ့ကရိတ္-ျမဝတီ ကားလမ္းေပၚရိွ ေကာ့ကရိတ္-ျမဝတီ ကားလမ္းသည္ ေဒါနေတာင္တန္းေပၚတြင္ ျဖတ္သန္းေဖာက္လုပ္ထားၿပီး လမ္းက်ဥ္းသည့္အတြက္ ကားမ်ားသည္ အတက္တေန႔ အဆင္းတေန႔ တလွည့္စီ ေမာင္းၾကရသည္။
အဆိုပါလမ္းသည္ စစ္ေဆးေရးဂိတ္မ်ားၿပီး လာဘ္ေငြေတာင္းအမ်ားဆံုး လမ္းျဖစ္သည္ဟုလည္း ကုန္သည္မ်ားက ေျပာသည္။
ထိုင္းႏိုင္ငံက ေကာ့ကရိတ္-ျမ၀တီကားလမ္းကို ႏွစ္လမ္းသြားအျဖစ္ ေဖာက္လုပ္ေပးေနေသာ္လည္း ၿပီးစီးျခင္း မရွိေသးေပ။ ျမန္မာႏိုင္ငံ၏ ကုန္သြယ္ေရးတြင္ အေရးပါသည့္ မႏၲေလး-မူဆယ္လမ္းမွ တံတားမ်ား၊ ရန္ကုန္-ဘားအံ-ျမဝတီလမ္းမွ တံတားမ်ားသည္လည္း ပ်က္စီးယိုယြင္းလ်က္ရွိၿပီး မၾကာခဏ ျပင္ဆင္ရေသာေၾကာင့္ ကုန္စည္စီးဆင္းမႈ ေႏွာင့္ေႏွးမႈမ်ား ျဖစ္ေပၚေလ့ရိွေၾကာင္းလည္း သိရသည္။
ယခု ဂ်ိဳင္းတံတား (ေကာ့ကရိတ္) ကို နဝတ စစ္အစိုးရလက္ထက္တြင္ ေဆာက္လုပ္ခဲ့ျခင္းျဖစ္ၿပီး (၁ဝ) ႏွစ္ဝန္းက်င္အတြင္း ပ်က္စီးယိုယြင္းလာျခင္းျဖစ္သည္။
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ရန္ကုန္တြင္ ဘန္ကီမြန္း သတင္းစာရွင္းလင္းပြဲလုပ္
ျပည္တြင္းမီဒီယာမ်ား ေမးျမန္းခြင့္မရ
NEJ / ၆ ဇူလိုင္ ၂၀၀၉
၂၀၁၀ ျပည့္ႏွစ္တြင္ က်င္းပမည့္ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲအား စစ္အစိုးရအေနျဖင့္ လြတ္လပ္ေသာ၊ တရားမွ်တေသာ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲ ျဖစ္ရန္ ေဆာင္ရြက္သင့္ေသာ္လည္း ယခုတိုင္ ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ႏွင့္ ႏိုင္ငံေရးအက်ဥ္းသားမ်ားအား လႊတ္မေပးေသးေၾကာင္း ကုလသမဂၢအတြင္းေရးမႉးခ်ဳပ္ ဘန္ကီမြန္းက ေျပာသည္။
နအဖစစ္အစိုးရသည္ လူ႔အခြင့္အေရးဆိုင္ရာကိစၥရပ္မ်ားကိုလည္း လိုက္နာမႈမရွိေၾကာင္း ဇူလိုင္လ (၄) ရက္ ညေနတြင္ ရန္ကုန္ ၿမိဳ႕ မူးယစ္ေဆး၀ါးျပတိုက္ခန္းမတြင္ ျပဳလုပ္သည့္ သတင္းစာရွင္းလင္းပြဲ၌ မစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္းက ေျပာၾကားခဲ့သည္။
သတင္းစာရွင္းလင္းပြဲသို႔ ျပည္တြင္းသတင္းဂ်ာနယ္မ်ားမွ သတင္းတာ၀န္ခံမ်ား၊ ႏိုင္ငံျခားသံတမန္မ်ား၊ ကုလသမဂၢအဖြဲ႔ အစည္းအသီးသီးတို႔မွ တာ၀န္ရွိသူမ်ား တက္ေရာက္ခဲ့ၾကသည္။
ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ႏွင့္ ေတြ႔ဆံုခြင့္ကို ေတာင္းဆိုေသာ္လည္း ဗိုလ္ခ်ဳပ္မႉးႀကီးသန္းေရႊက ေတြ႔ဆံုခြင့္မေပးခဲ့ေၾကာင္း တက္ေရာက္ၾကသည့္ ပရိသတ္မ်ားအား မစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္းက ေျပာၾကားခဲ့သည္။
ကုလသမဂၢအဖြဲ႔၏ အတြင္းေရးမႉးခ်ဳပ္တေယာက္အေနျဖင့္ ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ႏွင့္ ေတြဆုံခြင့္ေတာင္းျခင္းကို ခြင့္မေပးသည့္လုပ္ရပ္သည္ ျမန္မာစစ္အစိုးရ၏ သေဘာထားကို ျပလိုက္ျခင္းျဖစ္သည္ဟုလည္း ၎က သတင္းစာ ရွင္းလင္းပြဲတြင္ ေျပာၾကားခဲ့သည္။
“ၾကည့္ရတာ ဘန္ကီမြန္းက ေတာ္ေတာ္ေလးကို စိတ္ဓာတ္က်ေနပံုရတယ္။ သူက ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည့္နဲ ့ေတြ႔ဆံုခြင့္ ရလိမ့္မယ္လို ့ေမွ်ာ္လင့္ထားပံုရတယ္” ဟု သတင္းစာရွင္းလင္းပြဲတက္ေရာက္ခဲ့သည့္ ျပည္တြင္းမွ သတင္းဂ်ာနယ္အယ္ဒီတာ တဦးက ေျပာသည္။
ျပည္တြင္းမီဒီယာမ်ားက ေမးခြန္းမ်ား ေမးခြင့္ရရန္ ေမွ်ာ္လင့္ခဲ့ၾကေသာ္လည္း ဘန္ကီမြန္းကို ေမးခြန္းမ်ား ေမးခြင့္မေပးေၾကာင္း ရွင္းလင္းပြဲတက္ခဲ့သည့္ ျပည္တြင္းသတင္းေထာက္တဦးက ေျပာသည္။
ဘန္ကီမြန္းက ျမန္မာႏိုင္ငံ၏ လူေနမႈအဆင့္အတန္း နိမ့္က်ေၾကာင္း၊ ၂၀၁၀ ေရြးေကာက္ပြဲအတြက္ ႏိုင္ငံေရးပါတီမ်ား၊ ၿငိမ္းခ်မ္းေရးယူထားေသာအဖြဲ႔အစည္းမ်ားအား လြတ္လပ္စြာ စည္း႐ံုးလႈံ႔ေဆာ္္ခြင့္ေပးထားသင့္ၿပီျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း ေျပာၾကားခဲ့သည္။
ကုလသမဂၢအတြင္းေရးမႉးခ်ဳပ္ ဘန္ကီမြန္းသည္ ဇူလိုင္လ (၃) ရက္ နံနက္ ျမန္မာစံေတာ္ခ်ိန္ (၉) နာရီခြဲတြင္ ရန္ကုန္ အျပည္ျပည္ဆိုင္ရာေလဆိပ္သို႔ ေရာက္ရွိခဲ့ၿပီး ဇူလိုင္ (၄) ရက္ ညေန (၇) နာရီခန္႔တြင္ ျမန္မာႏိုင္ငံမွ ျပန္လည္ထြက္ခြာ သြားသည္။
မစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္းသည္ ခရီးစဥ္အတြင္း နာဂစ္ဒဏ္သင့္ ဧရာဝတီတိုင္း က်ံဳဒါးေက်းရြာကို သြားေရာက္ခဲ့ေၾကာင္း သိရသည္။
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ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ႏွင့္ ေတြ႔ခြင့္မေပးႏုိင္ေၾကာင္း
ႀကဳိတင္အသိေပးထားဟု နအဖသတင္းစာတြင္ေဖာ္ျပ
NEJ / ၆ ဇူလိုင္ ၂၀၀၉
ကုလသမဂၢအတြင္းေရးမႉးခ်ဳပ္ မစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္းအား ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ႏွင့္ ေတြ႔ခြင့္မေပးႏုိင္ေၾကာင္း ႀကဳိတင္အသိေပး ထားၿပီးျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း နအဖသတင္းစာမ်ားတြင္ ေဖာ္ျပထားသည္။
ကုလသမဂၢအတြင္းေရးမႉးခ်ဳပ္ မစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္း၏ ခရီးစဥ္အတြက္ မစၥတာဂမ္ဘာရီ လာေရာက္ညႇိႏႈိင္းစဥ္ကပင္ ထုိကိစၥအား အသိေပးၿပီးျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း သိရသည္။
မစၥတာဂမ္ဘာရီ၏ ဇြန္ (၂၆) ရက္ ခရီးစဥ္အတြင္း ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံျခားေရး၀န္ႀကီး ဦးဉာဏ္၀င္းႏွင့္ ေတြ႔ဆုံေဆြးေႏြးခဲ့သည္ ဆုိသည္မွလြဲ၍ ကုလသမဂၢဘက္က အေသးစိတ္ေျပာဆုိျခင္းမျပဳခဲ့ေပ။
ယခုအခါ မစၥတာဂမ္ဘာရီ၏ အႀကဳိခရီးစဥ္အတြင္း ႀကဳိတင္ညႇိႏႈိင္းထားခ်က္မ်ားကုိ ျမန္မာစစ္အစုိးရက ဖြင့္ဟလုိက္ျခင္း ျဖစ္သည္။
မစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္းသည္ ၎၏ (၂) ရက္တာခရီးစဥ္အတြင္း ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္မႉးႀကီးသန္းေရႊႏွင့္ (၂) ႀကိမ္တုိင္တုိင္ေတြြ႔ဆုံခဲ့ၿပီး ႏွစ္ႀကိမ္စလုံးတြင္ ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ႏွင့္ ေတြ႔ဆုံႏုိင္ေရး အေလးေပးေျပာဆုိခဲ့ေသာ္လည္း ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္မႉးႀကီးသန္းေရႊက ယင္းကိစၥကုိ ျငင္းပယ္ခဲ့သည္။
ထုိသုိ႔ျငင္းပယ္ရာတြင္ ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္မႉးႀကီးသန္းေရႊက လြတ္လပ္မွ်တစြာ ေဆာင္ရြက္ေနေသာ တရားစီရင္မႈတြင္ မိမိတုိ႔အေနျဖင့္ အတြင္းေရးမႉးခ်ဳပ္ႏွင့္ ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္တုိ႔ ေတြ႔ဆုံေပးႏုိင္ခြင့္မရွိပါေၾကာင္းဟု သုံးႏႈန္းေျပာဆုိသြားသည္။
သုိ႔ေသာ္ ႏုိင္ငံတကာအသုိင္းအ၀ုိင္းႏွင့္ ျမန္မာ့ဒီမိုကေရစီေရး လႈပ္ရွားသူမ်ားကမူ တရားခြင္သည္ လြတ္လပ္မွ်တမႈမရွိဟု ယုံၾကည္ၾကသည္။
အင္းစိန္ေထာင္အထူးတရားခြင္ကုိ နအဖစစ္အစုိးရက တံခါးပိတ္စစ္ေဆးေနၿပီး သံတမန္အသုိင္းအ၀ုိင္းႏွင့္ သတင္းသမားမ်ားကုိ ႏွစ္ႀကိမ္၀င္ေရာက္ခြင့္ျပဳခဲ့ေသာ္လည္း ေမးျမန္းသတင္းရယူခြင့္ မေပးခဲ့ေခ်။
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ပထမဦးဆုံး MNL ဖလား မႏၱေလးရသြားၿပီ
ဧရာဝတီ
ျမန္မာ့ေၾကးစား ေဘာလုံးေလာက၏ ပဲြဦးထြက္ MNL CUP Grand Royal 2009 ဖလား ဗုိလ္လုပဲြကုိ လူဦးေရ ကန္႔သတ္ ျပဳလုပ္မည္ဟု အသံထြက္ခ့ဲေသာ္လည္း ယမန္ေန႔ညေနက ရန္ကုန္တြင္ အဆုိပါ ဗုိလ္လုပဲြ က်င္းပေသာအခါ ကြင္းလွ်ံထြက္သြားသည္။
ေဘာလုံးဝါသနာရွင္မ်ား သုဝဏၰကြင္း ေလးဘက္ေလးတန္ ျပည့္သြားကာ လက္ရမ္းေဘာင္မ်ားေပၚတြင္ပင္ ကုတ္တြယ္ တက္ထုိင္ၿပီး အားေပးၾကသည္။ လူသြားလမ္းမ်ားတြင္လည္း မတ္တတ္ရပ္ ၾကည့္သူမ်ားျဖင့္ ျပည့္ႏွက္ေနသည္။
ဗုိလ္လုပဲြစဥ္ကုိ ရုပ္ျမင္သံၾကားတြင္ တုိက္ရုိက္ ထုတ္လႊင့္ ျပသေသာေၾကာင့္ ညေနပုိင္း လွ်ပ္စစ္မီးရရိွသူ ရန္ကုန္ေဒသခံမ်ားက ေနအိမ္ ရုပ္ျမင္သံၾကားေရွ႕မွ အားေပးၾကသည္။
ေဘာလုံးကြင္းအထိ သြားေရာက္အားေပးၾကသူမ်ားမွာ ပဲြမစမီ သုံးေလးနာရီ ခန္႔ကပင္ တဖဲြဖဲြ ႀကိဳတင္ေရာက္ေနၾကသည္။
ပရိသတ္က ဆူဆူညံညံ အားေပးသက့ဲသုိ႔ ႏွစ္ဘက္ အားကစားသမားမ်ားကလည္း ၾကမ္းၾကမ္းတမ္းတမ္း ကစားၾကသည္။ သုိ႔ေသာ္လည္း ဒုိင္လူႀကီးက အဝါကတ္ ၅ ႀကိမ္သာ ထုတ္ျပခ့ဲသည္။
ေၾကးစား ေဘာလုံးအသင္း ၈ သင္းထဲမွ အေကာင္းဆုံး အသင္း ၂ သင္း ျဖစ္ေသာ ရတနာပံု FC အသင္းႏွင့္ ရန္ကုန္ ယူႏိုက္တက္ FC အသင္းတုိ႔ အႀကိတ္အနယ္ ယွဥ္ၿပိဳင္ၾကသည့္ ဗုိလ္လုပဲြ ျဖစ္သည္။
ရတနာပံု FC အသင္းသည္ မႏၱေလးတုိင္းကုိယ္စားျပဳအသင္းျဖစ္သည္။ ရန္ကုန္ ယူႏိုက္တက္ FC အသင္းမွာ ရန္ကုန္တုိင္းကုိ ကုိယ္စားျပဳသည္။
ရန္ကုန္ယူႏုိက္တက္အသင္းသည္ ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္မွဴးႀကီး သန္းေရႊႏွင့္ နီးစပ္သည္ဟု သတင္းထြက္ေနေသာ ဦးေတဇ ပုိင္ဆုိင္သည့္အသင္း ျဖစ္သည္။ ထုိ႔ေၾကာင့္ ဒုိင္လူႀကီးမ်ား အားကုိးျဖင့္ ရန္ကုန္အသင္း အႏုိင္ရရိွေရးကုိ ေဆာင္ရြက္လိမ့္မည္ဟုပင္ တခ်ဳိ႕က တြက္ဆထားၾကသည္။
ထုိတြက္ဆခ်က္မ်ား မွားသြားသည္။ ရတနာပံု FC အသင္း အႏုိင္ရၿပီး ဖလားကုိ ဆြတ္ခူးသြားေလသည္။ ႏွစ္ဂိုးစီ သေရက်ေနသျဖင့္ ပင္နယ္တီ ဆံုးျဖတ္ခ်က္ ခံယူခဲ့ရာ ရတနာပုံအသင္းက ၆ ဂုိး ၃ ဂုိးျဖင့္ အႏုိင္ရရိွသြားျခင္း ျဖစ္သည္။
ရန္ကုန္အသင္း အသင္းေခါင္းေဆာင္ ဂုိးသမား ေအာင္ေအာင္ဦးက အစြမ္းကုန္ ကာကြယ္ေသာ္လည္း ဂုိးမ်ား အသြင္းခံရသည္။
သုိ႔ေသာ္လည္း သူ၏ ႀကိဳးပမ္းခ်က္မွာ ၆ ဂုိး အသြင္းခံခ့ဲရသျဖင့္ ခ်ီးက်ဴးျခင္း မခံရေပ။
“ဟုိခုန္ ဒီခုန္နဲ႔ ဟန္ေရးျပတာ မ်ားသြားတယ္ေလ။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ အသြင္းခံရတာ” ဟု ရန္ကုန္အသင္းဘက္မွ အားေပးသူ ရန္ကုန္သားတဦးက ေျပာသည္။
ရတနာပုံ အသင္းဘက္မွ ေလာင္းေၾကးထပ္သူတခ်ဳိ႕မွလဲြ၍ ရန္ကုန္သား အမ်ားစုမွာ ရန္ကုန္အသင္းဘက္မွ အားေပးၾကသူမ်ားျဖစ္သည္။
ရန္ကုန္အသင္းက ဂုိးရရိွခ်ိန္တြင္ တီဗီၾကည့္ ပရိသတ္ထံမွ “ဂုိး”ဟူေသာ ဝမ္းသာအားရ ေအာ္ဟစ္လုိက္သံမ်ား ဆူညံသြားသည္။
“လမ္းထဲမွာေတာ့ တီဗီကေန ေတာ္ေတာ္ ၾကည့္ၾကတယ္။ ရန္ကုန္က ဂုိးသြင္းလုိက္ရင္ေတာ့ က်ဳပ္တုိ႔ တုိက္ခန္းေတြမွာ ေျခေဆာင့္ၿပီး ေအာ္ၾကတာ ပြက္ေလာရုိက္ေနတာပဲ။ ဟုိက သြင္းလုိက္ရင္ေတာ့ ျငိမ္သြားပါေလေရာ၊ လုံးဝ အသံ မထြက္ေတာ့ဘူး” ဟု ရန္ကုန္ၿမိဳ႕လယ္ အထပ္ျမင့္တုိက္ခန္းတခုတြင္ ေနထုိင္သူ စာေရးဆရာတဦးက ေျပာသည္။
ေဘာလုံးပဲြ က်င္းပရာ သုဝဏၰကြင္းထဲတြင္လည္း ေအာ္ဟစ္ အားေပးသံမ်ားျဖင့္ ဆူပြက္ေနသည္။ ရန္ကုန္တြင္ ျပဳလုပ္ေသာပဲြ ျဖစ္ေသာ္လည္း မႏၱေလးမွ ပရိသတ္အမ်ားအျပား ေရာက္ေနေသာေၾကာင့္ ပရိသတ္က ဆတူခန္႔ ျဖစ္သြားသည္။
ဗုိလ္လုပဲြသုိ႔ သြားေရာက္ ၾကည့္ရႈမည့္ ပရိသတ္ အေရအတြက္ကုိ ကန္႔သတ္သည့္ အာဏာပုိင္တုိ႔က ဝင္ေၾကးကုိလည္း တုိးျမွင့္ခ့ဲရာ ရိုးရိုးတန္း လက္မွတ္ကုိ က်ပ္ ၅ဝဝ မွ က်ပ္ ၂ဝဝဝ သုိ႔ ေျပာင္းလုိက္သည္။ အထူးတန္း က်ပ္ ၁ဝဝဝ တန္လက္မွတ္မွာ က်ပ္ ၃ဝဝဝ ျဖစ္သြားသည္။
“အဲလိုသတ္မွတ္တာက ပရိသတ္ တခ်ိဳ႕ ဆူပူမွာကို ကာကြယ္ရာ ေရာက္သလို အသင္းႀကီးေတြ ယွဥ္ၿပိဳင္တဲ့ အခါ ပရိသတ္ကို ထိန္းတဲ့ သေဘာပါ” ဟု ျမန္မာ ႏုိင္ငံ ေဘာလံုး အဖြဲ႔ခ်ဳပ္ ျပန္ၾကား ေရးတာဝန္ခံ ဦးစိုးမိုးက သတင္းေထာက္မ်ားကုိ ေျပာဖူးသည္။
က်ပ္ ၃ဝဝဝ တန္ အထူးတန္း ပဲြၾကည့္စင္ လက္မွတ္မွာ ကြင္းအျပင္ဘက္ ေမွာင္ခုိ ေစ်းကြက္တြင္ က်ပ္ ၉ဝဝဝ ဝန္းက်င္ ျဖစ္သြားသည္။
သုဝဏၰကြင္း အျပင္ဘက္ရိွ လက္မွတ္ မရသည့္ ေထာင္ႏွင့္ ခ်ီေသာ ပရိသတ္ကုိလည္း ေဘာလုံးပဲြ တနည္းတဖုံ ၾကည့္ႏုိင္ရန္ အာဏာပုိင္တုိ႔က စီစဥ္ေပးသည္။ သုဝဏၰ ေလ့က်င့္ေရးကြင္း အမွတ္ ၁ ႏွင့္ အမွတ္ ၂ တုိ႔တြင္ ပရုိဂ်က္တာ ျဖင့္ ျပသခ့ဲျခင္းျဖစ္သည္။
ေမလ ၁၆ ရက္ေန ့မွ စတင္ က်င္းပခဲ ့ေသာ ျမန္မာေနရွင္နယ္လိ ပဲြစဥ္မ်ားကုိ ျမန္မာ့ေဘာလုံး ဝါသနာရွင္မ်ားက ဝမ္းသာအားရ ၾကည့္ရႈအားေပးၾကသည္။ ျမန္မာ့ေဘာလုံးေလာက တေခတ္ဆန္းလာၿပီဟု ႀကိဳဆုိၾကသက့ဲသုိ႔ အာဏာပုိင္တုိ႔၏ ေဘာလုံးေျခလွမ္းကုိ သံသယ ဝင္ၾကသူမ်ားလည္း ရိွသည္။
အာဏာပုိင္တုိ႔က ၂ဝ၁ဝ ေရြးေကာက္ပဲြအတြက္ မဲဆြယ္လုိေသာေၾကာင့္ ေၾကးစား ကလပ္အသင္းမ်ား ဖဲြ႔စည္းေစၿပီး ၿပိဳင္ပဲြမ်ား ျပဳလုပ္ေစျခင္းျဖစ္သည္ဟု သုံးသပ္သူမ်ားလည္း ရိွသည္။ ျမန္မာျပည္၏ ႏုိင္ငံေရးအေျခအေနမ်ားကုိ အာရုံမစုိက္ေစရန္ ျပဳလုပ္သည့္ အစီအစဥ္မ်ားတြင္ ေဘာလုံးပဲြမ်ားလည္း ပါဝင္သည္ဟု အခ်ဳိ႕က ယူဆေနၾကသည္။
ယခုႏွစ္မကုန္မီ ျမန္မာေနရွင္နယ္လိ ပဲြစဥ္တခု ထပ္မံ ေပၚေပါက္လာဦးမည္ဟု အမ်ားက ယုံၾကည္ေနၾကသည္။
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ထိုင္းဝန္ႀကီးခ်ဳပ္ ျမန္မာျပည္သြားမည္
Monday, 06 July 2009 18:17 သန္းထိုက္ဦး
ထုိင္းႏိုင္ငံ ၀န္ႀကီးခ်ဳပ္ အဖိဆစ္ ေ၀့ခ်ာခ်ီ၀သည္ ဇူလိုင္လအကုန္တြင္ ျမန္မာျပည္သုိ႔ သြားေရာက္မည္ ျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း ယေန႔ထုတ္ ဘန္ေကာက္ပို႔စ္ သတင္းစာတြင္ ေရးသားထားသည္။
ကမၻာ့ကုလသမဂၢ အေထြေထြ အတြင္းေရးမႉးခ်ဳပ္ မစၥတာ ဘန္ကီမြန္းသည္ ဇူလိုင္ ၃ ရက္ႏွင့္ ၄ ရက္ေန႔မ်ားတြင္ ျမန္မာျပည္သို႔ သြားေရာက္ခဲ့ၿပီးအျပန္ ဘန္ေကာက္ေလဆိပ္၌ ေခတၱ ရပ္နားစဥ္ ထုိင္း၀န္ႀကီးခ်ဳပ္ အဖိဆစ္ ႏွင့္ ေတြ႕ဆံုသည့္သတင္း၌ ယင္းခရီးစဥ္ႏွင့္ပတ္သက္ၿပီး ထည့္သြင္း ေဖာ္ျပထားျခင္း ျဖစ္သည္။
ထိုင္း အစုိးရ ေျပာခြင့္ရပုဂၢဳိလ္ ပါနိတန္၀ါတန္ယာခြန္က ၀န္ႀကီးခ်ဳပ္ အဖိဆစ္ ေ၀့ခ်ာခ်ီ၀သည္ ယခုလ ကုန္ပုိင္း တြင္ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံသုိ႔ သြားေရာက္မည္ ျဖစ္ၿပီး ဤ ခရီးစဥ္သည္ ၎၏ ပထမဆုံး ျမန္မာျပည္ ခရီးစဥ္ ျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း သတင္းစာတြင္ ေရးသားထားသည္။
ရန္ကုန္ၿမိဳ႕ အင္းစိန္ အက်ဥ္းေထာင္တြင္း အထူးတရား႐ံုးတြင္ အမႈရင္ဆိုင္ေနရေသာ ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ အပါအ၀င္ ႏိုင္ငံေရး အက်ဥ္းသားမ်ား လြတ္ေျမာက္ေရးအတြက္ ထုိင္းႏိုင္ငံ ၀န္ႀကီးခ်ဳပ္ အဖိဆစ္ ေ၀့ခ်ာခ်ီ၀က ထပ္မံေတာင္းဆို လိုက္သည္ဟု ပါနိတန္၀ါတန္ယာခြန္က ဆိုသည္။
ထုိင္းအစုိးရက ျမန္မာစစ္အစုိးရကုိ အမ်ဳိးသား ျပန္လည္သင့္ျမတ္ေရး အတြက္ ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ ႏွင့္ ႏုိင္ငံ ေရးအက်ဥ္းသားမ်ားအား လႊတ္ေပးေစလုိသည္ဟု ၀န္ႀကီးခ်ဳပ္က ေျပာဆုိခ့ဲေၾကာင္း ေရးသားထားသည္။
ကမၻာ့ ကုလသမဂၢ၏ ျမန္မာ့အေရး ၾကား၀င္ေဆာင္ရြက္ေပးေနမႈကုိလည္း ထုိင္းႏုိင္ငံအေနျဖင့္ ေထာက္ခံသည္ဟု သိရသည္။
လြန္ခဲ့သည့္ ေမလ ၁၈ ရက္ေန႔က လက္ရွိ တရားရင္ဆိုင္ေနရေသာ ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ကို အျမန္ဆုံးလႊတ္ ေပးရန္ အာဆီယံအဖြဲ႔ အလွည့္က် ဥကၠဌ တာ၀န္ယူထားသည့္ ထုိင္းႏိုင္ငံက ၀န္ႀကီးခ်ဳပ္ႏွင့္ ႏုိင္ငံျခားေရး ၀န္ႀကီး တို႔က ျမန္မာ စစ္အစိုးရအား ျပစ္တင္ေ၀ဖန္ခဲ့သည့္အတြက္ ႏွစ္ႏွိင္ငံ တင္းမာမႈမ်ား ရွိခဲ့သည္။
ယင္း ေ၀ဖန္မႈေၾကာင့္ ျမန္မာစစ္အစိုးရက အာဆီယံ လုပ္ထံုးလုပ္နည္းႏွင့္ မညီသည့္အျပင္ အေၾကာင္းအရာ အားျဖင့္ မွန္ကန္ျခင္း မရွိေသာေၾကာင့္ အာဆီယံဥကၠဌ တာဝန္ယူထားေသာ ထုိင္းႏိုင္ငံ၏ ေၾကညာခ်က္ကို အေလးအနက္ ကန္႔ကြက္သည္ဟူ၍ တန္ျပန္ေၾကညာခဲ့ၾကသည္။
မစၥတာ ဘန္ကီမြန္းသည္ ျမန္မာႏိုင္ငံသို႔ ေရာက္ရွိေနစဥ္ ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ကုိ ေတြ႕ခြင့္ေတာင္းခဲ့ရာ ျမန္မာ စစ္အစိုးရက ေတြ႔ခြင့္မျပဳခဲ့ေပ။
မစၥတာ ဘန္ကီမြန္းက ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ႏွင့္ ေတြ႔ဆုံခြင့္ မရခ့ဲသျဖင့္ စစ္အစိုးရကို စိတ္ပ်က္မိေၾကာင္း ထုိင္း ၀န္ႀကီးခ်ဳပ္ကုိ ေျပာၾကားခဲ့သည္ဟုလည္း သတင္းစာတြင္ ေရးသားထားသည္။
ဘန္ကီမြန္း၏ ၂ ရက္ ၾကာ ခရီးစဥ္သည္ ျမန္မာ့ဒီမိုကေရစီေရးႏွင့္ ပတ္သက္ၿပီး သိသာထင္ရွားသည့္ အက်ိဳးရ လဒ္ မရရွိခဲ့ေၾကာင္း ေလ့လာသူမ်ားက ေ၀ဖန္ေနၾကသည္။
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စိုက္သမွ်ဘိန္းၿခံ လိုက္လံဖ်က္ဆီးမည္ဟု စစ္အစိုးရျပည္ထဲေရး၀န္ႀကီးေျပာ
တနလၤာေန႕၊ 06 ဇူလိုင္လ 2009 သွ်မ္းသံေတာ္ဆင့္
ကုလ UNODC ၏ ျမန္မာႏိုင္ငံဘိန္းစိုက္ပ်ဳိးမႈႏွင့္ ပတ္သက္ၿပီး ထုတ္ျပန္ေၾကျငာခ်က္ေၾကာင့္ စစ္အစိုးရ ျပည္ ထဲေရး ၀န္ႀကီးက ႏိုင္ငံတ၀ွမ္းလံုးရွိ စိုက္ပ်ဳိးသမွ်ဘိန္းခင္းမ်ား ဖ်က္စီးရမည္ဟု ဂြၽန္ ၂၀၀၉ ၌ ေျပာၾကား လိုက္ ေၾကာင္းမူးယစ္ ေစာင့္ၾကည့္ေလ့လာသည့္အသိုင္းအ၀ိုင္းက ဆိုသည္။
“ျပည္သူေတြ ဘိန္းမစိုက္ေအာင္၊ စိုက္ရင္လဲ ဘယ္လိုသတင္းအခ်က္ရယူမယ္၊ ဘယ္လိုဟန္႔တား ဖ်က္စီးမယ္” စသျဖင့္ ျပည္ထဲေရး၀င္ႀကီး ကေျပာၾကားေၾကာင္း သွ်မ္းျပည္ မူးယစ္ေစာင့္ၾကည့္ေလ့လာေရး အဖြဲ႔က ဆိုသည္။
ေက်းလက္ေဒသ အႀကီးအကဲ တဦးက - အထက္က အၿမဲတမ္းယခုကဲ့သို႔ မၾကာခဏထုတ္ျပန္ တတ္ေၾကာင္း၊ ေအာက္ေျခ က အေျခအေနမသိ႐ွိ နားမလည္ဘဲ ေျပာဆိုျခင္း၊ သိရက္နဲ႔ မ်က္စိမိတ္ နားမိတ္ေျပာဆိုျခင္းလည္း ျဖစ္ႏိုင္ေၾကာင္း၊ သို႔တည္းမဟုတ္ မူးယစ္ေဆး၀ါး/ဘိန္းစိုက္ပ်ဳိးမႉအေၾကာင္း တစံုတရာ ေျပာဆိုလွ်င္ နားစြန္႔ေနသည့္ ပုဂၢိဳလ္ေတြ အတြက္ လွန္ၾကဳတ္ေျပာဆိုျခင္းလည္း ျဖစ္ႏိုင္ေၾကာင္း သွ်မ္းသံေတာ္ဆင့္သို႔ ေျပာျပပါသည္။
LNDO ေခၚ လားဟူအမ်ဳိးသားဖြဲ႔ၿဖိဳးတိုးတက္ေရးအဖြဲ႔ ေခါင္းေဆာင္ဦးဂ်ဖက္က -“အခုအေျခအေနမွာ ဘိန္း စိုက္ပ်ဳိးမႈ ပိုေတာင္မ်ားလာႏိုင္တယ္။ ဘာျဖစ္လို႔လဲဆိုေတာ့ ဘိန္းစိုက္နယ္ေျမေတြကို ဌာေနျပည္သူ႔စစ္ ေတြ ရဲ႕တာ၀န္အျဖစ္ ေဒသခံစစ္တပ္(အာဏာပိုင္)ေတြက လြဲထားလိုက္လို႔ပါဘဲ။ ျပည္သူ႔စစ္အဖြဲ႔လဲ သူတို႔အဖြဲ႔ အစည္းရပ္တည္ႏိုင္ေရးအတြက္ ေက်းလက္ လူထုေတြကို ဘိန္းစိုက္ခြင့္ျပဳတာဘဲ။ ဒါ့ေၾကာင့္ သူတို႔ဘိန္းခြန္ ေကာက္ရင္ စစ္အစိုးရတပ္အတြက္ ဘယ္ေလာက္ေပးမယ္ဆိုတာ ထဲ့တြက္တယ္” - ဟု ဆို၏။
ထို႔အျပင္ ၂၀၁၀ ေ႐ြးေကာက္ပြဲမွာ လူထုထံမွ ေထာက္ခံမဲရရန္အတြက္ ၂၀၀၉ - ၂၀၁၀ ဘိန္းစိုက္ရာသီမွာျပည္သူေတြ ဘိန္းမ်ား ပိုမိုစိုက္ပ်ဳိးခြင့္ရႏိုင္ေၾကာင္းလည္း ဦးဂ်ဖက္က သံုးသပ္ပါသည္။
၂၀၀၉ ခုႏွစ္ ကမၻာ့ မူးယစ္တုိက္ဖ်က္ေရးေန႔တြင္ UNODC ထုတ္ျပန္ခ်က္က - ျမန္မာႏိုင္ငံ၏ ၂၀၀၇-၂၀၀၈ ဘိန္းစိုက္ ရာသီတြင္ ဘိန္းခင္းဧက ၆၈,၄၄၆ အနက္ ၁၁,၉၄၈ ဧကသာဖ်က္ဆီးျခင္း၊ ၂၀၀၈-၂၀၀၉ ဘိန္း စိုက္ ရာသီတြင္ ဘိန္းစိုက္ဧက ၇၀,၄၂၃ စိုက္ပ်ဳိးၿပီး ၉,၆၀၇ ဧကသာဖ်က္ဆီးေသာေၾကာင့္ စစ္အစိုးရ၏ဘိန္းပေပ်ာက္ေရးစီမံကိန္း မထိ ေရာက္ေၾကာင္း ေထာက္ျပသျဖင့္ ယခုကဲ့သို႔ေျပာဆိုလာျခင္းသာျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း သွ်မ္းမူးယစ္ေစာင့္ၾကည့္ ေလ့လာသည့္ အဖြဲ႔က သံုးသပ္ပါသည္။
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မစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္း ႏွင့္ သွ်မ္းတိုင္းရင္းသားမ်ား ဒီမိုကေရစီအဖြဲ႔ခ်ဳပ္ေတြ႕ဆံုျခင္း (သွ်မ္းဒီခ်ဳပ္ ေျပာခြင့္ရႏွင့္ ဆက္သြယ္ေမးျမန္း)
သွ်မ္းသံေတာ္ဆင့္
ကုလအတြင္းေရးမႉး ခ်ဳပ္မစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္းနဲ႔ ေတြ႔ဆုံတဲ့ေနရာမွာ သွ်မ္းတုိင္းရင္းသားမ်ား ဒီမုိကေရစီ အဖြဲ႔ခ်ဳပ္ထဲက ဘယ္သူေတြပါသလဲခင္ဗ်ား။ ေတြ႔ဆုံေဆြးေႏြးခြင့္အခ်ိန္ဘယ္ေလာက္ရလဲ ?
SNLD ထဲက အဖြဲ႔၀င္ေတြျဖစ္ၾကတဲ့ စုိင္းေစာေအာင္နဲ႔ စုိင္းေ႐ႊၾကဴးတုိ႔ ႏွစ္ေယာက္ သြား ရာက္ ေတြ႔ဆုံပါတယ္။ ဂ်ဴလုိင္လ ၃ ရက္ ညေန ၄ နာရီ ၄၅ မိနစ္ေလာက္မွာ စ ေတြ႔တယ္။ ႏုိင္ငံ ရးပါတီ ၁၀ ခု နဲ႔အတူေတြ႔ရေတာ့ ေဆြးေႏြးခ်ိန္ ၁ နာရီ ေလာက္ဘဲ ရတယ္။ တုိင္းရင္းသား မဟာ မိတ္အဖြဲ႔ထဲကေတာ့ က်ေနာ္တို႔ SNLDနဲ႔ ကုိးကန္႔ဒီမုိကရက္တစ္ ၂ ဖြဲ႔ဘဲ၊ UNA က ေပါ့ေနာ္။
ဘာအေၾကာင္းအဓိကထားေဆြးေႏြးၿပီး ဘန္ကီမြန္းက ဘယ္လုိတုန္႔ျပန္ပါသလဲ?
ွSNLD အေနနဲ႔ ဒီမုိကေရစီေခါင္းေဆာင္ ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္နဲ႔ တုိင္းရင္းသားေခါင္း ေဆာင္ ခြန္ထြန္းဦးအပါအ၀င္ ႏုိင္ငံေရးအက်ဥ္းသားအားလုံးလႊတ္ေပးဖုိ႔ အဓိကထားေတာင္းဆုိတယ္။ ေနာက္တခ်က္ကဒီေခါင္းေဆာင္ႏွစ္ဦး အပါအ၀င္ တုိင္းရင္းသား ေခါင္းေဆာင္ေတြ ဒီမုိကေရစီအင္အား စုေတြပါ၀င္တဲ့ဘက္ကတဖက္ ၿပီးေတာ့ တပ္မေတာ္ အစုိးရဘက္က တဖက္ ေတြ႔ဆုံေဆြးေႏြးဖုိ႔ အမ်ဳိးသား ရင္ၾကားေစ့ေရးကုိ စတင ္အေကာင္အထည္ေဖာ္ဖုိ႔ ဒီႏွစ္ခ်က္ကုိ ေတာင္းဆိုပါတယ္။ အဲဒါကုိ မစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္းက - က်ေနာ္တုိ႔ မွတ္သားထားပါ့မယ္ သက္ဆုိင္ရာလူႀကီးမင္းေတြနဲ႔ ေတြ႔ရင္ ေဆြးေႏြးေပးပါ့မယ္ - လုိ႔ေျပာသြားပါတယ္။
ဒီေတြ႔ဆုံေဆြးေႏြးရတဲ့အေပၚမွာ ေက်နပ္အားရမႈ႐ွိပါသလားခင္ဗ်ား?
မ႐ွိပါဘူး။ ဘာလုိ႔လဲဆုိေတာ့ မစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္း ေျပာသြားတဲ့အခ်က္ထဲက ေနာက္ဆုံးအခ်က္ ျဖစ္တဲ့ ၂၀၁၀ေ႐ြးေကာက္ ပြဲကုိ ပြင့္လင္းျမင္သာၿပီးေတာ့မွ အားလုံး လက္ခံႏုိင္တဲ့ ေ႐ြးေကာက္ပြဲမ်ဳိး ျဖစ္ေအာင္ လုပ္ေဆာင္ပါမယ္လုိ႔ ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္မႉးႀကီး သန္းေ႐ႊက မစၥတာ ဘန္ကီမြန္းကုိ ေျပာသြားတဲ့အခ်က္ တစ္ခ်က္ဘဲ႐ွိတယ္။ က်န္တဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံေရးအက်ဥ္းသားမ်ားလြတ္ေပး မယ္ဆုိတဲ့ကိစၥ၊ အမ်ဳိးသားရင္ၾကား ေစ့ေရး ီငေူသါကန ကိစၥတုိ႔ ဘာတစ္ခုမွ အေျဖတိတိက်က်မ႐ွိေတာ့ မစၥတာ ဘန္ကီမြန္း ရဲ႕ခရီးစဥ္ဟာ ေအာင္ျမင္တယ္လုိ႔လဲမျမင္ဘူး။ ေက်နပ္အားရမႈလည္းမ႐ွိဘူးလုိ႔ေျပာခ်င္ပါတယ္ခင္ဗ်ား။
ဒီခရီးစဥ္ကေန ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္တုိ႔ ဦးခြန္ထြန္းဦးတုိ႔ ႏုိင္ငံေရးအက်ဥ္းသား တုိ႔ေတြလြတ္ ေျမာက္ဖုိ႔အတြက္ ဘယ္ေလာက္ ေမွ်ာ္လင့္ခ်က္႐ွိပါသလဲခင္ဗ်ား?
ဒီဥစၥာကေတာ့ ေတြ႔ဆုံေဆြးေႏြးေရးအေနအထား ဒီမုိကေရစီျဖစ္ထြန္းဖုိ႔အေနအထား၊ အဲဒီ အေနအထားအေပၚမွာ ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္မႉးႀကီးက ဘယ္ေလာက္အတုိင္းအတာအထိ ပါ၀င္ပူးေပါင္းလုိတဲ့ ဆႏၵ ႐ွိလဲဆုိတဲ့အခ်က္အေပၚမွာမူတည္ ပါတယ္။ က်ေနာ္တို႔ေမွ်ာ္လင့္ရတဲ့ လူေတြအေပၚမွာမမူတည္ပါဘူး။ လုပ္ေဆာင္ရမယ့္လူေတြေပၚမွာဘဲမူတည္ပါတယ္။
ေနာက္ၿပီး အမ်ဳိးသားရင္ၾကားေစ့ေရးအတြက္ ဘယ္ေလာက္ထိတုိးတက္မႈ႐ွိႏုိင္မလဲ သုံးသပ္ေပးပါဦး ခင္ဗ်ား?
ဒီခရီးစဥ္မွာ ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္နဲ႔ေတြ႔ဖုိ႔ မစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္းက မရမေန ၂ ေခါက္တိတိ ေတာင္းဆုိသြားပါတယ္။ ဒါေပမယ့္ ဒီသူ႕ရဲ႔ေတာင္းဆုိခ်က္ကုိ ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္မႉးႀကီးသန္းေ႐ႊက မလုိက္ေလ်ာတဲ့ အတြက္ေၾကာင့္ ေဒၚေအာင္ဆန္းစုၾကည္ နဲ႔ မေတြ႔လုိက္ရဘူး။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ အမ်ဳိးသားရင္ၾကားေစ့ေရးအတြက္ေနာက္ဆုတ္သြားတဲ့ေျခလွမ္း ေႏွာင့္ေႏွးၾကန္႔ၾကာ သြားတဲ့ ေျခလွမ္းလုိ႔သုံးသပ္လုိပါတယ္။ ဒီလုိေႏွာင့္ေႏွးၾကန္႔ၾကာေစတဲ့ အျဖစ္မ်ဳိးနဲ႔ဘ ဲႀကံသြားရတဲ့အတြက္ေၾကာင့္မုိ႔လုိ႔ ဒီခရီးစဥ္ဟာတုိးတက္ မႈတစုံတရာ ေက်နပ္အားရမႈ တစုံတရာမ႐ွိတဲ့ခရီးစဥ္လုိ႔ က်ေနာ္သုံးသပ္လုိပါတယ္။
တုိင္းရင္းသားေတြနဲ႔ စစ္အစုိးရၾကား ညီၫႊတ္ေရးအေျခအေနကုိေကာ သူဘယ္ေလာက္ထိစြမ္းေဆာင္ ေပးသြားလဲ ခင္ဗ်ား?
ဒါသူအမ်ားႀကီးႀကိးစားစြမ္းေဆာင္သြားခဲ့တယ္လုိ႔ေျပာလုိ႔ရတယ္။ ဥပမာ သူတခါမွ မေတြ႔ ဆုံခဲ့ရတဲ့သွ်မ္းတုိင္းရင္းသား မ်ားဒီမုိကေရစီအဖြဲ႔ခ်ဳပ္တုိ႔ တျခားတိုင္းရင္းသားလက္နက္ကိုင္တပ္ဖြဲ႔တို႔ သူေတြ႔ဆုံသြားခဲ့တယ္။ ဒါေပမယ့္သူမသိသြား တဲ့အခ်က္ကေတာ့ ဒီတုိင္းရင္းသားလက္နက္ကုိင္ အဖြဲ႔ ေတြဆုိတာက နအဖစစ္အစုိးရကလက္နက္ေပးကုိင္ထားတဲ့ ျပည္သူစစ္အဖြဲ႔ ဒါမွမဟုတ္ အေပ်ာ္တမ္း တပ္ဖြဲ႔ ဒါမွမဟုတ္ နယ္ျခားေစာင့္တပ္အသြင္ေျပာင္းဖုိ႔ သေဘာတူထားတဲ့ အဖြဲ႔ေတြနဲ႔သာ သူေတြ႔ ဆုံသြားခဲ့ရတယ္။ အျခားက်န္႐ွိတဲ့ SSA ေျမာက္ပိုင္းအပစ္ရပ္အဖြဲ႔တို႔ မြန္တို႔ ေနာက္ၿပီး စုိင္းလင္း အထူးေဒသ ၄ တပ္ဖြဲ႔တို႔ KIO တို႔ အစ႐ွိတဲ့ တပ္ဖြဲ႔ေတြနဲ႔ သူမေတြ႔ဆုံသြားခဲ့ရဘူး။ ဗမာျပည္မွာ လက္နက္ကုိင္ေနတဲ့ Ceasefire အုပ္စု နဲ႔ Non-Ceasefire အုပ္စုေတြအမ်ားႀကီးက်န္ေနေသးတယ္။
ဒီပုဂၢဳိလ္ေတြ စုံစုံလင္လင္မေတြ႔ခဲ့ရေသး သမွ်ေတာ့ ဗမာျပည္ရဲ႕ၿပီးျပည့္စုံတဲ့ ဒီမုိကေရစီႏုိင္ငံေရး ဆုိတာျဖစ္လာႏုိင္မွာ မဟုတ္ဘူး။ ဒါေၾကာင့္မုိ႔လုိ႔စစ္အစုိးရနဲ႔ တုိင္းရင္းသားေတြၾကား လုပ္ေဆာင္ ရမယ့္ကိစၥမွာမစၥတာဘန္ကီမြန္းမသိေသး တဲ့အခ်က္အလက္ေတြအမ်ားႀကီး႐ွိပါေသးတယ္။
ဒီခရီးစဥ္ေၾကာင့္ အနာဂတ္ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံရဲ႔ ႏုိင္ငံေရးအေျခအေနေျပာင္း လဲမႈ႐ွိလာမယ္လုိ႔ ေမွ်ာ္လင့္ ပါသလား?
အနည္းငယ္ေျပာင္းလဲမႈေတာ့႐ွိရင္႐ွိမွာေပါ့၊ ဒါေပမယ့္ထိေရာက္တဲ့ေျပာင္းလဲ မႈေတာ့႐ွိႏုိင္မွာ မဟုတ္ဘူး၊အကယ္လို႔ ေျပာင္းလဲမႈ႐ွိလာရင္လည္း ဒီခရီးစဥ္ေၾကာင့္ေတာ့မဟုတ္ဘူးလုိ႔သုံးသပ္လို ပါတယ္။
မစၥတာဗန္ကီမြန္း ခရီးစဥ္နဲ႔ ပတ္သက္ၿပီး ဘယ္လိုစကားမ်ဳိး ေနာက္ဆံုးေျပာလိုပါသလဲခင္ဗ်ား?
သွ်မ္းျပည္သားမ်ားေရာ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံသားအားလုံးကုိပါ အားေပးစကားေျပာခ်င္တာက အား လုံးကရပုိင္ခြင့္႐ွိတဲ့ အခြင့္ အေရးကုိ ရဲရဲ၀့ံ၀့ံမေတာင္းဆိုရဲရင္ စစ္အစုိးရရဲ႕ ဖိႏွိပ္မႈေအာက္ကေန လြတ္ ေျမာက္ႏုိင္မွာမဟုတ္ဘူး။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ကြၽႏု္ပ္တုိ႔ ႀကံဳေတြ႕ေနရတဲ့ အခက္အခဲေတြကုိ အာဆီယံတုိ႔ အီး ယူတုိ႔ သိ႐ွိေအာင္ ပြင့္ပြင့္လင္းလင္းရဲရဲ၀့ံ၀့ံထုတ္ေဖာ္ေျပာ ရဲဖုိ႔ သွ်မ္းျပည္သားေတြေရာ အပစ္ရပ္ၿငိမ္း အဖြဲ႔ေတြအားလုံးကုိပါ အားေပးခ်င္ပါတယ္။
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ဒါပဲ
Dear All,
Former UN Secretary-General U Thant's grandson, historian, former UN
Senior Officer (political department) and author of "River of the Lost Footsteps" and
"The Making of Modern Burma" Dr. Thant Myint-U was interviewed by Asia Times
Online about his views on the Myanmar issue including Ban's recent visit.
Please use this url : http://atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/KG04Ae01.html.
On sanctions:
Just over the past few years I think many more Western policymakers have
come to the conclusion that sanctions-based approaches just won't work
with a regime like Burma's. There has been a willingness to go back to
the drawing board and think about fresh approaches. Sanctions are at
best ineffective because they are not universal. The government is more
than able to survive on just trade and investment from within the
region. In the worst case, though sanctions are extremely
counter-productive, in that they've held back two forces - American
soft power and global capitalism - that could have actually started to
change things.
I fear the democracy movement has very little hope for
success if it's going to fight on the current landscape, that was
created and cultivated by the army over decades of fighting.
For me,the most important thing is to change the landscape first. The
involvement of the West through aid, investment and tourism could be a
huge part of changing this landscape. If over the past 20 years, if we
hadn't had all these sanctions and boycotts, and and instead had
focused on ending the armed conflicts, reforming the economy, and
reconnecting Burma to the world, including through global capitalism, I
think the pro-democracy movement would be in a much stronger position
today.
On UNSG Ban Ki-moon's visit:
It's incredibly hard for an international figure like Ban to simply go in
and sort things out. In North Korea for example everyone accepts the
focus is on nuclear proliferation; but - here it's much more
complicated, there are so many different issues, and international
opinion just on the nature of the problem is completely divided.
There are opportunities for Ban Ki-Moon but his success on this trip will
depend on his willingness to look at the big picture. He has to deal
with some of the immediate political challenges, but if he simply
repeats the mantra of the past many years and sees himself primarily as
a broker between the government and Aung San Suu Kyi, I'm not sure he
can get very far. I don't think he brings any leverage.
............ ......... ......... ......... ....
while other human rights violators like China is not imposed sanctions (explicitly they (West)
are afraid and can't afford to lose their interests), Myanmar has been facing severe sanctions
and international isolation for decades (ordinary people do not seem to understand this factor).
Simply they (the West) don't have any interest. All they have done is just moral concern..
The 'Lady' has been talking talking talking and is talking..... .
Moral concern is very dangerous in international relations.
Many people see the Roadmap as an opportunity and plan to contest in upcoming elections.
Perhaps there is no hope from the West as the history has already told us.
In fact, politics is to do with what you have, seize any opportunity comes, use in effective way.
True politicians. It is not too late for Burma to change.
best,
dt
Former UN Secretary-General U Thant's grandson, historian, former UN
Senior Officer (political department) and author of "River of the Lost Footsteps" and
"The Making of Modern Burma" Dr. Thant Myint-U was interviewed by Asia Times
Online about his views on the Myanmar issue including Ban's recent visit.
Please use this url : http://atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/KG04Ae01.html.
On sanctions:
Just over the past few years I think many more Western policymakers have
come to the conclusion that sanctions-based approaches just won't work
with a regime like Burma's. There has been a willingness to go back to
the drawing board and think about fresh approaches. Sanctions are at
best ineffective because they are not universal. The government is more
than able to survive on just trade and investment from within the
region. In the worst case, though sanctions are extremely
counter-productive, in that they've held back two forces - American
soft power and global capitalism - that could have actually started to
change things.
I fear the democracy movement has very little hope for
success if it's going to fight on the current landscape, that was
created and cultivated by the army over decades of fighting.
For me,the most important thing is to change the landscape first. The
involvement of the West through aid, investment and tourism could be a
huge part of changing this landscape. If over the past 20 years, if we
hadn't had all these sanctions and boycotts, and and instead had
focused on ending the armed conflicts, reforming the economy, and
reconnecting Burma to the world, including through global capitalism, I
think the pro-democracy movement would be in a much stronger position
today.
On UNSG Ban Ki-moon's visit:
It's incredibly hard for an international figure like Ban to simply go in
and sort things out. In North Korea for example everyone accepts the
focus is on nuclear proliferation; but - here it's much more
complicated, there are so many different issues, and international
opinion just on the nature of the problem is completely divided.
There are opportunities for Ban Ki-Moon but his success on this trip will
depend on his willingness to look at the big picture. He has to deal
with some of the immediate political challenges, but if he simply
repeats the mantra of the past many years and sees himself primarily as
a broker between the government and Aung San Suu Kyi, I'm not sure he
can get very far. I don't think he brings any leverage.
............ ......... ......... ......... ....
while other human rights violators like China is not imposed sanctions (explicitly they (West)
are afraid and can't afford to lose their interests), Myanmar has been facing severe sanctions
and international isolation for decades (ordinary people do not seem to understand this factor).
Simply they (the West) don't have any interest. All they have done is just moral concern..
The 'Lady' has been talking talking talking and is talking..... .
Moral concern is very dangerous in international relations.
Many people see the Roadmap as an opportunity and plan to contest in upcoming elections.
Perhaps there is no hope from the West as the history has already told us.
In fact, politics is to do with what you have, seize any opportunity comes, use in effective way.
True politicians. It is not too late for Burma to change.
best,
dt
Monday, 6 July 2009
ေဆာင္းပါး
ဘိုဘိုေက်ာ္ၿငိမ္း
စေနေန႔၊ ဇြန္လ 27 ရက္ 2009 ခုႏွစ္ 12 နာရီ 22 မိနစ္
သံတမန္ေရးရာဆုိတာ ကန္႔သတ္မႈ ရွိပါတယ္
၂၀၀၇ ခုႏွစ္ ေရႊဝါေရာင္ေတာ္လွန္ေရး ျဖစ္တုန္းက တၾကိမ္၊ နာဂစ္မွာ တၾကိမ္၊ အခု ေဒၚစုကို တရားစြဲဆုိရာမွာ တၾကိမ္၊ ျပည္တြင္းမွာ လႈပ္ရွားမႈျဖစ္တုိင္း ျပည္ပမွာ ကုလမဂၢ ဝင္ပါေတာ့လား၊ အေမရိကန္ ဝင္ပါေတာ့လား စသည္ျဖင့္ ေတာင္းဆိုမႈေတြ ၾကီးထြားတတ္ပါတယ္။ မီဒီယာေတြမွာလည္း အသံေတြ ဆူညံတတ္တာေၾကာင့္ သံတမန္အေၾကာင္းနဲ႔ ကမၻာ့ႏုိင္ငံေရး အေျပာင္းအလဲေတြကို ေဆြးေႏြးပါရေစ။ ဒီအပိုင္းက အထဲက ပရိသတ္ကို ပိုရည္စူးတာပါ။ အေၾကာင္းက က်ေနာ္နဲ႔ မိသားစုခ်င္း ရင္းႏွီးတဲ့ ငယ္ငယ္ကတည္းက သိခဲ့တဲ့ မဆလအစိုးရက ျပန္ေခၚလုိ႔သာ ျပန္လာရလု႔ိ ပါရဂူဘြဲ႕မရခဲ့ေပမယ့္ ပါရဂူအဆင့္ရွိတဲ့ ပညာတတ္တေယာက္နဲ႔ ျပန္လည္ေတြ႔ဆံုရတဲ့အခါမွာ ယူအန္ (UN) က ဘာလုပ္ေနလဲလို႔ ေမးတာ ၾကံဳဖူးလို႔ပါ။
UN ဆုိတာက ႏုိင္ငံတုိင္းကို ျပႆနာေပၚတုိင္း ဝင္မစြက္ဖက္ႏုိင္ပါဘူး။ ကုလသမဂၢရဲ႕ အေထြေထြအတြင္းေရးမႉးဟာ ကုလသမဂၢရဲ႕ လံုၿခံဳေရးေကာင္စီက ေစခိုင္းတဲ့အတုိင္း လုပ္ရတာပါ။ လံုၿခံဳေရးေကာင္စီမွာ တခ်က္လႊတ္အာဏာ Veto Power ရွိတဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံ ၅ ႏုိင္ငံကို ၾကီး ၅ ၾကီးလို႔ ေခၚပါတယ္။ ဒီႏုိင္ငံ ၅ ႏုိင္ငံကပဲ လံုၿခံဳေရးေကာင္စီမွာ အၿမဲပါဝင္ၿပီး က်န္ႏုိင္ငံေတြက အလွည့္က်သာ ပါဝင္ရပါတယ္။ ဒုတိယကမၻာစစ္ကို ႏုိင္ခဲ့တဲ့ မဟာမိတ္ေတြျဖစ္တဲ့ အေမရိကန္၊ အဂၤလိပ္၊ ျပင္သစ္၊ ဆိုဗီယက္နဲ႔ ေနာက္မွ တ႐ုတ္ ပါလာတာပါ။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ဒီဗီတိုအာဏာရွိတဲ့ ႏိုင္ငံေတြက သေဘာမတူဘဲ ဘာမွ လုပ္လို႔ မရပါ။
ကိုရီးယားစစ္မွာပဲ ဆိုဗီယက္ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ ေရခ်ဳိးခန္းအသြားမွာ မဲခြဲခဲ့လို႔ UN က ကိုရီးယားမွာ ဝင္ခြင့္ရခဲ့တာပါ။ (မွတ္ခ်က္ - ထို္စဥ္က တ႐ုတ္ မပါေသးပါ။ ထိုင္ဝမ္ကို အသိအမွတ္ျပဳၾကပါေသးတယ္။) ယူဂိုဆလပ္ႏုိင္ငံ ကြဲထြက္သြားၿပီး ေဘာ့စနီးယားစစ္ပဲြမွာ ဆိုဗီယက္ဗီတိုကို UN မွာ မေက်ာ္ႏိုင္ခဲ့တဲ့အတြက္ UN အျပင္ဘက္က ေနတိုး NATO အေနနဲ႔ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြက ဝင္စြက္ဖက္ခ့ဲၾကရတာပါ။
ဒါေၾကာင့္ UN မွာ ျပႆနာတခုကို တင္ခ်င္ရင္ ၾကီး ၅ ၾကီးထဲက တႏုိင္ငံက မကန္႔ကြက္ဖုိ႔ လိုပါတယ္။ ထုိ႔ျပင္ UN မွာ ကိုယ္ပိုင္စစ္တပ္မရွိပါ။ UN အဖြဲ႕ဝင္ေတြဆီက တပ္ကို ေတာင္းခံရပါတယ္။ ထို႔အတြက္ UN ပါဝင္ကိုင္တြယ္လာဖုိ႔ ကမၻာ့အင္အားၾကီး ႏုိင္ငံၾကီးေတြအၾကား ႏုိင္ငံေရးကို နားလည္ရပါမယ္။
ဒုတိယကမၻာစစ္အၿပီးမွာ အေရွ႕နဲ႔ အေနာက္ဆိုၿပီး ကြန္ျမဴနစ္စနစ္ က်င့္သံုးေသာ ႏုိင္ငံေတြနဲ႔ ဒီမိုကေရစီက်င့္သံုးတဲ့ ႏိုင္ငံေတြဆိုၿပီး ကမၻာၾကီးဟာ ၂ ျခမ္းကြဲေနခဲ့ပါတယ္။ ဆိုဗီယက္ ႐ုရွားၿပိဳကြဲၿပီး ကမၻာမွာ ကြန္ျမဴနစ္စနစ္ က်ဆံုးသြားအၿပီး တ႐ုတ္ကလည္း တိန္ေရွာင္ပိန္ရဲ႕ ေစ်းကြက္စီးပြားေရး အေျပာင္းအလဲ ၾကားကာလျဖစ္ေနေတာ့ ကမၻာ့အင္အားၾကီး မဟာအင္အားၾကီး ဆူပါ ပါဝါအျဖစ္ အေမရိကန္ပဲ က်န္ရစ္ခဲ့ပါတယ္။ ပထမ အီရတ္စစ္မွာ အေမရိကန္က Smart Bombs လို႔ေခၚေသာ အစြမ္းထက္တဲ့ ဗံုးေတြသံုးၿပီး စစ္အင္အားျပခဲ့ရာ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ အရွိန္ဟာ ကမၻာမွာ ၾကီးမားခဲ့ပါတယ္။
ဆိုဗီယက္ေတြဟာ ယဲ့လ္ဆင္ လက္ထက္မွာ ကြန္ျမဴနစ္စီးပြားေရးစနစ္မွ ေစ်းကြက္ စီးပြားေရးအေျပာင္းမွာ GDP စုစုေပါင္း ထြက္ကုန္ဟာ ၄ဝ % မွ် ခြ်တ္ၿခံဳက်သြားပါတယ္။ အေမရိကန္ စီးပြားေရးပညာရွင္ေတြက တခ်ီတည္း ေျပာင္းရမယ္။ Shock Treatment ဆိုၿပီး ဖိအားေပးလမ္းညႊန္ခဲ့ပါတယ္။ အရက္နဲ႔ တြဲဖက္ေနတတ္တဲ့ ယဲ့လ္ဆင္ကလည္း ႏုိင္ငံပိုင္ လုပ္ငန္းၾကီးမ်ားကို အလကားေပးသေလာက္နီးနီး ေရာင္းခဲ့ရာ ေတဇတုိ႔လို ေခတ္ေပၚသူေ႒းၾကီးေတြ ေပၚလာၿပီး စီးပြားေရး ဖ႐ိုဖရဲ ျဖစ္ခဲ့ရပါတယ္။ အစိုးရမွာ ေငြမရွိေတာ့ ဆိုဗီယက္စစ္တပ္မွာလည္း ဖ႐ိုဖရဲနဲ႔ စစ္အင္အားကို ေလ်ာ့ရေတာ့ စစ္တပ္လည္း တပ္ပ်က္လုနီးပါး ခ်ဳိ႕ယြင္းအားနည္းခဲ့ပါတယ္။
ဒီိလုိ ႐ုရွားႏုိင္ငံ ကြ်မ္းထိုးေမွာက္ခံု ျဖစ္ေနခ်ိန္မွာ ကမၻာမွာ အေမရိကန္ႏုိင္ငံ တႏုိင္ငံပဲ ဆူပါပါဝါ ႏုိင္ငံအျဖစ္ က်န္ပါေတာ့တယ္။ ဆိုဗီယက္အင္ပါယာၾကီး ၿပိဳကြဲခ်ိန္မွာ အေရွ႕ဥေရာပ ႏုိင္ငံေတြကလည္း ခြဲထြက္ကာ လြတ္လပ္ေရး ေတာင္းဆုိခဲ့ၾကပါတယ္။ ဒီလို ႐ုရွားႏုိင္ငံဟာ ၿပိဳကြဲနိမ့္က်ခ်ိန္မွာ အေမရိကန္ေပၚလစီ ေဖာ္ထုတ္သူတခ်ဳိ႕က အရင္က ၿပိဳင္ဘက္ကို အၿငိဳးနဲ႔ႏွိမ္ခဲ့ၾကတယ္။ အေၾကာင္းအက်ဳိး အားလုံးေပါင္းလုိက္ေတာ့ မ်ဳိးခ်စ္စိတ္ဓာတ္ ျပင္းထန္တဲ့ ႐ုရွား မ်ဳိးခ်စ္ Nationalists ေတြက အေမရိကန္အေပၚ စိတ္နာၾကတယ္။
ဒါကုိ အေသးစိတ္ ေစာင့္ၾကည့္ၿပီး သင္ခန္းစာ ယူေနတာကေတာ့ တ႐ုတ္ၾကီးပဲ။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္ၾကီးက တခ်ီထဲနဲ႔ မရမ္းဘူး။ ေျဖးေျဖးခ်င္းလွမ္းၿပီး ေစ်းကြက္စနစ္ကုိ ေျပာင္းတယ္။ တိန္ေလွ်ာက္ဖိန္ မွာခဲ့တဲ့ စကားမွာ ေက်ာက္ခဲေတြကို ေသခ်ာနင္းျပီး ေခ်ာင္းကုိျဖတ္ပါ လို႔ ဥပမာေပးပါတယ္။ crossing the river by feeling the stones.
ယဲ့လ္ဆင္ရဲ႕ သတၲမ သတ္တမ္းအၿပီးမွာ မထင္မွတ္ဘဲ ႏုိင္ငံေရး အသက္ႏုေသးတဲ့ အရင္က KGB ေထာက္လွမ္းေရး အရာရွိ ပူတင္ က သမၼတျဖစ္လာတယ္။ ပူတင္က မ်ဳိးခ်စ္၊ ဒိအျပင္ လူငယ္ပီပီ ၾကမ္းတယ္၊ သြက္တယ္၊ လက္ျမန္တယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ပူတင္က အေခ်ာင္ရထားတဲ့ သူေ႒းေတြရဲ႕ ကုမၸဏီအခ်ိဳ႕ကုိ ျပန္သိမ္းၿပီး ဖ႐ုိဖရဲ ျဖစ္ေနတဲ့ စီးပြားေရးကုိ ျပန္ကုိင္ခဲ့တယ္။ အထူးသျဖင့္ ပူတင္ကုိ ယွဥ္ရဲသူေတြကို ကုမၸဏီလည္း သိမ္း၊ ေထာင္ပါခ်ပစ္လုိက္တယ္။ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြက ေဝဖန္သူေတြကေတာ့ အာဏာရွင္ဆန္တယ္လုိ႔ ေဝဖန္ၾကတာေပါ့။ ပူတင္ လက္ထက္မွာ ႐ုရွားေတြရဲ႕ စီးပြားေရးဟာ ျပန္ၿပီး ဦးေထာင္လာတယ္။ လြန္ခဲ့တဲ့ ၂ ႏွစ္ေလာက္မွာ ကမၻာ့ေရနံေစ်းေတြ ေခါင္ခိုက္ေအာင္ တက္ေနေတာ့ ႐ုရွားရဲ႕ စီးပြားေရး အရွိန္ဟာတက္လာတယ္။ ေရနံႏုိင္ငံေတြ စုစည္းထားတဲ့ OPEC အဖြဲ႔အျပင္မွာ ေဆာ္ဒီၿပီးရင္ ႐ုရွားက ေရနံအထြက္ဆုံးပဲ။ ထုိ႔ျပင္ သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ Natural Gas မွာ ႐ုရွားက နံပါတ္ ၁ ပဲ။ (မွတ္ခ်က္ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံက နံပါတ္ ၁၁ မွာ ရွိပါတယ္)။ အေနာက္ဥေရာပက ၂၅ ရာခုိင္ႏႈန္းအထက္ သဘာဝဓါတ္ေငြ႔ကုိ ႐ုရွားက ဝယ္ယူရပါတယ္။ ႐ုရွားေတြအေပၚစြမ္းအင္အတြက္မွီခိုိလာရတယ္။
႐ုရွားေတြ ကြန္ျမဴနစ္ စံနစ္ကအေျပာင္း ယဲ့လ္ဆင္ရဲ႕ ဖ႐ုိဖရဲ ကာလမွာ အေမရိကန္ေတြ လူပါးဝ ထားတာကို ႐ုရွားမ်ဳိးခ်စ္ေတြက မေမ့ဘူး။ ဒိအျပင္မွာ ေနတိုး NATO က ဝါေဆာစာခ်ဳပ္ Warsaw Pact ပ်က္္သြားတာေတာင္၊ ရန္သူမရွိေတာ့တာေတာင္၊ ထပ္မံတုိးခ်ဲ႕လာေနတယ္။
သမၼတ ကလင္တန္လက္ထက္မွာ ေဘာ့စနီးယားနဲ႔ ဆာဗီးယားကုိ ဝင္စြက္ထားတာကုိလည္း ႐ုရွားက ၾကည့္မရဘူး။ ဆာ့ဖ္လူမ်ဳိးေတြက Serbs ေတြက ႐ုရွားနဲ႔ လူမ်ဳိးတူေတြကုိး။ အခုလဲ အေမရိကန္က ဒုံးပ်ံကုိ ကာကြယ္ဖုိ႔ ဒုံးပ်ံ Anti Ballistic Missiles ေတြကုိ ပုိလန္နဲ႔ ခ်က္စ္မွာ တပ္ဆင္ဖုိ႔ အစီအစဥ္အတြက္ ျငင္းခံုေနၾကတယ္။ အခုလက္ရွိ ႐ုရွားသမၼတဟာ ပူတင္ရဲ႕ လူစာရင္း။ ဥပေဒအရ ပူတင္က ဆက္အေရြးမခံႏုိင္လုိ႔ ဝန္ၾကီးခ်ဳပ္ ဆင္းလုပ္ၿပီး ဥပေဒျပင္ဆင္ၿပီး သမၼတ တခါထပ္ျပန္ အေရြးခံမယ္လုိ႔ အတြင္းသိေတြက ယူဆၾကတယ္။ လက္ရွိ႐ုရွားမွာ ပူတင္ကုို လူၾကိဳက္မ်ားတယ္။
တ႐ုတ္ၾကီးက သိပ္လည္တယ္။ အေမရိကန္ကုိ ရန္မရွာေသးဘူး။ အႏွစ္ ၃ဝ ေက်ာ္ေက်ာ္ အေမရိကန္နဲ႔ တည့္ေအာင္ေပါင္းၿပီး အေမရိကားကုိ တ႐ုတ္လုပ္ ေပါေခ်ာင္ေကာင္းပစၥည္းေတြ တြင္တြင္တင္ပုိ႔ၿပီး အေမရိကန္အလုပ္႐ုံ စက္႐ုံေတြ ပိတ္ၿပီး တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ၾကီးမွာ စက္႐ုံအလုပ္႐ုံေတြ ေပၚလာေတာ့ တ႐ုတ္ေတြ အလုပ္ရ ေငြေပါလာတာေပါ့။ အေမရိကန္ေတြက ေငြေနာက္လုိက္ၿပီး စြတ္ဝယ္၊ တ႐ုတ္ကလည္း နင္းကန္ပို႔ ဆုိေတာ့ တ႐ုတ္မွာ ႏုိင္ငံျခားေငြေတြ မတရား ပုိေနတာေပါ့။ အေမရိကန္အစုိးရက လုိေငြ (Deficit) အတြက္ ေခ်းဖုိ႔ ထုတ္ေရာင္းရတဲ့ TBill လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ Treasury Bills ေတြကုိ တ႐ုတ္က ဝယ္ေတာ့ အတုိးလည္းရၿပီး၊ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ အေၾကြးရွင္ ၿမီရွင္ႏုိင္ငံ ျဖစ္လာတယ္။ အေမရိကန္က တ႐ုတ္အေပၚ TBill ေဒၚလာ ၇၆၃.၅ ဘီလ်ီယံံ ( ၁ ဘီလီယံ= ၁ဝဝဝ သန္း) ဖိုး အေၾကြးတင္လ်က္ရွိတယ္။ အေမရိကန္ စီပြားေရးဝန္ၾကီးက ပီကင္းမွာ အေမရိကန္ TBills ေတြကုိ တ႐ုတ္ကဆက္ဝယ္ဖုိ႔ မ်က္ႏွာခ်ဳိေသြးေနရတယ္။
ႏုိင္ငံတႏုိင္ငံဟာ ေငြရွိမွ စစ္တပ္ကုိ ထူေထာင္ႏုိင္တယ္။ ေငြက ဝင္ေငြေကာင္းမွ၊ စီးပြားေရးေကာင္းမွ ေငြ ရွိမွာကုိး။ တ႐ုတ္စစ္တပ္ဟာ လူဦးေရ အမ်ားဆုံး စစ္တပ္ျဖစ္ေပမဲ့ စစ္ပစၥည္းမွာ ေခတ္မမီလွေသးဘူး။ ျပည္တြင္းစစ္မွာကတည္းက တ႐ုတ္စစ္တပ္ကုိ ကြန္ျမဴနစ္ ပါတီက အုပ္စိုးထားတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္ ဒုစစ္ေသနာပတိက Peng Dehuai က စစ္သားပီသတဲ့ စစ္တပ္ Professional Army ျဖစ္ေစခ်င္တာေၾကာင့္ ေမာ္နဲ႔ ထိပ္တုိက္ေတြ႔တာေၾကာင့္ အျဖဳတ္ခံရၿပီး ယဥ္ေက်းမႈ ေတာ္လွန္ေရးတုန္းက ဦးထုပ္ၾကီးေတြေဆာင္းၿပီး လူထုအေရွ႕မွာ အႏိွပ္စက္ခံရတယ္။ အခုမွ တ႐ုတ္က ေငြရွိလာမွ Professional Army ကုိ ထူေထာင္လာၾကတာပါ။
အထူးသျဖင့္ တ႐ုတ္ေရတပ္ဟာ အရင္က ကမ္းေျခေစာင့္ေရတပ္ အသြင္ပဲ ရွိတယ္။ အခုမွ ပင္လယ္ျပာေရတပ္ Blue Water Navy ကမၻာကုိ ျဖန္႔ႏုိင္တဲ့ ေရတပ္အျဖစ္ အသြင္ကူးေျပာင္းလ်က္ရွိတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္က ၿဂိဳဟ္တု Satellite ကုိ ေျမျပင္က ပစ္ခ်ျပႏုိင္ခဲ့သလုိ အခုေလယာဥ္တင္ သေဘာၤ Air Craft Carrier ေဆာက္ေနၿပီ။ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ စစ္သုံးစရိတ္ဟာ ဘီလ်ံ ၅ဝဝ ေက်ာ္ရွိၿပီး ဥေရာပႏုိင္ငံနဲ႔ ႏိုင္ငံၾကီးေတြ အားလုံးေပါင္းရဲ႕ စစ္စရိတ္ထက္ မ်ားတယ္။ အခု ဒုတိယ တ႐ုတ္က ဘီလ်ံ ၈ဝ ေက်ာ္တယ္။ ဒါေပမဲ့ ဒီမွာ အာကာသ Space နဲ႔ ပတ္သက္ၿပီး ကုန္က်စရိတ္ေတြ မပါေသးဘူး။ တ႐ုတ္က စစ္အသံုးစရိတ္ မ်ားလာတာ ထင္ရွားတယ္။
အေမရိကန္က အီရတ္ကုိ ဝင္အသိမ္းၿပီးမွာ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ စစ္အင္အား တိုိးခ်ဲ႕မႈကုိ ရင္ဆုိင္ဖုိ႔ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ ႐ုရွား ေပါင္းၿပီး ရွန္ဟုိင္းအတူ ပူးေပါင္းေရးအဖြဲ႔ Shanghai Cooperation Organization SCO ကို အားျဖည့္ခဲ့ၾကတယ္။ ၆ ႏုိင္ငံ ပါဝင္တဲ့ SCO ဆိုတာက တ႐ုတ္၊ ႐ုရွားနဲ႔ အရင္ ဆုိဗီယက္အင္ပါယာဝင္ ႏိုင္ငံအခ်ဳိ႕ကုိ စြဲေခၚၿပီး ဖြဲ႔ထားတဲ့ အဖြဲ႔ပါ။
လြန္ခဲ့တဲ့ လကမွ (ေမလ ၂ဝဝ၉) သီရိလကၤာမွာ အစုိးရက Tiger ေတြလုိ႔ နာမည္ၾကီးတဲ့ တမီလ္က်ားသူပုန္ေတြကုိ အႏုိင္ရၿပီး အႏွစ္ ၂ဝ ေက်ာ္ ၾကာခဲ့တဲ့ သူပုန္ထမႈကုိ ေအာင္ႏုိင္ခဲ့တယ္။ ဒီ က်ားသူပုန္ ေခါင္းေဆာင္ဟာ အင္မတန္ ရက္စက္တယ္။ က်ားသူူပုန္ ေခါင္းေဆာင္ေတြကို အစိုးရတပ္ေတြ ဝုိင္းထားတုန္း အစုိးရတပ္ေတြ ဗုံးၾကဲတာေၾကာင့္ အရပ္သားေတြ ေသရပါတယ္ဆုိတဲ့ စြပ္စြဲခ်က္ေတြ ထြက္လာၿပီး ဒီမုိကေရစီ က်င့္သုံးတဲ့ အေနာက္ႏိုင္ငံေတြက သီရိလကၤာႏုိင္ငံကုိ ဖိအားေပးလာတယ္။ ခ်က္ခ်င္း တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ ႐ုရွားက သီရိလကၤာအစုိးရကုိ ရွန္ဟုိင္းအုပ္စု အစည္းအေဝးကုိ ေဆြးေႏြးဘက္ Dialogue-Partner အေနနဲ႔ တက္ဖုိ႔ ဖိတ္ေခၚလိုက္တယ္။ တ႐ုတ္ေကာ ႐ုရွားကပါ ခ်ီးက်ဴးသဝဏ္လႊာေတြ ေပးပုိ႔ခဲ့တယ္။
ဒုတိယ အီရတ္စစ္ပြဲ မတုိင္ခင္မွာ အေမရိကန္ ႏုိင္ငံဟာ တဦးတည္းေသာ ဆူပါပါဝါအျပင္ စစ္အင္အား အၾကီးဆုံးႏုိင္ငံ ျဖစ္တာေၾကာင့္ ဆူပါပါဝါထက္လြန္တဲ့ ဟိုင္ပါပါဝါ Hyper power ဆိုၿပီး တံခြန္လြင့္ ႏုိင္ခဲ့တာေပါ့။ ႏုိင္ငံေရးမကြ်မ္းတဲ့ သမၼတ ဘုရွ္ Bush က အီရတ္ကုိ ဝင္သိမ္းၿပီး လြယ္လြယ္နဲ႔ ၿပီးမယ္ထင္ခဲ့တာ အီရတ္ေတြက ကုိယ့္ႏုိင္ငံကုိ က်ဴးေက်ာ္လာတာကုိ မခံႏုိင္ဘဲ ေတာ္လွန္ေတာ့ အေမရိကန္စစ္တပ္က မျပင္ထားတဲ့ စစ္ပြဲကုိ ဆင္ႏြဲရေတာ့ ေသၾကပ်က္စီးမႈေတြ မ်ားကုန္ျပီး ရပ္လို႔မရ ျဖစ္ေရာ။ စစ္ေရးအရ Hyper Power အဆင့္က ျပဳတ္က်တာေပါ့။ 2007 ခုႏွစ္ စီးပြားေရးအက်ပ္အတည္း Economic Crisis လည္းျဖစ္ေရာ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ အရွိန္နဲ႔ သိကၡာဟာ ထပ္ျပဳတ္က်တာေပါ့။
ေရနံႏွင့္ ႏုိင္ငံေရး
ဒုတိယ ကမၻာစစ္ၾကီးအၿပီးမွာ အေမရိကန္ သမၼတ ရူဗ္စဗဲ့လ္ Roosevelt နဲ႔ ေဆာ္ဒီဘုရင္ ေဆာ့ဒ္ Saud တုိ႔ ေတြ႔ၿပီး ေဆာ္ဒီေတြက ေရနံေပးမယ္၊ အေမရိကန္က လုံၿခဳံေရးေပးဖုိ႔ ကတိျပဳခဲ့တယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ေရနံကုိ အေမရိကန္ ေဒၚလာနဲ႔ အေရာင္းအဝယ္ ဒီေန႔အထိ လုပ္ၾကရၿပီး အႏွစ္ ၄ဝ ေက်ာ္ေက်ာ္ ေဆာ္ဒီက ေရနံေစ်းကုိ ထိန္းခဲ့တယ္။ အေမရိကန္ကလည္း စည္းမရွိ၊ ကမ္းမရွိ ေရနံေစ်း ေပါေပါနဲ႔ ရလုိ႔၊ တရေဟာ ပစ္ဝယ္ခဲ့တယ္။ လက္ရွိေခတ္ဟာ ေရနံေခတ္လုိ႔ ဆုိရမယ္။ ေရနံကုိ အဓိက သုံးတာ ၃ မ်ဳိး ရွိတယ္။ လွ်ပ္စစ္ဓာတ္ထုတ္တဲ့ စက္႐ုံေတြလည္ဖုိ႔ရယ္၊ ပို႔ေဆာင္ဆက္သြယ္ေရးယာဥ္ ကား၊ ေလယာဥ္၊ သေဘာၤ စတာေတြ ေမာင္းဖုို႔ရယ္၊ Industrial By Product လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ စက္မႈပစၥည္း ထုတ္လုပ္ရာမွာ သုံးတယ္။ ကုန္ထုတ္လုပ္မႈမ်ားတာနဲ႔ စက္႐ုံေတြလည္ဖုိ႔ လွ်ပ္စစ္လုိတယ္။ ၂၁ ရာစုအဝင္မွာ အႏွစ္ ၂ဝ ၾကီးထြားလာတဲ့ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ အိႏၵိယရဲ႕ စက္႐ုံေတြလည္ဖို႔ ေရနံေတြ ပုိလုိအပ္လာတယ္။ ေရနံဆုိတာ အခုလုိမွ အခုသြားတူးလုိ႔ မရပါ။ ေရနံတြင္း တတြင္းေပၚဖုိ႔ အနည္းဆုံး ၅ ႏွစ္ၾကာၿပီး အရင္းအႏွီး မ်ားပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ေရနံဟာ Finite Number လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ တေန႔တာ ထြက္တဲ့ (အတိအက်) အရည္အတြက္ ေရနံစည္ (Barrel) ပဲ ရွိပါတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ အိႏၵိယရဲ႕ လုိအပ္ခ်က္ (Demand) က မ်ားလာသလို အေမရိကန္က သုံးစြဲမႈ Consumption ကုိ မေလွ်ာ့ေတာ့ ကမၻာ့ေစ်းကြက္မွာ ေရနံဟာ လိုအပ္ခ်က္နဲ႔ ျဖည့္ဆည္းခ်က္ (Supply and Demand) မမွ်တာေၾကာင့္ ေစ်းအဆမတန္ တက္လာပါတယ္။
ကမၻာေပၚမွာ ေဆာ္ဒီက ေရနံအမ်ားဆုံးရွိလို႔ ထုတ္လုပ္ႏုိင္တဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံျဖစ္ပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ အေမရိကန္ႏုိင္ငံက ေရနံေစ်းကြက္ကို လႊမ္းမုိးထားႏုိင္ပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္က ေရနံရွိတဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံေတြကုိ လုိက္ေပါင္း - လုိက္စုရတာေပါ့။
ေရနံကုိ မီး႐ႈိ႕ရင္ ကာဗြန္ဒုိင္ေအာက္ဆုိက္ (CO2) ထြက္တယ္။ ဒါက ေလထုကုိ ညစ္ညမ္းေစတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ လွ်ပ္စစ္ဓာတ္ထုတ္တဲ့ စက္႐ုံေတြကို သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ Natural Gas သုံးတဲ့ စက္႐ုံေတြအျဖစ္ တျဖည္းျဖည္း ေျပာင္းလ်က္ရွိပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ေရနံေခတ္ကမွ သဘာဝဓတ္ေငြ႔ေခတ္ဆီ တျဖည္းျဖည္း ေျပာင္းေနၾကတယ္။ ကမၻာမွာ သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ ရွိႏုိင္တဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံေတြအထဲမွာ ႐ုရွားက ပထမ၊ အီရန္က ဒုတိယ၊ ျမန္မာက အဆင့္ ၁၁ ရွိပါတယ္။ သဘာဝဓတ္ေငြ႔ေတြကို ပုိက္လုိင္းနဲ႔သယ္ - ဒါမွမဟုတ္ LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ သဘာဝဓတ္ေငြ႔ကုိ အားေပးၿပီး အရည္အျဖစ္ ေျပာင္းၿပီးမွ ေရနံတင္ သေဘာၤေတြလုိ သဘာဝ ဓာတ္ေငြ႔တင္ သေဘၤာၾကီးေတြနဲ႔ သယ္ယူ ေရႊ႔ေျပာင္းႏုိင္တယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္က ႐ုရွား-အီရန္-ကာဇတ္စတန္ ပုိက္လုိင္း ၃ လုိင္းသြယ္တဲ့ အစီအစဥ္လုပ္ခဲ့တယ္။
သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ႏွင့္ ျမန္မာ
တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ၾကီးနဲ႔ တုိးတက္ေရး စီမံကိန္းမွာ ပထမ အေရွ႕ျခမ္း၊ အလယ္ျခမ္းေနာက္မွ အေနာက္ျခမ္းကို တုိးတက္ေအာင္ လုပ္ဖုိ႔စီမံကိန္း ရွိတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ အေရွ႕ျခမ္းမွာရွိတဲ့ ရွန္ဟုိင္းတုိ႔၊ ေဘဂ်င္း (Beijing) တုိ႔ဟာ ကမၻာ့အဆင့္မီ ၿမိဳ႕ၾကီးေတြ ျဖစ္ကုန္ၿပီ။ စက္႐ုံေတြဟာလည္း တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ အေရွ႕ျခမ္းမွာရွိတာေၾကာင့္ ေရနံတင္ သေဘာၤေတြဟာ တ႐ုတ္အေရွ႕ကမ္းမွာ စုိက္ၾကရတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္အလယ္ပုိင္းနဲ႔ ေတာင္ပုိင္းကုိ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္အေရွ႕ျခမ္းက ပုိ႔ရင္ မုိင္ ၃ဝဝဝ ေက်ာ္ ေဝးတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္က ေရနံကို ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံ ရခုိင္ျပည္နဲ႔ ေမာ္လၿမိဳင္ဘက္ကေန ပုိက္နဲ႔ ယူနန္ ျပည္နယ္ကုိ ပို႔ၿပီး၊ အဲဒီကေနတဆင့္ အလယ္ပုိင္းကို ပို႔ဖို႔ စီစဥ္ေနပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ရခုိင္ျပည္မွာ ေရနက္ဆိပ္ကမ္းကုိ တ႐ုတ္က တည္ေဆာက္ေပးေနတာေပါ့။ နအဖ က ရတဲ့ သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔က တ႐ုတ္အတြက္ မေျပာပေလာက္ဘူး။
အေရွ႕အလယ္ပုိင္းနဲ႔ အာဖရိကေရနံေတြ အားလုံးဟာ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ အေရွ႕ျခမ္းကို ေရာက္ဖုိ႔ မာလကၠာေရလက္ၾကား Strait of Malacca က်ဥ္းက်ဥ္းေလးကို ျဖတ္ရတယ္။ တကယ္လို႔ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ အေမရိကန္ စစ္ေရးအရ ရင္ဆုိင္ခဲ့ရင္ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ ေရတပ္မေတာ္ ၇ ဟာ မာလကၠာေရလက္ၾကားကို ပိတ္ခဲ့ရင္ တ႐ုတ္မွာ ျပႆနာရွိတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္က ေရနံေတြကို ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံကတဆင့္ ယူနန္ကုိ တင္ရင္ မာလကၠာကုိ ျဖတ္စရာမလုိေတာ့ဘူးေပါ့။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ စစ္ေရးအရ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံဟာ တ႐ုတ္အတြက္ အခရာက်တယ္လုိ႔ ဆုိႏုိင္တယ္။
တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ၾကီးဟာ အလယ္ပုိင္း တုိးတက္ေရးအတြက္ ေရကာတာေတြေဆာက္၊ လမ္းေတြေဖာက္နဲ႔ စီးပြားေရး စီမံကိန္းေတြ လုပ္လ်က္ရွိတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္မွာ (Internal-Migration) လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ ျပည္တြင္းေရႊ႔ေျပာင္းမႈ ရွိတယ္။ အလုပ္ရွားတဲ့ အလယ္ပုိင္း၊ အေနာက္ပုိင္းက လူေတြက တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ အေရွ႕ပိုင္းကုိ ေျပာင္းၾကေတာ့ ၿမိဳ႕ေတြမွွာ ျပည့္က်ပ္ၿပီး လူမႈေရးျပႆနာေတြ တက္လာတာေပါ့။ ဒါကုိေျဖရွင္းဖုိ႔ အလယ္ပုိင္းကုိ ဖိျပီးထူေထာင္ေနရတာ အလယ္ပုိင္း တုိးတက္လာရင္ လိုအပ္မယ့္ ေရနံကုိ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံကတဆင့္ တင္ပို႔ရမွာေပါ့။ တခါ ထုတ္ကုန္ေတြကို ဧရာဝတီျမစ္က သယ္ခ်ၿပီး ျမန္မာဆိပ္ကမ္းေတြက တင္ပုိ႔ရင္ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ အေရွ႕ျခမ္းကို တင္ပုိ႔ရတာထက္ သက္သာႏုိင္တာကုိး။
ဒါေၾကာင့္ သဘာဝ အေနအထားအရ ျမန္မာျပည္ဟာ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ၾကီး ေခတ္မီတုိးတက္မႈမွာ အတုိင္းအတာ တခုအထိ အေရးပါေနရတာေပါ့။ ဒီျပင္ အေရွ႕ေတာင္ အာရွႏုိင္ငံေတြက တုိးတက္လာေလ၊ တ႐ုတ္အတြက္ ေစ်းကြက္ တုိးခ်ဲ႕ဖုိ႔ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံဟာ ေနရာေကာင္းလာျဖစ္တာေပါ့။ ထိုင္းႏုိင္ငံထဲကုိ တာခ်ီလိတ္ မယ္ဆုိင္ကတဆင့္ တ႐ုတ္ပစၥည္းေတြ လွိမ့္ဝင္လာတာကို ၾကည့္ပါ။
ဒါကုိသိတဲ့ နအဖအစုိးရက တ႐ုတ္ဖဲကုိ ဆြဲကိုင္ႏိုင္တာေပါ့။
အကုိင္မတတ္ရင္ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံဟာ တ႐ုတ္ရဲ႕ စီးပြားေရးကြ်န္ ျဖစ္သြားႏုိင္တယ္။ မ်ဳိးခ်စ္ Nationalist တေယာက္အေနနဲ႔ ရတက္မေအးစရာပါ။
စြမ္းအင္လုံၿခံဳေရး (Energy Security)
အိႏၵိယနဲ႔ တ႐ုတ္ႏုိင္ငံေတြမွာ ဆုိရွယ္လစ္စနစ္ က်င့္သုံးခဲ့လုိ႔ ၂ ႏုိင္ငံစလုံး မြဲေတခဲ့ရတယ္။ ေစ်းကြက္စီးပြားေရးစနစ္ကုိ က်င့္သုံးလာမွ တုိးတက္လာၾကတယ္။ က်န္တဲ့ႏုိင္ငံေတြလည္း ေစ်းကြက္စီးပြားေရးစနစ္ က်င့္သုံးလာေတာ့ တုိးတက္လာတာနဲ႔အမွ် စြမ္းအင္ထုတ္ဖုိ႔ ေရနံနဲ႔ သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ေတြ လုိလာတယ္။ လိုအားနဲ႔ ထုတ္ႏုိင္အား မမွ်တတာေၾကာင့္ ၂၁ ရာစုအစမွာ စြမ္းအင္လုံၿခဳံေရး Energy Security ဆုိတာကုိ စသုံးလာၾကတယ္။ အီရန္က အႏုျမဴလက္နက္ရေအာင္ ၾကိဳးပမ္းေနတာေၾကာင့္ အေမရိကန္ကြန္ကရက္က အီရန္ကုိကူရင္ စီးပြားေရး ျဖတ္ေတာက္မႈျပဳ Economic Sanctions လုပ္မယ္ဆုိၿပီး ဥပေဒ ထုတ္ခဲ့တယ္။ ၂ဝဝ၈ ခုႏွစ္က တ႐ုတ္က သဘာဝ ဓတ္ေငြ႔ လုိတာေၾကာင့္ အီရန္ သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ ပေရာဂ်က္ကို ေငြအား၊ လူအား ကူညီခဲ့တယ္။ အေမရိကန္က ဒီေန႔အထိ တ႐ုတ္ကုိ အျပစ္မေပးရဲဘူး။ ထုိနည္းတူ အေမရိကန္နဲ႔ ျပင္သစ္ ကုမၸဏီေတြ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံမွာ ပါဝင္တာကုိ မပိတ္ပင္ႏိုင္ဘူး။ ဒါဟာ လက္ေတြ႔ စြမ္းအင္လုံၿခံဳေရး ျပႆနာပဲ။ နအဖ အစုိးရကုိ က်န္တာေတြ ပိတ္ပင္ေပမယ့္ စြမ္းအင္နဲ႔ ပတ္သက္ရင္ ႏွာေစး၊ ေခ်ာင္းဆုိး ျဖစ္ကုန္ေရာ။ နအဖကုိ ကူညီေနတဲ့ ကုမၸဏီေတြကုိၾကည့္ရင္ တ႐ုတ္၊ အိႏၵိယ၊ ႐ုရွား၊ ကုိရီးယား၊ ဂ်ပန္နဲ႔ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံက ကုမၸဏီ အကုန္ပါၾကတာပဲ။
ႏုိင္ငံျခားေရးေပၚလစီမွာ ႏုိင္ငံအက်ဳိးက အဓိကပဲ
ႏိုင္ငံတိုင္း ႏုိင္ငံတုိင္းဟာ သူတုိ႔ရဲ႕ ႏိုင္ငံျခားေရး မူဝါဒေပၚလစီကုိ ခ်မွတ္က်င့္သုံးရာမွာ သူတုိ႔ႏုိင္ငံ အက်ဳိးကုိပဲ အဓိက ထားရပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ထာဝရ မိတ္ေဆြ၊ ထာဝရ ရန္သူဆိုတာ မရွိဘူး။ အက်ဳိးတူပဲရွိတယ္လုိ႔ ဆုိၾကတာ မဟုတ္လား?
ဒီသေဘာတရားကုိ ေကာင္းေကာင္းနားလည္တာက နအဖ ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္ေတြပဲ၊ ရာဇပုလႅင္ကုိ ေသနတ္အားကုိးနဲ႔ အတင္း တက္တုိင္ထားၾကေတာ့ ရာဇပရိယာယ္အေၾကာင္း နားလည္ရမွာေပါ့ --- အာဏာအေၾကာင္း ေကာင္းေကာင္း နားလည္တာကုိး။
နားမလည္တာက က်ေနာ္တုိ႔ အတိုက္အခံေတြဘဲ
ရွင္းတာက အေနာက္ ဥေရာပႏုိင္ငံေတြအတြက္ အေမရိကန္ႏုိင္ငံအတြက္ပါ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံအေရးဟာ အဲဒီႏုိင္ငံေတြရဲ႕ အက်ဳိးအတြက္ ဘာမွ ထိေရာက္မႈမရွိဘူး။ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြ ျမန္မာ့အေရးကုိ စိတ္ဝင္စားတယ္ဆိုတာ ေဒၚစုေၾကာင့္ သက္သက္ပဲ။ ေဒၚစုရဲ႕ သတိၲနဲ႔ ေဒၚစုရဲ႕ ျပင္းထန္တဲ့ ယုံၾကည္မႈကုိ ေလးစားေသာအားျဖင့္ လူ႔အခြင့္အေရး ရရွိေရးအရ မွန္ကန္မႈဘက္က လုိက္လုိ႔ Morality နဲ႔ Human Rights အတြက္ သက္သက္ ကူညီအားေပးတာပဲ ရွိတယ္။
ဒါေၾကာင့္ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြက ဖိအားေပးတယ္ဆုိရာမွာ အတို္င္းအတာ Limited ရွိတယ္။ သံတမန္နည္းနဲ႔ ကန္႔ကြက္တယ္။ ဖိအားေပးတယ္။ မရရင္ တုိင္းျပည္အလုိက္ စီးပြားေရးပိတ္ဆုိ႔မႈ လုပ္တယ္။ မရရင္ အားလုံးပါေအာင္ ကုလသမဂၢမွာတင္ၿပီး လုံၿခဳံေရးေကာင္စီ ဆုံးျဖတ္ခ်က္နဲ႔ စီးပြားေရး ပိတ္ဆုိ႔မႈလုပ္မယ္။ ေနာက္ဆုံးမရမွ စစ္အင္အားနဲ႔ ဝင္တုိက္မယ္ေပါ့။ ဒါက အီရတ္ကိစၥမွာ အေမရိကန္ ဦးေဆာင္တဲ့ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြက လုပ္ခဲ့တယ္။ အဆင့္ဆင့္ ဖိအားေပးၿပီးေနာက္ဆုံး အေမရိကန္က ဝင္တုိက္ၿပီး ဆက္ဒန္ကုိ ျဖဳတ္ခ်ခဲ့တာပဲ။
အီရတ္က ေဆာ္ဒီၿပီးရင္ ဒုတိယေရနံ အထြက္ဆုံးႏုိင္ငံ အီရတ္။ အီရတ္ က ကူဝိတ္ကိုသိမ္း အျပီး ေဆာ္ဒီကုိ ပါသိမ္း ပုိက္ႏိူင္တဲ႕ရန္ရွိတာေၾကာင္႕ပထမ အီရက္စစ္ပြဲျဖစ္ခဲ႕ရတယ္။ အီရတ္မွာ ေရနံရွိတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ အေမရိကန္ အက်ဳိးအတြက္ ဝင္တုိက္ရတာ။ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံက အေမရိကန္အတြက္ ဘာမွ အက်ဳိးမရွိပါ။
ဆူဒန္ႏုိင္ငံ ဒါဖါ (Darfur) မွာ ဆူဒန္အစုိးရဟာ ျမန္မာ နအဖေတြထက္ ရက္စက္တယ္။ ခရစ္ယာန္ေတြကုိ ႏွိပ္စက္႐ုံမက ကၽြန္အျဖစ္ ေရာင္းစားခဲ့ေသးတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ခရစ္ယာန္ အသင္းေပါင္းစုံနဲ႔ ေဟာလိဝုဒ္နာမည္ေက်ာ္ မင္းသမီးေတြ ဝုိင္းေအာ္တာေတာင္ အေမရိကန္က စစ္သားတေယာက္မွ မကူဘူး။ ထုိနည္း၎ပဲ ျမန္မာ့ႏုိင္ငံအေရးမွာ စစ္ေရးအတြက္ မစြက္ဖက္ႏုိင္ဘူး။ ကုလသမဂၢ - UN မွာေတာင္ ျမန္မာ့ႏိုင္ငံေရးကုိ စီးပြားေရး (Sanction) ဆန္ရွင္လုပ္ဖို႔ မလြယ္ဘူး။ နအဖက ဗီတုိအာဏာရွင္ တ႐ုတ္အျပင္ အရံအျဖစ္ ႐ုရွားကို ကုိင္တားတယ္။
အေရွ႕မွာ ေဖာ္ျပထားသလုိ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံဟာ သဘာဝ အေနအထားအရ တ႐ုတ္အတြက္ အေရးပါတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္အက်ဳိးကုိ ေဆာင္ႏုိင္တယ္။ ဒီအတြက္ နအဖက တ႐ုတ္ကုိ ေပါင္း၊ တ႐ုတ္ဖဲကုိ ကုိင္ၿပီး အိႏိၵယကုိ တခါကုိင္ခဲ့တယ္။ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံရဲ႕ သယံဇာတေတြကုိ ေရာင္းၿပီး အာဆီယံႏုိင္ငံအဖြဲ႔ ASEAN ကုိ ကုိင္ခဲ့ျပန္တယ္။ ဒီ တ႐ုတ္၊ အိႏိၵယ၊ အာဆီယံ သုံးပြင့္ဆုိင္ကုိ ေထာင္ယူၿပီး အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြရဲ႕ သံတမန္ ဖိအားနဲ႔ စီးပြားေရး ပိတ္ဆုိ႔မႈ လုပ္တယ္။ အခု တ႐ုတ္ကုိ အားကုိးရတာမ်ားေတာ့ ႐ုရွားဆီကေန စစ္လက္နက္ပစၥည္းေတြနဲ႔ အႏုျမဴနည္းပညာဝယ္ၿပီး တ႐ုတ္ကုိ Balance လုပ္ဖုိ႔နဲ႔ UN က အပုိ ဗီတုိရေအာင္ ႐ုရွားကုိ ေပါင္းခဲ့တယ္။ ႐ုရွားကလည္း ေရနံေငြေတြနဲ႔ အင္အားေတာင့္လာေတာ့ အေမရိကန္ကုိ ဂလန္ကဆန္လုပ္ခ်င္တာနဲ႔ အေတာ္ေပါ့။
မႏွစ္က ေနာက္ဆုံး UN မွာ ျမန္မာ့ကိစၥတင္ဖုိ႔လုပ္ေတာ့ တ႐ုတ္ေရာ၊ ႐ုရွားကပါ ဗီတုိနဲ႔ ပယ္ခ်ခဲ့တယ္။ ပုိရွက္စရာ ေကာင္းတာက NCGUB ကစကတည္းက UN ႐ုံးဖြင့္ထားတယ္။ လူတေယာက္ကုိ တာဝန္ေပးထားတယ္။ ႐ုံးတခုလုံးနဲ႔ လူေတြရွိတာေတာင္ မန္ဒဲလား (Mandela) ရဲ႕ ေတာင္အာဖရိက အစုိးရကုိ နအဖ ဆြဲသြားတာကုိ မသိလုိက္ဘူး။
သံတမန္အေရးကုိ တကယ္ေဆာင္ရြက္မယ္ဆုိရင္ သံတမန္ စကားေျပာ (ေဝ့လည္ေၾကာင္ပတ္) ေျပာနည္းတတ္ရတယ္။ UN စည္းမ်ဥ္းနဲ႔ လုပ္ရပ္ေတြ သိရမယ္။ Wine & Dine လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ သံတမန္ေတြနဲ႔ ေပါင္းၿပီး အေရးပါတဲ့ လူေတြနဲ႔ မိတ္ေဆြဖြဲ႔၊ ရင္းႏွီးေအာင္ ၾကိဳးစားရတယ္။ ဒီလုိလုပ္ဖုိ႔ အဂၤလိပ္စကား ျပင္သစ္စကားေျပာ ကြ်မ္းရမယ္။ စာဖတ္ရမယ္။ ကုိယ့္ကုိ ေလးစားေအာင္ ေျပာႏုိင္ရမယ္။ ေတြ႔သမွ်လူကုိ ၿပဳံးျပၿပီး ကူၾကပါေျပာ႐ုံနဲ႔ မရဘူး။
နအဖ ဘက္က လ်င္တယ္။ UN မွာ အဂၤလိပ္ စကားေျပာေကာင္းတဲ့ သံတမန္ေတြကုိ ထားတယ္။ ဦးဝင္းမရ တုိ႔လုိ စိန္ေပါလ္ကေအာင္တဲ့ အဂၤလိပ္စကား ေကာင္းတဲ့ လူေတြကုိ UN မွာ ထားတယ္။ ႏုိင္ငံျခားေရး႐ုံးက သံတမန္ေတြကို John Hopkins တုိ႔လုိ နာမည္ရွိတဲ့ ေက်ာင္းေတြမွာ ဘြဲ႔လြန္သင္တန္းေတြ ပုိ႔တယ္။ ေနာက္ဆုံး UN မွာ ကိစၥေပၚေတာ့ ဥေရာပမွာ သံအမတ္လုပ္ေနတဲ့ ဦးဝင္းမရနဲ႔ ဒါဂ်ီလင္ကေအာင္တဲ့ ဖိလစ္ပုိင္က သံအမတ္ ဦးေသာင္းထြန္းတုိ႔ကုိ ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္ ၃ ေယာက္နဲ႔အတူူ နယူးေယာက္မွာ လနဲ႔ခ်ီထားၿပီး စည္း႐ုံးတုံ႔ျပန္ခဲ့တယ္။
Targeted Sanctions လုိ႔ေခၚတ့ဲ နအဖ စစ္ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္ေတြနဲ႔ ဒင္းတုိ႔ရဲ႕ သားသမီးေတြ၊ စီးပြားေရးလုပ္ငန္းရွင္ တပည့္ေတြကုိ ဗီဇာ မေပးဖုိ႔နဲ႔ ႏုိင္ငံျခား ဘဏ္အေကာင့္ Account မဖြင့္ႏုိင္ေအာင္ ပိတ္ပင္ခဲ့တယ္။ အေမရိကန္ ႏုိင္ငံျခားေငြလဲတာနဲ႔ ပတ္သက္္ရင္ နယူးေယာက္က (Clearing House) လုိ႔ ေခၚတယ္။ စိစစ္လဲလွယ္ ေပးရတယ္။ နအဖက SWIFT လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ ဥေရာပ Network ကုိသုံးၿပီး ဒီစိစစ္မႈကုိ ေက်ာ္ခဲ့တယ္။ SWIFT Network ထဲမွာ အေမရိကန္ ဘဏ္ၾကီးေတြ ပါတယ္။ တခါ စကၤာပူမွာ နာမည္အငွားနဲ႔ Account ဖြင့္ၿပီး ေသာင္းက်န္းေနၾကျပန္တယ္။ ဗီဇာပိတ္ေနပါတယ္ ဆုိတဲ့ၾကားက ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္ေတြရဲ႕ သားသမီး ေဆြမ်ဳိးေတြ အေမရိကားနဲ႔ ဥေရာပမွာ အႏွံ႔ပဲ။
နအဖ က အာဏာရွိေတာ့ ေငြရွာႏိုင္တယ္။ ေငြနဲ႔ အာဏာရွိေတာ့ မိတ္ေဆြေတြကို ဝယ္ယူႏုိင္တာေပါ့။ နအဖ ကုိ က်ားကန္ေပးေနတဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံျခားသား ပညာရွင္ေတြ အေျမာက္အျမား ရွိတယ္။
ဂ်ပန္မွာလည္း နအဖက အလယ္အလတ္ ကုမၸဏီေတြရဲ႕ ကုန္သည္ၾကီးမ်ား အသင္းကုိ ေပါင္းထားၿပီး နအဖ အက်ဳိးအတြက္ ဂ်ပန္အစုိးရဆီက အကူအညီရေအာင္ လုပ္ႏုိင္တယ္။ ဂ်ပန္ေရာက္ ျမန္မာေတြဟာ အတက္ၾကြဆုံး ျဖစ္ေပမယ့္ အုပ္စုေတြမ်ားၿပီး ထိေရာက္တဲ့ ဖိအား ဂ်ပန္အစုိးရကုိ မေပးႏုိင္ဘူး။ တႏွစ္ တႏွစ္ ဂ်ပန္က Phd ပါရဂူ ၄ဝ ေလာက္ ျမန္မာအစုိးရအတြက္ ထုတ္ေပးေနတယ္။ အစုိးရဘက္က ေထာက္ခံခ်က္မရဘဲ ေက်ာင္းတက္ခြင့္နဲ႔ စေကာလားရွစ္ မရဘူး။
NGUB အေဝးေရာက္အစုိးရ ကUN မွာလည္း လူရွိတယ္။ ႏုိင္ငံျခားေရးဝန္ၾကီးလည္း ရွိတယ္။ ေပၚလစီနဲ႔ ဗ်ဴဟာ Strategy ဆုိတာ နားမလည္ ဦးေဆာင္မႈမေပးႏုိင္ေတာ့ ကမၻာအႏွံ႔ ျမန္မာေတြရွိလ်က္နဲ႔ ဘယ္ကို ဦးတည္ရမွန္း ဘာလုပ္ရမွန္း မသိၾကေတာ့ လူမ်ားၿပီး ပြဲမစည္ ျဖစ္ရတာေပါ့။
NLD အပါအဝင္ က်ေနာ္တုိ႔ အတုိက္အခံေတြအားလံုး သတိမမူမိတာ ရွိတယ္။ အဲဒါက ႏုိင္ငံျခား၊ အထူးသျဖင့္ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြကို အားကိုးလြန္းေတာ့ တ႐ုတ္ဘက္ကၾကည့္ရင္ အတုိက္အခံဆုိတာ အေမရိကန္လူ။ အေနာက္ဘက္ ဒီမိုကေရစီတို႔ရဲ႕ ေနာက္လိုက္၊ သူတို႔ အာဏာရရင္ ငါတို႔အက်ဳိးယုတ္လွခ်ည္ရဲ႕ ဆိုတဲ့ (အျမင္) ရွိတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္ရဲ႕ ေပၚလစီက လွတယ္။ ေခတ္သစ္ တ႐ုတ္ေခါင္းေဆာင္ေတြက ေမာ္ေခတ္ကလို (မူ) ကုိ အေသမကိုင္ထားဘူး။ ရန္မလိုဘူး။ Confrontational မျဖစ္ဘူးလုိ႔ ဆိုခ်င္တာပါ။ ေအးေအးေလး တည့္ေအာင္ေပါင္းၿပီး တုိးတက္ေအာင္လုပ္။ တျဖည္းျဖည္း စီးပြားေရးနဲ႔ အႏုိင္ယူတာပဲ၊ လူလည္ၾကီးေတြပါ။
အေမရိကန္နဲ႔ တ႐ုတ္မတူတာက အေမရိကန္က စြာတယ္ Aggressive ျဖစ္တယ္။ လူပါးဝတယ္ Arrogant ျဖစ္တယ္။ တ႐ုတ္က ညင္သာတယ္။ လူပါးမဝဘူး။ ပုခံုးဖက္ၿပီးမွ တျဖည္းျဖည္း မ်ဳိတာပဲ။ မွ်မွ်ျပန္ၾကည့္ရင္ တ႐ုတ္ကို တခ်ိန္က အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြနဲ႔ ဂ်ပန္တုိ႔က မတရားအႏုိင္က်င့္ၿပီး မတရား ေစာ္ကားခဲ့ၾကတယ္။ Boxer Revolution ေဘာက္ဆာ ေတာ္လွန္ေရးေခတ္ကို ဖတ္ၾကည့့္ပါ။ အဂၤလိပ္ေတြက Dog & Chinese Not Allowed ေခြးႏွင့္ တ႐ုတ္ေတြ မဝင္ရဆိုၿပီး တ႐ုတ္ျပည္မွာ တ႐ုတ္ေတြအေပၚ လူပါးဝခဲ့ၾကတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္ေတြဟာ အေနာက္တိုင္း၊ အထူးသျဖင့္ အေမရိကန္ေတြကို အေပၚစီးက မဆက္ဆံဘူး။ လက္ရွိအေျခအေနမွာ နယ္ေျမက်ဴးေက်ာ္လိုမႈလည္း မရွိဘူး။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ အတုိက္အခံေတြ အထူးသျဖင့္ NLD က တ႐ုတ္ၾကီး အျမင္မွန္ေရာက္ေအာင္ ေပၚလစီခ် ၾကိဳးစားသင့္တယ္။ ဒီမိုကေရစီရရင္လည္း တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ နယ္ခ်င္းဆက္စပ္ေနတဲ့အတြက္ ဘယ္အစိုးရမဆို သင့္ျမတ္ေအာင္ ေပါင္းသင္းဆက္ဆံရမွာပဲ။ ျမန္မာျပည္ေျမာက္ပိုင္းမွာရွိတဲ့ လူနည္းစု တိုင္းရင္းသား အဖြဲ႔ေတြနဲ႔ လူနည္းစုအဖြဲ႔ေတြဟာ တ႐ုတ္ၾသဇာ မကင္းဘူး။
NCGUB ဆိုတာ အေဝးေရာက္ အစိုးရဆိုေပမယ့္ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ ပံုမွန္ဆက္ဆံေရး မရွိဘူး။ က်ေနာ္ သိရသေလာက္ အေမရိကန္ေတြ အထင္လြဲမွာစိုးၿပီး တ႐ုတ္ကို မဆက္ဆံရဲဘူးတဲ့။ NLD (LA) က ဦးညိဳအုန္းျမင့္ တေယာက္ပဲ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ Relationship ဆက္ဆံေရး ရွိတယ္။
Just want to share what I read.
"Agree to Disagree"
ဘိုဘိုေက်ာ္ၿငိမ္း
စေနေန႔၊ ဇြန္လ 27 ရက္ 2009 ခုႏွစ္ 12 နာရီ 22 မိနစ္
သံတမန္ေရးရာဆုိတာ ကန္႔သတ္မႈ ရွိပါတယ္
၂၀၀၇ ခုႏွစ္ ေရႊဝါေရာင္ေတာ္လွန္ေရး ျဖစ္တုန္းက တၾကိမ္၊ နာဂစ္မွာ တၾကိမ္၊ အခု ေဒၚစုကို တရားစြဲဆုိရာမွာ တၾကိမ္၊ ျပည္တြင္းမွာ လႈပ္ရွားမႈျဖစ္တုိင္း ျပည္ပမွာ ကုလမဂၢ ဝင္ပါေတာ့လား၊ အေမရိကန္ ဝင္ပါေတာ့လား စသည္ျဖင့္ ေတာင္းဆိုမႈေတြ ၾကီးထြားတတ္ပါတယ္။ မီဒီယာေတြမွာလည္း အသံေတြ ဆူညံတတ္တာေၾကာင့္ သံတမန္အေၾကာင္းနဲ႔ ကမၻာ့ႏုိင္ငံေရး အေျပာင္းအလဲေတြကို ေဆြးေႏြးပါရေစ။ ဒီအပိုင္းက အထဲက ပရိသတ္ကို ပိုရည္စူးတာပါ။ အေၾကာင္းက က်ေနာ္နဲ႔ မိသားစုခ်င္း ရင္းႏွီးတဲ့ ငယ္ငယ္ကတည္းက သိခဲ့တဲ့ မဆလအစိုးရက ျပန္ေခၚလုိ႔သာ ျပန္လာရလု႔ိ ပါရဂူဘြဲ႕မရခဲ့ေပမယ့္ ပါရဂူအဆင့္ရွိတဲ့ ပညာတတ္တေယာက္နဲ႔ ျပန္လည္ေတြ႔ဆံုရတဲ့အခါမွာ ယူအန္ (UN) က ဘာလုပ္ေနလဲလို႔ ေမးတာ ၾကံဳဖူးလို႔ပါ။
UN ဆုိတာက ႏုိင္ငံတုိင္းကို ျပႆနာေပၚတုိင္း ဝင္မစြက္ဖက္ႏုိင္ပါဘူး။ ကုလသမဂၢရဲ႕ အေထြေထြအတြင္းေရးမႉးဟာ ကုလသမဂၢရဲ႕ လံုၿခံဳေရးေကာင္စီက ေစခိုင္းတဲ့အတုိင္း လုပ္ရတာပါ။ လံုၿခံဳေရးေကာင္စီမွာ တခ်က္လႊတ္အာဏာ Veto Power ရွိတဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံ ၅ ႏုိင္ငံကို ၾကီး ၅ ၾကီးလို႔ ေခၚပါတယ္။ ဒီႏုိင္ငံ ၅ ႏုိင္ငံကပဲ လံုၿခံဳေရးေကာင္စီမွာ အၿမဲပါဝင္ၿပီး က်န္ႏုိင္ငံေတြက အလွည့္က်သာ ပါဝင္ရပါတယ္။ ဒုတိယကမၻာစစ္ကို ႏုိင္ခဲ့တဲ့ မဟာမိတ္ေတြျဖစ္တဲ့ အေမရိကန္၊ အဂၤလိပ္၊ ျပင္သစ္၊ ဆိုဗီယက္နဲ႔ ေနာက္မွ တ႐ုတ္ ပါလာတာပါ။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ဒီဗီတိုအာဏာရွိတဲ့ ႏိုင္ငံေတြက သေဘာမတူဘဲ ဘာမွ လုပ္လို႔ မရပါ။
ကိုရီးယားစစ္မွာပဲ ဆိုဗီယက္ကိုယ္စားလွယ္ ေရခ်ဳိးခန္းအသြားမွာ မဲခြဲခဲ့လို႔ UN က ကိုရီးယားမွာ ဝင္ခြင့္ရခဲ့တာပါ။ (မွတ္ခ်က္ - ထို္စဥ္က တ႐ုတ္ မပါေသးပါ။ ထိုင္ဝမ္ကို အသိအမွတ္ျပဳၾကပါေသးတယ္။) ယူဂိုဆလပ္ႏုိင္ငံ ကြဲထြက္သြားၿပီး ေဘာ့စနီးယားစစ္ပဲြမွာ ဆိုဗီယက္ဗီတိုကို UN မွာ မေက်ာ္ႏိုင္ခဲ့တဲ့အတြက္ UN အျပင္ဘက္က ေနတိုး NATO အေနနဲ႔ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြက ဝင္စြက္ဖက္ခ့ဲၾကရတာပါ။
ဒါေၾကာင့္ UN မွာ ျပႆနာတခုကို တင္ခ်င္ရင္ ၾကီး ၅ ၾကီးထဲက တႏုိင္ငံက မကန္႔ကြက္ဖုိ႔ လိုပါတယ္။ ထုိ႔ျပင္ UN မွာ ကိုယ္ပိုင္စစ္တပ္မရွိပါ။ UN အဖြဲ႕ဝင္ေတြဆီက တပ္ကို ေတာင္းခံရပါတယ္။ ထို႔အတြက္ UN ပါဝင္ကိုင္တြယ္လာဖုိ႔ ကမၻာ့အင္အားၾကီး ႏုိင္ငံၾကီးေတြအၾကား ႏုိင္ငံေရးကို နားလည္ရပါမယ္။
ဒုတိယကမၻာစစ္အၿပီးမွာ အေရွ႕နဲ႔ အေနာက္ဆိုၿပီး ကြန္ျမဴနစ္စနစ္ က်င့္သံုးေသာ ႏုိင္ငံေတြနဲ႔ ဒီမိုကေရစီက်င့္သံုးတဲ့ ႏိုင္ငံေတြဆိုၿပီး ကမၻာၾကီးဟာ ၂ ျခမ္းကြဲေနခဲ့ပါတယ္။ ဆိုဗီယက္ ႐ုရွားၿပိဳကြဲၿပီး ကမၻာမွာ ကြန္ျမဴနစ္စနစ္ က်ဆံုးသြားအၿပီး တ႐ုတ္ကလည္း တိန္ေရွာင္ပိန္ရဲ႕ ေစ်းကြက္စီးပြားေရး အေျပာင္းအလဲ ၾကားကာလျဖစ္ေနေတာ့ ကမၻာ့အင္အားၾကီး မဟာအင္အားၾကီး ဆူပါ ပါဝါအျဖစ္ အေမရိကန္ပဲ က်န္ရစ္ခဲ့ပါတယ္။ ပထမ အီရတ္စစ္မွာ အေမရိကန္က Smart Bombs လို႔ေခၚေသာ အစြမ္းထက္တဲ့ ဗံုးေတြသံုးၿပီး စစ္အင္အားျပခဲ့ရာ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ အရွိန္ဟာ ကမၻာမွာ ၾကီးမားခဲ့ပါတယ္။
ဆိုဗီယက္ေတြဟာ ယဲ့လ္ဆင္ လက္ထက္မွာ ကြန္ျမဴနစ္စီးပြားေရးစနစ္မွ ေစ်းကြက္ စီးပြားေရးအေျပာင္းမွာ GDP စုစုေပါင္း ထြက္ကုန္ဟာ ၄ဝ % မွ် ခြ်တ္ၿခံဳက်သြားပါတယ္။ အေမရိကန္ စီးပြားေရးပညာရွင္ေတြက တခ်ီတည္း ေျပာင္းရမယ္။ Shock Treatment ဆိုၿပီး ဖိအားေပးလမ္းညႊန္ခဲ့ပါတယ္။ အရက္နဲ႔ တြဲဖက္ေနတတ္တဲ့ ယဲ့လ္ဆင္ကလည္း ႏုိင္ငံပိုင္ လုပ္ငန္းၾကီးမ်ားကို အလကားေပးသေလာက္နီးနီး ေရာင္းခဲ့ရာ ေတဇတုိ႔လို ေခတ္ေပၚသူေ႒းၾကီးေတြ ေပၚလာၿပီး စီးပြားေရး ဖ႐ိုဖရဲ ျဖစ္ခဲ့ရပါတယ္။ အစိုးရမွာ ေငြမရွိေတာ့ ဆိုဗီယက္စစ္တပ္မွာလည္း ဖ႐ိုဖရဲနဲ႔ စစ္အင္အားကို ေလ်ာ့ရေတာ့ စစ္တပ္လည္း တပ္ပ်က္လုနီးပါး ခ်ဳိ႕ယြင္းအားနည္းခဲ့ပါတယ္။
ဒီိလုိ ႐ုရွားႏုိင္ငံ ကြ်မ္းထိုးေမွာက္ခံု ျဖစ္ေနခ်ိန္မွာ ကမၻာမွာ အေမရိကန္ႏုိင္ငံ တႏုိင္ငံပဲ ဆူပါပါဝါ ႏုိင္ငံအျဖစ္ က်န္ပါေတာ့တယ္။ ဆိုဗီယက္အင္ပါယာၾကီး ၿပိဳကြဲခ်ိန္မွာ အေရွ႕ဥေရာပ ႏုိင္ငံေတြကလည္း ခြဲထြက္ကာ လြတ္လပ္ေရး ေတာင္းဆုိခဲ့ၾကပါတယ္။ ဒီလို ႐ုရွားႏုိင္ငံဟာ ၿပိဳကြဲနိမ့္က်ခ်ိန္မွာ အေမရိကန္ေပၚလစီ ေဖာ္ထုတ္သူတခ်ဳိ႕က အရင္က ၿပိဳင္ဘက္ကို အၿငိဳးနဲ႔ႏွိမ္ခဲ့ၾကတယ္။ အေၾကာင္းအက်ဳိး အားလုံးေပါင္းလုိက္ေတာ့ မ်ဳိးခ်စ္စိတ္ဓာတ္ ျပင္းထန္တဲ့ ႐ုရွား မ်ဳိးခ်စ္ Nationalists ေတြက အေမရိကန္အေပၚ စိတ္နာၾကတယ္။
ဒါကုိ အေသးစိတ္ ေစာင့္ၾကည့္ၿပီး သင္ခန္းစာ ယူေနတာကေတာ့ တ႐ုတ္ၾကီးပဲ။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္ၾကီးက တခ်ီထဲနဲ႔ မရမ္းဘူး။ ေျဖးေျဖးခ်င္းလွမ္းၿပီး ေစ်းကြက္စနစ္ကုိ ေျပာင္းတယ္။ တိန္ေလွ်ာက္ဖိန္ မွာခဲ့တဲ့ စကားမွာ ေက်ာက္ခဲေတြကို ေသခ်ာနင္းျပီး ေခ်ာင္းကုိျဖတ္ပါ လို႔ ဥပမာေပးပါတယ္။ crossing the river by feeling the stones.
ယဲ့လ္ဆင္ရဲ႕ သတၲမ သတ္တမ္းအၿပီးမွာ မထင္မွတ္ဘဲ ႏုိင္ငံေရး အသက္ႏုေသးတဲ့ အရင္က KGB ေထာက္လွမ္းေရး အရာရွိ ပူတင္ က သမၼတျဖစ္လာတယ္။ ပူတင္က မ်ဳိးခ်စ္၊ ဒိအျပင္ လူငယ္ပီပီ ၾကမ္းတယ္၊ သြက္တယ္၊ လက္ျမန္တယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ပူတင္က အေခ်ာင္ရထားတဲ့ သူေ႒းေတြရဲ႕ ကုမၸဏီအခ်ိဳ႕ကုိ ျပန္သိမ္းၿပီး ဖ႐ုိဖရဲ ျဖစ္ေနတဲ့ စီးပြားေရးကုိ ျပန္ကုိင္ခဲ့တယ္။ အထူးသျဖင့္ ပူတင္ကုိ ယွဥ္ရဲသူေတြကို ကုမၸဏီလည္း သိမ္း၊ ေထာင္ပါခ်ပစ္လုိက္တယ္။ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြက ေဝဖန္သူေတြကေတာ့ အာဏာရွင္ဆန္တယ္လုိ႔ ေဝဖန္ၾကတာေပါ့။ ပူတင္ လက္ထက္မွာ ႐ုရွားေတြရဲ႕ စီးပြားေရးဟာ ျပန္ၿပီး ဦးေထာင္လာတယ္။ လြန္ခဲ့တဲ့ ၂ ႏွစ္ေလာက္မွာ ကမၻာ့ေရနံေစ်းေတြ ေခါင္ခိုက္ေအာင္ တက္ေနေတာ့ ႐ုရွားရဲ႕ စီးပြားေရး အရွိန္ဟာတက္လာတယ္။ ေရနံႏုိင္ငံေတြ စုစည္းထားတဲ့ OPEC အဖြဲ႔အျပင္မွာ ေဆာ္ဒီၿပီးရင္ ႐ုရွားက ေရနံအထြက္ဆုံးပဲ။ ထုိ႔ျပင္ သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ Natural Gas မွာ ႐ုရွားက နံပါတ္ ၁ ပဲ။ (မွတ္ခ်က္ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံက နံပါတ္ ၁၁ မွာ ရွိပါတယ္)။ အေနာက္ဥေရာပက ၂၅ ရာခုိင္ႏႈန္းအထက္ သဘာဝဓါတ္ေငြ႔ကုိ ႐ုရွားက ဝယ္ယူရပါတယ္။ ႐ုရွားေတြအေပၚစြမ္းအင္အတြက္မွီခိုိလာရတယ္။
႐ုရွားေတြ ကြန္ျမဴနစ္ စံနစ္ကအေျပာင္း ယဲ့လ္ဆင္ရဲ႕ ဖ႐ုိဖရဲ ကာလမွာ အေမရိကန္ေတြ လူပါးဝ ထားတာကို ႐ုရွားမ်ဳိးခ်စ္ေတြက မေမ့ဘူး။ ဒိအျပင္မွာ ေနတိုး NATO က ဝါေဆာစာခ်ဳပ္ Warsaw Pact ပ်က္္သြားတာေတာင္၊ ရန္သူမရွိေတာ့တာေတာင္၊ ထပ္မံတုိးခ်ဲ႕လာေနတယ္။
သမၼတ ကလင္တန္လက္ထက္မွာ ေဘာ့စနီးယားနဲ႔ ဆာဗီးယားကုိ ဝင္စြက္ထားတာကုိလည္း ႐ုရွားက ၾကည့္မရဘူး။ ဆာ့ဖ္လူမ်ဳိးေတြက Serbs ေတြက ႐ုရွားနဲ႔ လူမ်ဳိးတူေတြကုိး။ အခုလဲ အေမရိကန္က ဒုံးပ်ံကုိ ကာကြယ္ဖုိ႔ ဒုံးပ်ံ Anti Ballistic Missiles ေတြကုိ ပုိလန္နဲ႔ ခ်က္စ္မွာ တပ္ဆင္ဖုိ႔ အစီအစဥ္အတြက္ ျငင္းခံုေနၾကတယ္။ အခုလက္ရွိ ႐ုရွားသမၼတဟာ ပူတင္ရဲ႕ လူစာရင္း။ ဥပေဒအရ ပူတင္က ဆက္အေရြးမခံႏုိင္လုိ႔ ဝန္ၾကီးခ်ဳပ္ ဆင္းလုပ္ၿပီး ဥပေဒျပင္ဆင္ၿပီး သမၼတ တခါထပ္ျပန္ အေရြးခံမယ္လုိ႔ အတြင္းသိေတြက ယူဆၾကတယ္။ လက္ရွိ႐ုရွားမွာ ပူတင္ကုို လူၾကိဳက္မ်ားတယ္။
တ႐ုတ္ၾကီးက သိပ္လည္တယ္။ အေမရိကန္ကုိ ရန္မရွာေသးဘူး။ အႏွစ္ ၃ဝ ေက်ာ္ေက်ာ္ အေမရိကန္နဲ႔ တည့္ေအာင္ေပါင္းၿပီး အေမရိကားကုိ တ႐ုတ္လုပ္ ေပါေခ်ာင္ေကာင္းပစၥည္းေတြ တြင္တြင္တင္ပုိ႔ၿပီး အေမရိကန္အလုပ္႐ုံ စက္႐ုံေတြ ပိတ္ၿပီး တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ၾကီးမွာ စက္႐ုံအလုပ္႐ုံေတြ ေပၚလာေတာ့ တ႐ုတ္ေတြ အလုပ္ရ ေငြေပါလာတာေပါ့။ အေမရိကန္ေတြက ေငြေနာက္လုိက္ၿပီး စြတ္ဝယ္၊ တ႐ုတ္ကလည္း နင္းကန္ပို႔ ဆုိေတာ့ တ႐ုတ္မွာ ႏုိင္ငံျခားေငြေတြ မတရား ပုိေနတာေပါ့။ အေမရိကန္အစုိးရက လုိေငြ (Deficit) အတြက္ ေခ်းဖုိ႔ ထုတ္ေရာင္းရတဲ့ TBill လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ Treasury Bills ေတြကုိ တ႐ုတ္က ဝယ္ေတာ့ အတုိးလည္းရၿပီး၊ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ အေၾကြးရွင္ ၿမီရွင္ႏုိင္ငံ ျဖစ္လာတယ္။ အေမရိကန္က တ႐ုတ္အေပၚ TBill ေဒၚလာ ၇၆၃.၅ ဘီလ်ီယံံ ( ၁ ဘီလီယံ= ၁ဝဝဝ သန္း) ဖိုး အေၾကြးတင္လ်က္ရွိတယ္။ အေမရိကန္ စီပြားေရးဝန္ၾကီးက ပီကင္းမွာ အေမရိကန္ TBills ေတြကုိ တ႐ုတ္ကဆက္ဝယ္ဖုိ႔ မ်က္ႏွာခ်ဳိေသြးေနရတယ္။
ႏုိင္ငံတႏုိင္ငံဟာ ေငြရွိမွ စစ္တပ္ကုိ ထူေထာင္ႏုိင္တယ္။ ေငြက ဝင္ေငြေကာင္းမွ၊ စီးပြားေရးေကာင္းမွ ေငြ ရွိမွာကုိး။ တ႐ုတ္စစ္တပ္ဟာ လူဦးေရ အမ်ားဆုံး စစ္တပ္ျဖစ္ေပမဲ့ စစ္ပစၥည္းမွာ ေခတ္မမီလွေသးဘူး။ ျပည္တြင္းစစ္မွာကတည္းက တ႐ုတ္စစ္တပ္ကုိ ကြန္ျမဴနစ္ ပါတီက အုပ္စိုးထားတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္ ဒုစစ္ေသနာပတိက Peng Dehuai က စစ္သားပီသတဲ့ စစ္တပ္ Professional Army ျဖစ္ေစခ်င္တာေၾကာင့္ ေမာ္နဲ႔ ထိပ္တုိက္ေတြ႔တာေၾကာင့္ အျဖဳတ္ခံရၿပီး ယဥ္ေက်းမႈ ေတာ္လွန္ေရးတုန္းက ဦးထုပ္ၾကီးေတြေဆာင္းၿပီး လူထုအေရွ႕မွာ အႏိွပ္စက္ခံရတယ္။ အခုမွ တ႐ုတ္က ေငြရွိလာမွ Professional Army ကုိ ထူေထာင္လာၾကတာပါ။
အထူးသျဖင့္ တ႐ုတ္ေရတပ္ဟာ အရင္က ကမ္းေျခေစာင့္ေရတပ္ အသြင္ပဲ ရွိတယ္။ အခုမွ ပင္လယ္ျပာေရတပ္ Blue Water Navy ကမၻာကုိ ျဖန္႔ႏုိင္တဲ့ ေရတပ္အျဖစ္ အသြင္ကူးေျပာင္းလ်က္ရွိတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္က ၿဂိဳဟ္တု Satellite ကုိ ေျမျပင္က ပစ္ခ်ျပႏုိင္ခဲ့သလုိ အခုေလယာဥ္တင္ သေဘာၤ Air Craft Carrier ေဆာက္ေနၿပီ။ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ စစ္သုံးစရိတ္ဟာ ဘီလ်ံ ၅ဝဝ ေက်ာ္ရွိၿပီး ဥေရာပႏုိင္ငံနဲ႔ ႏိုင္ငံၾကီးေတြ အားလုံးေပါင္းရဲ႕ စစ္စရိတ္ထက္ မ်ားတယ္။ အခု ဒုတိယ တ႐ုတ္က ဘီလ်ံ ၈ဝ ေက်ာ္တယ္။ ဒါေပမဲ့ ဒီမွာ အာကာသ Space နဲ႔ ပတ္သက္ၿပီး ကုန္က်စရိတ္ေတြ မပါေသးဘူး။ တ႐ုတ္က စစ္အသံုးစရိတ္ မ်ားလာတာ ထင္ရွားတယ္။
အေမရိကန္က အီရတ္ကုိ ဝင္အသိမ္းၿပီးမွာ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ စစ္အင္အား တိုိးခ်ဲ႕မႈကုိ ရင္ဆုိင္ဖုိ႔ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ ႐ုရွား ေပါင္းၿပီး ရွန္ဟုိင္းအတူ ပူးေပါင္းေရးအဖြဲ႔ Shanghai Cooperation Organization SCO ကို အားျဖည့္ခဲ့ၾကတယ္။ ၆ ႏုိင္ငံ ပါဝင္တဲ့ SCO ဆိုတာက တ႐ုတ္၊ ႐ုရွားနဲ႔ အရင္ ဆုိဗီယက္အင္ပါယာဝင္ ႏိုင္ငံအခ်ဳိ႕ကုိ စြဲေခၚၿပီး ဖြဲ႔ထားတဲ့ အဖြဲ႔ပါ။
လြန္ခဲ့တဲ့ လကမွ (ေမလ ၂ဝဝ၉) သီရိလကၤာမွာ အစုိးရက Tiger ေတြလုိ႔ နာမည္ၾကီးတဲ့ တမီလ္က်ားသူပုန္ေတြကုိ အႏုိင္ရၿပီး အႏွစ္ ၂ဝ ေက်ာ္ ၾကာခဲ့တဲ့ သူပုန္ထမႈကုိ ေအာင္ႏုိင္ခဲ့တယ္။ ဒီ က်ားသူပုန္ ေခါင္းေဆာင္ဟာ အင္မတန္ ရက္စက္တယ္။ က်ားသူူပုန္ ေခါင္းေဆာင္ေတြကို အစိုးရတပ္ေတြ ဝုိင္းထားတုန္း အစုိးရတပ္ေတြ ဗုံးၾကဲတာေၾကာင့္ အရပ္သားေတြ ေသရပါတယ္ဆုိတဲ့ စြပ္စြဲခ်က္ေတြ ထြက္လာၿပီး ဒီမုိကေရစီ က်င့္သုံးတဲ့ အေနာက္ႏိုင္ငံေတြက သီရိလကၤာႏုိင္ငံကုိ ဖိအားေပးလာတယ္။ ခ်က္ခ်င္း တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ ႐ုရွားက သီရိလကၤာအစုိးရကုိ ရွန္ဟုိင္းအုပ္စု အစည္းအေဝးကုိ ေဆြးေႏြးဘက္ Dialogue-Partner အေနနဲ႔ တက္ဖုိ႔ ဖိတ္ေခၚလိုက္တယ္။ တ႐ုတ္ေကာ ႐ုရွားကပါ ခ်ီးက်ဴးသဝဏ္လႊာေတြ ေပးပုိ႔ခဲ့တယ္။
ဒုတိယ အီရတ္စစ္ပြဲ မတုိင္ခင္မွာ အေမရိကန္ ႏုိင္ငံဟာ တဦးတည္းေသာ ဆူပါပါဝါအျပင္ စစ္အင္အား အၾကီးဆုံးႏုိင္ငံ ျဖစ္တာေၾကာင့္ ဆူပါပါဝါထက္လြန္တဲ့ ဟိုင္ပါပါဝါ Hyper power ဆိုၿပီး တံခြန္လြင့္ ႏုိင္ခဲ့တာေပါ့။ ႏုိင္ငံေရးမကြ်မ္းတဲ့ သမၼတ ဘုရွ္ Bush က အီရတ္ကုိ ဝင္သိမ္းၿပီး လြယ္လြယ္နဲ႔ ၿပီးမယ္ထင္ခဲ့တာ အီရတ္ေတြက ကုိယ့္ႏုိင္ငံကုိ က်ဴးေက်ာ္လာတာကုိ မခံႏုိင္ဘဲ ေတာ္လွန္ေတာ့ အေမရိကန္စစ္တပ္က မျပင္ထားတဲ့ စစ္ပြဲကုိ ဆင္ႏြဲရေတာ့ ေသၾကပ်က္စီးမႈေတြ မ်ားကုန္ျပီး ရပ္လို႔မရ ျဖစ္ေရာ။ စစ္ေရးအရ Hyper Power အဆင့္က ျပဳတ္က်တာေပါ့။ 2007 ခုႏွစ္ စီးပြားေရးအက်ပ္အတည္း Economic Crisis လည္းျဖစ္ေရာ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ အရွိန္နဲ႔ သိကၡာဟာ ထပ္ျပဳတ္က်တာေပါ့။
ေရနံႏွင့္ ႏုိင္ငံေရး
ဒုတိယ ကမၻာစစ္ၾကီးအၿပီးမွာ အေမရိကန္ သမၼတ ရူဗ္စဗဲ့လ္ Roosevelt နဲ႔ ေဆာ္ဒီဘုရင္ ေဆာ့ဒ္ Saud တုိ႔ ေတြ႔ၿပီး ေဆာ္ဒီေတြက ေရနံေပးမယ္၊ အေမရိကန္က လုံၿခဳံေရးေပးဖုိ႔ ကတိျပဳခဲ့တယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ေရနံကုိ အေမရိကန္ ေဒၚလာနဲ႔ အေရာင္းအဝယ္ ဒီေန႔အထိ လုပ္ၾကရၿပီး အႏွစ္ ၄ဝ ေက်ာ္ေက်ာ္ ေဆာ္ဒီက ေရနံေစ်းကုိ ထိန္းခဲ့တယ္။ အေမရိကန္ကလည္း စည္းမရွိ၊ ကမ္းမရွိ ေရနံေစ်း ေပါေပါနဲ႔ ရလုိ႔၊ တရေဟာ ပစ္ဝယ္ခဲ့တယ္။ လက္ရွိေခတ္ဟာ ေရနံေခတ္လုိ႔ ဆုိရမယ္။ ေရနံကုိ အဓိက သုံးတာ ၃ မ်ဳိး ရွိတယ္။ လွ်ပ္စစ္ဓာတ္ထုတ္တဲ့ စက္႐ုံေတြလည္ဖုိ႔ရယ္၊ ပို႔ေဆာင္ဆက္သြယ္ေရးယာဥ္ ကား၊ ေလယာဥ္၊ သေဘာၤ စတာေတြ ေမာင္းဖုို႔ရယ္၊ Industrial By Product လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ စက္မႈပစၥည္း ထုတ္လုပ္ရာမွာ သုံးတယ္။ ကုန္ထုတ္လုပ္မႈမ်ားတာနဲ႔ စက္႐ုံေတြလည္ဖုိ႔ လွ်ပ္စစ္လုိတယ္။ ၂၁ ရာစုအဝင္မွာ အႏွစ္ ၂ဝ ၾကီးထြားလာတဲ့ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ အိႏၵိယရဲ႕ စက္႐ုံေတြလည္ဖို႔ ေရနံေတြ ပုိလုိအပ္လာတယ္။ ေရနံဆုိတာ အခုလုိမွ အခုသြားတူးလုိ႔ မရပါ။ ေရနံတြင္း တတြင္းေပၚဖုိ႔ အနည္းဆုံး ၅ ႏွစ္ၾကာၿပီး အရင္းအႏွီး မ်ားပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ေရနံဟာ Finite Number လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ တေန႔တာ ထြက္တဲ့ (အတိအက်) အရည္အတြက္ ေရနံစည္ (Barrel) ပဲ ရွိပါတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ အိႏၵိယရဲ႕ လုိအပ္ခ်က္ (Demand) က မ်ားလာသလို အေမရိကန္က သုံးစြဲမႈ Consumption ကုိ မေလွ်ာ့ေတာ့ ကမၻာ့ေစ်းကြက္မွာ ေရနံဟာ လိုအပ္ခ်က္နဲ႔ ျဖည့္ဆည္းခ်က္ (Supply and Demand) မမွ်တာေၾကာင့္ ေစ်းအဆမတန္ တက္လာပါတယ္။
ကမၻာေပၚမွာ ေဆာ္ဒီက ေရနံအမ်ားဆုံးရွိလို႔ ထုတ္လုပ္ႏုိင္တဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံျဖစ္ပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ အေမရိကန္ႏုိင္ငံက ေရနံေစ်းကြက္ကို လႊမ္းမုိးထားႏုိင္ပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္က ေရနံရွိတဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံေတြကုိ လုိက္ေပါင္း - လုိက္စုရတာေပါ့။
ေရနံကုိ မီး႐ႈိ႕ရင္ ကာဗြန္ဒုိင္ေအာက္ဆုိက္ (CO2) ထြက္တယ္။ ဒါက ေလထုကုိ ညစ္ညမ္းေစတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ လွ်ပ္စစ္ဓာတ္ထုတ္တဲ့ စက္႐ုံေတြကို သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ Natural Gas သုံးတဲ့ စက္႐ုံေတြအျဖစ္ တျဖည္းျဖည္း ေျပာင္းလ်က္ရွိပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ေရနံေခတ္ကမွ သဘာဝဓတ္ေငြ႔ေခတ္ဆီ တျဖည္းျဖည္း ေျပာင္းေနၾကတယ္။ ကမၻာမွာ သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ ရွိႏုိင္တဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံေတြအထဲမွာ ႐ုရွားက ပထမ၊ အီရန္က ဒုတိယ၊ ျမန္မာက အဆင့္ ၁၁ ရွိပါတယ္။ သဘာဝဓတ္ေငြ႔ေတြကို ပုိက္လုိင္းနဲ႔သယ္ - ဒါမွမဟုတ္ LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ သဘာဝဓတ္ေငြ႔ကုိ အားေပးၿပီး အရည္အျဖစ္ ေျပာင္းၿပီးမွ ေရနံတင္ သေဘာၤေတြလုိ သဘာဝ ဓာတ္ေငြ႔တင္ သေဘၤာၾကီးေတြနဲ႔ သယ္ယူ ေရႊ႔ေျပာင္းႏုိင္တယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္က ႐ုရွား-အီရန္-ကာဇတ္စတန္ ပုိက္လုိင္း ၃ လုိင္းသြယ္တဲ့ အစီအစဥ္လုပ္ခဲ့တယ္။
သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ႏွင့္ ျမန္မာ
တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ၾကီးနဲ႔ တုိးတက္ေရး စီမံကိန္းမွာ ပထမ အေရွ႕ျခမ္း၊ အလယ္ျခမ္းေနာက္မွ အေနာက္ျခမ္းကို တုိးတက္ေအာင္ လုပ္ဖုိ႔စီမံကိန္း ရွိတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ အေရွ႕ျခမ္းမွာရွိတဲ့ ရွန္ဟုိင္းတုိ႔၊ ေဘဂ်င္း (Beijing) တုိ႔ဟာ ကမၻာ့အဆင့္မီ ၿမိဳ႕ၾကီးေတြ ျဖစ္ကုန္ၿပီ။ စက္႐ုံေတြဟာလည္း တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ အေရွ႕ျခမ္းမွာရွိတာေၾကာင့္ ေရနံတင္ သေဘာၤေတြဟာ တ႐ုတ္အေရွ႕ကမ္းမွာ စုိက္ၾကရတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္အလယ္ပုိင္းနဲ႔ ေတာင္ပုိင္းကုိ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္အေရွ႕ျခမ္းက ပုိ႔ရင္ မုိင္ ၃ဝဝဝ ေက်ာ္ ေဝးတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္က ေရနံကို ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံ ရခုိင္ျပည္နဲ႔ ေမာ္လၿမိဳင္ဘက္ကေန ပုိက္နဲ႔ ယူနန္ ျပည္နယ္ကုိ ပို႔ၿပီး၊ အဲဒီကေနတဆင့္ အလယ္ပုိင္းကို ပို႔ဖို႔ စီစဥ္ေနပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ရခုိင္ျပည္မွာ ေရနက္ဆိပ္ကမ္းကုိ တ႐ုတ္က တည္ေဆာက္ေပးေနတာေပါ့။ နအဖ က ရတဲ့ သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔က တ႐ုတ္အတြက္ မေျပာပေလာက္ဘူး။
အေရွ႕အလယ္ပုိင္းနဲ႔ အာဖရိကေရနံေတြ အားလုံးဟာ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ အေရွ႕ျခမ္းကို ေရာက္ဖုိ႔ မာလကၠာေရလက္ၾကား Strait of Malacca က်ဥ္းက်ဥ္းေလးကို ျဖတ္ရတယ္။ တကယ္လို႔ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ အေမရိကန္ စစ္ေရးအရ ရင္ဆုိင္ခဲ့ရင္ အေမရိကန္ရဲ႕ ေရတပ္မေတာ္ ၇ ဟာ မာလကၠာေရလက္ၾကားကို ပိတ္ခဲ့ရင္ တ႐ုတ္မွာ ျပႆနာရွိတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္က ေရနံေတြကို ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံကတဆင့္ ယူနန္ကုိ တင္ရင္ မာလကၠာကုိ ျဖတ္စရာမလုိေတာ့ဘူးေပါ့။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ စစ္ေရးအရ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံဟာ တ႐ုတ္အတြက္ အခရာက်တယ္လုိ႔ ဆုိႏုိင္တယ္။
တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ၾကီးဟာ အလယ္ပုိင္း တုိးတက္ေရးအတြက္ ေရကာတာေတြေဆာက္၊ လမ္းေတြေဖာက္နဲ႔ စီးပြားေရး စီမံကိန္းေတြ လုပ္လ်က္ရွိတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္မွာ (Internal-Migration) လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ ျပည္တြင္းေရႊ႔ေျပာင္းမႈ ရွိတယ္။ အလုပ္ရွားတဲ့ အလယ္ပုိင္း၊ အေနာက္ပုိင္းက လူေတြက တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ အေရွ႕ပိုင္းကုိ ေျပာင္းၾကေတာ့ ၿမိဳ႕ေတြမွွာ ျပည့္က်ပ္ၿပီး လူမႈေရးျပႆနာေတြ တက္လာတာေပါ့။ ဒါကုိေျဖရွင္းဖုိ႔ အလယ္ပုိင္းကုိ ဖိျပီးထူေထာင္ေနရတာ အလယ္ပုိင္း တုိးတက္လာရင္ လိုအပ္မယ့္ ေရနံကုိ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံကတဆင့္ တင္ပို႔ရမွာေပါ့။ တခါ ထုတ္ကုန္ေတြကို ဧရာဝတီျမစ္က သယ္ခ်ၿပီး ျမန္မာဆိပ္ကမ္းေတြက တင္ပုိ႔ရင္ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ အေရွ႕ျခမ္းကို တင္ပုိ႔ရတာထက္ သက္သာႏုိင္တာကုိး။
ဒါေၾကာင့္ သဘာဝ အေနအထားအရ ျမန္မာျပည္ဟာ တ႐ုတ္ျပည္ၾကီး ေခတ္မီတုိးတက္မႈမွာ အတုိင္းအတာ တခုအထိ အေရးပါေနရတာေပါ့။ ဒီျပင္ အေရွ႕ေတာင္ အာရွႏုိင္ငံေတြက တုိးတက္လာေလ၊ တ႐ုတ္အတြက္ ေစ်းကြက္ တုိးခ်ဲ႕ဖုိ႔ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံဟာ ေနရာေကာင္းလာျဖစ္တာေပါ့။ ထိုင္းႏုိင္ငံထဲကုိ တာခ်ီလိတ္ မယ္ဆုိင္ကတဆင့္ တ႐ုတ္ပစၥည္းေတြ လွိမ့္ဝင္လာတာကို ၾကည့္ပါ။
ဒါကုိသိတဲ့ နအဖအစုိးရက တ႐ုတ္ဖဲကုိ ဆြဲကိုင္ႏိုင္တာေပါ့။
အကုိင္မတတ္ရင္ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံဟာ တ႐ုတ္ရဲ႕ စီးပြားေရးကြ်န္ ျဖစ္သြားႏုိင္တယ္။ မ်ဳိးခ်စ္ Nationalist တေယာက္အေနနဲ႔ ရတက္မေအးစရာပါ။
စြမ္းအင္လုံၿခံဳေရး (Energy Security)
အိႏၵိယနဲ႔ တ႐ုတ္ႏုိင္ငံေတြမွာ ဆုိရွယ္လစ္စနစ္ က်င့္သုံးခဲ့လုိ႔ ၂ ႏုိင္ငံစလုံး မြဲေတခဲ့ရတယ္။ ေစ်းကြက္စီးပြားေရးစနစ္ကုိ က်င့္သုံးလာမွ တုိးတက္လာၾကတယ္။ က်န္တဲ့ႏုိင္ငံေတြလည္း ေစ်းကြက္စီးပြားေရးစနစ္ က်င့္သုံးလာေတာ့ တုိးတက္လာတာနဲ႔အမွ် စြမ္းအင္ထုတ္ဖုိ႔ ေရနံနဲ႔ သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ေတြ လုိလာတယ္။ လိုအားနဲ႔ ထုတ္ႏုိင္အား မမွ်တတာေၾကာင့္ ၂၁ ရာစုအစမွာ စြမ္းအင္လုံၿခဳံေရး Energy Security ဆုိတာကုိ စသုံးလာၾကတယ္။ အီရန္က အႏုျမဴလက္နက္ရေအာင္ ၾကိဳးပမ္းေနတာေၾကာင့္ အေမရိကန္ကြန္ကရက္က အီရန္ကုိကူရင္ စီးပြားေရး ျဖတ္ေတာက္မႈျပဳ Economic Sanctions လုပ္မယ္ဆုိၿပီး ဥပေဒ ထုတ္ခဲ့တယ္။ ၂ဝဝ၈ ခုႏွစ္က တ႐ုတ္က သဘာဝ ဓတ္ေငြ႔ လုိတာေၾကာင့္ အီရန္ သဘာဝဓာတ္ေငြ႔ ပေရာဂ်က္ကို ေငြအား၊ လူအား ကူညီခဲ့တယ္။ အေမရိကန္က ဒီေန႔အထိ တ႐ုတ္ကုိ အျပစ္မေပးရဲဘူး။ ထုိနည္းတူ အေမရိကန္နဲ႔ ျပင္သစ္ ကုမၸဏီေတြ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံမွာ ပါဝင္တာကုိ မပိတ္ပင္ႏိုင္ဘူး။ ဒါဟာ လက္ေတြ႔ စြမ္းအင္လုံၿခံဳေရး ျပႆနာပဲ။ နအဖ အစုိးရကုိ က်န္တာေတြ ပိတ္ပင္ေပမယ့္ စြမ္းအင္နဲ႔ ပတ္သက္ရင္ ႏွာေစး၊ ေခ်ာင္းဆုိး ျဖစ္ကုန္ေရာ။ နအဖကုိ ကူညီေနတဲ့ ကုမၸဏီေတြကုိၾကည့္ရင္ တ႐ုတ္၊ အိႏၵိယ၊ ႐ုရွား၊ ကုိရီးယား၊ ဂ်ပန္နဲ႔ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံက ကုမၸဏီ အကုန္ပါၾကတာပဲ။
ႏုိင္ငံျခားေရးေပၚလစီမွာ ႏုိင္ငံအက်ဳိးက အဓိကပဲ
ႏိုင္ငံတိုင္း ႏုိင္ငံတုိင္းဟာ သူတုိ႔ရဲ႕ ႏိုင္ငံျခားေရး မူဝါဒေပၚလစီကုိ ခ်မွတ္က်င့္သုံးရာမွာ သူတုိ႔ႏုိင္ငံ အက်ဳိးကုိပဲ အဓိက ထားရပါတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ထာဝရ မိတ္ေဆြ၊ ထာဝရ ရန္သူဆိုတာ မရွိဘူး။ အက်ဳိးတူပဲရွိတယ္လုိ႔ ဆုိၾကတာ မဟုတ္လား?
ဒီသေဘာတရားကုိ ေကာင္းေကာင္းနားလည္တာက နအဖ ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္ေတြပဲ၊ ရာဇပုလႅင္ကုိ ေသနတ္အားကုိးနဲ႔ အတင္း တက္တုိင္ထားၾကေတာ့ ရာဇပရိယာယ္အေၾကာင္း နားလည္ရမွာေပါ့ --- အာဏာအေၾကာင္း ေကာင္းေကာင္း နားလည္တာကုိး။
နားမလည္တာက က်ေနာ္တုိ႔ အတိုက္အခံေတြဘဲ
ရွင္းတာက အေနာက္ ဥေရာပႏုိင္ငံေတြအတြက္ အေမရိကန္ႏုိင္ငံအတြက္ပါ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံအေရးဟာ အဲဒီႏုိင္ငံေတြရဲ႕ အက်ဳိးအတြက္ ဘာမွ ထိေရာက္မႈမရွိဘူး။ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြ ျမန္မာ့အေရးကုိ စိတ္ဝင္စားတယ္ဆိုတာ ေဒၚစုေၾကာင့္ သက္သက္ပဲ။ ေဒၚစုရဲ႕ သတိၲနဲ႔ ေဒၚစုရဲ႕ ျပင္းထန္တဲ့ ယုံၾကည္မႈကုိ ေလးစားေသာအားျဖင့္ လူ႔အခြင့္အေရး ရရွိေရးအရ မွန္ကန္မႈဘက္က လုိက္လုိ႔ Morality နဲ႔ Human Rights အတြက္ သက္သက္ ကူညီအားေပးတာပဲ ရွိတယ္။
ဒါေၾကာင့္ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြက ဖိအားေပးတယ္ဆုိရာမွာ အတို္င္းအတာ Limited ရွိတယ္။ သံတမန္နည္းနဲ႔ ကန္႔ကြက္တယ္။ ဖိအားေပးတယ္။ မရရင္ တုိင္းျပည္အလုိက္ စီးပြားေရးပိတ္ဆုိ႔မႈ လုပ္တယ္။ မရရင္ အားလုံးပါေအာင္ ကုလသမဂၢမွာတင္ၿပီး လုံၿခဳံေရးေကာင္စီ ဆုံးျဖတ္ခ်က္နဲ႔ စီးပြားေရး ပိတ္ဆုိ႔မႈလုပ္မယ္။ ေနာက္ဆုံးမရမွ စစ္အင္အားနဲ႔ ဝင္တုိက္မယ္ေပါ့။ ဒါက အီရတ္ကိစၥမွာ အေမရိကန္ ဦးေဆာင္တဲ့ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြက လုပ္ခဲ့တယ္။ အဆင့္ဆင့္ ဖိအားေပးၿပီးေနာက္ဆုံး အေမရိကန္က ဝင္တုိက္ၿပီး ဆက္ဒန္ကုိ ျဖဳတ္ခ်ခဲ့တာပဲ။
အီရတ္က ေဆာ္ဒီၿပီးရင္ ဒုတိယေရနံ အထြက္ဆုံးႏုိင္ငံ အီရတ္။ အီရတ္ က ကူဝိတ္ကိုသိမ္း အျပီး ေဆာ္ဒီကုိ ပါသိမ္း ပုိက္ႏိူင္တဲ႕ရန္ရွိတာေၾကာင္႕ပထမ အီရက္စစ္ပြဲျဖစ္ခဲ႕ရတယ္။ အီရတ္မွာ ေရနံရွိတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ အေမရိကန္ အက်ဳိးအတြက္ ဝင္တုိက္ရတာ။ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံက အေမရိကန္အတြက္ ဘာမွ အက်ဳိးမရွိပါ။
ဆူဒန္ႏုိင္ငံ ဒါဖါ (Darfur) မွာ ဆူဒန္အစုိးရဟာ ျမန္မာ နအဖေတြထက္ ရက္စက္တယ္။ ခရစ္ယာန္ေတြကုိ ႏွိပ္စက္႐ုံမက ကၽြန္အျဖစ္ ေရာင္းစားခဲ့ေသးတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ ခရစ္ယာန္ အသင္းေပါင္းစုံနဲ႔ ေဟာလိဝုဒ္နာမည္ေက်ာ္ မင္းသမီးေတြ ဝုိင္းေအာ္တာေတာင္ အေမရိကန္က စစ္သားတေယာက္မွ မကူဘူး။ ထုိနည္း၎ပဲ ျမန္မာ့ႏုိင္ငံအေရးမွာ စစ္ေရးအတြက္ မစြက္ဖက္ႏုိင္ဘူး။ ကုလသမဂၢ - UN မွာေတာင္ ျမန္မာ့ႏိုင္ငံေရးကုိ စီးပြားေရး (Sanction) ဆန္ရွင္လုပ္ဖို႔ မလြယ္ဘူး။ နအဖက ဗီတုိအာဏာရွင္ တ႐ုတ္အျပင္ အရံအျဖစ္ ႐ုရွားကို ကုိင္တားတယ္။
အေရွ႕မွာ ေဖာ္ျပထားသလုိ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံဟာ သဘာဝ အေနအထားအရ တ႐ုတ္အတြက္ အေရးပါတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္အက်ဳိးကုိ ေဆာင္ႏုိင္တယ္။ ဒီအတြက္ နအဖက တ႐ုတ္ကုိ ေပါင္း၊ တ႐ုတ္ဖဲကုိ ကုိင္ၿပီး အိႏိၵယကုိ တခါကုိင္ခဲ့တယ္။ ျမန္မာႏုိင္ငံရဲ႕ သယံဇာတေတြကုိ ေရာင္းၿပီး အာဆီယံႏုိင္ငံအဖြဲ႔ ASEAN ကုိ ကုိင္ခဲ့ျပန္တယ္။ ဒီ တ႐ုတ္၊ အိႏိၵယ၊ အာဆီယံ သုံးပြင့္ဆုိင္ကုိ ေထာင္ယူၿပီး အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြရဲ႕ သံတမန္ ဖိအားနဲ႔ စီးပြားေရး ပိတ္ဆုိ႔မႈ လုပ္တယ္။ အခု တ႐ုတ္ကုိ အားကုိးရတာမ်ားေတာ့ ႐ုရွားဆီကေန စစ္လက္နက္ပစၥည္းေတြနဲ႔ အႏုျမဴနည္းပညာဝယ္ၿပီး တ႐ုတ္ကုိ Balance လုပ္ဖုိ႔နဲ႔ UN က အပုိ ဗီတုိရေအာင္ ႐ုရွားကုိ ေပါင္းခဲ့တယ္။ ႐ုရွားကလည္း ေရနံေငြေတြနဲ႔ အင္အားေတာင့္လာေတာ့ အေမရိကန္ကုိ ဂလန္ကဆန္လုပ္ခ်င္တာနဲ႔ အေတာ္ေပါ့။
မႏွစ္က ေနာက္ဆုံး UN မွာ ျမန္မာ့ကိစၥတင္ဖုိ႔လုပ္ေတာ့ တ႐ုတ္ေရာ၊ ႐ုရွားကပါ ဗီတုိနဲ႔ ပယ္ခ်ခဲ့တယ္။ ပုိရွက္စရာ ေကာင္းတာက NCGUB ကစကတည္းက UN ႐ုံးဖြင့္ထားတယ္။ လူတေယာက္ကုိ တာဝန္ေပးထားတယ္။ ႐ုံးတခုလုံးနဲ႔ လူေတြရွိတာေတာင္ မန္ဒဲလား (Mandela) ရဲ႕ ေတာင္အာဖရိက အစုိးရကုိ နအဖ ဆြဲသြားတာကုိ မသိလုိက္ဘူး။
သံတမန္အေရးကုိ တကယ္ေဆာင္ရြက္မယ္ဆုိရင္ သံတမန္ စကားေျပာ (ေဝ့လည္ေၾကာင္ပတ္) ေျပာနည္းတတ္ရတယ္။ UN စည္းမ်ဥ္းနဲ႔ လုပ္ရပ္ေတြ သိရမယ္။ Wine & Dine လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ သံတမန္ေတြနဲ႔ ေပါင္းၿပီး အေရးပါတဲ့ လူေတြနဲ႔ မိတ္ေဆြဖြဲ႔၊ ရင္းႏွီးေအာင္ ၾကိဳးစားရတယ္။ ဒီလုိလုပ္ဖုိ႔ အဂၤလိပ္စကား ျပင္သစ္စကားေျပာ ကြ်မ္းရမယ္။ စာဖတ္ရမယ္။ ကုိယ့္ကုိ ေလးစားေအာင္ ေျပာႏုိင္ရမယ္။ ေတြ႔သမွ်လူကုိ ၿပဳံးျပၿပီး ကူၾကပါေျပာ႐ုံနဲ႔ မရဘူး။
နအဖ ဘက္က လ်င္တယ္။ UN မွာ အဂၤလိပ္ စကားေျပာေကာင္းတဲ့ သံတမန္ေတြကုိ ထားတယ္။ ဦးဝင္းမရ တုိ႔လုိ စိန္ေပါလ္ကေအာင္တဲ့ အဂၤလိပ္စကား ေကာင္းတဲ့ လူေတြကုိ UN မွာ ထားတယ္။ ႏုိင္ငံျခားေရး႐ုံးက သံတမန္ေတြကို John Hopkins တုိ႔လုိ နာမည္ရွိတဲ့ ေက်ာင္းေတြမွာ ဘြဲ႔လြန္သင္တန္းေတြ ပုိ႔တယ္။ ေနာက္ဆုံး UN မွာ ကိစၥေပၚေတာ့ ဥေရာပမွာ သံအမတ္လုပ္ေနတဲ့ ဦးဝင္းမရနဲ႔ ဒါဂ်ီလင္ကေအာင္တဲ့ ဖိလစ္ပုိင္က သံအမတ္ ဦးေသာင္းထြန္းတုိ႔ကုိ ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္ ၃ ေယာက္နဲ႔အတူူ နယူးေယာက္မွာ လနဲ႔ခ်ီထားၿပီး စည္း႐ုံးတုံ႔ျပန္ခဲ့တယ္။
Targeted Sanctions လုိ႔ေခၚတ့ဲ နအဖ စစ္ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္ေတြနဲ႔ ဒင္းတုိ႔ရဲ႕ သားသမီးေတြ၊ စီးပြားေရးလုပ္ငန္းရွင္ တပည့္ေတြကုိ ဗီဇာ မေပးဖုိ႔နဲ႔ ႏုိင္ငံျခား ဘဏ္အေကာင့္ Account မဖြင့္ႏုိင္ေအာင္ ပိတ္ပင္ခဲ့တယ္။ အေမရိကန္ ႏုိင္ငံျခားေငြလဲတာနဲ႔ ပတ္သက္္ရင္ နယူးေယာက္က (Clearing House) လုိ႔ ေခၚတယ္။ စိစစ္လဲလွယ္ ေပးရတယ္။ နအဖက SWIFT လုိ႔ေခၚတဲ့ ဥေရာပ Network ကုိသုံးၿပီး ဒီစိစစ္မႈကုိ ေက်ာ္ခဲ့တယ္။ SWIFT Network ထဲမွာ အေမရိကန္ ဘဏ္ၾကီးေတြ ပါတယ္။ တခါ စကၤာပူမွာ နာမည္အငွားနဲ႔ Account ဖြင့္ၿပီး ေသာင္းက်န္းေနၾကျပန္တယ္။ ဗီဇာပိတ္ေနပါတယ္ ဆုိတဲ့ၾကားက ဗုိလ္ခ်ဳပ္ေတြရဲ႕ သားသမီး ေဆြမ်ဳိးေတြ အေမရိကားနဲ႔ ဥေရာပမွာ အႏွံ႔ပဲ။
နအဖ က အာဏာရွိေတာ့ ေငြရွာႏိုင္တယ္။ ေငြနဲ႔ အာဏာရွိေတာ့ မိတ္ေဆြေတြကို ဝယ္ယူႏုိင္တာေပါ့။ နအဖ ကုိ က်ားကန္ေပးေနတဲ့ ႏုိင္ငံျခားသား ပညာရွင္ေတြ အေျမာက္အျမား ရွိတယ္။
ဂ်ပန္မွာလည္း နအဖက အလယ္အလတ္ ကုမၸဏီေတြရဲ႕ ကုန္သည္ၾကီးမ်ား အသင္းကုိ ေပါင္းထားၿပီး နအဖ အက်ဳိးအတြက္ ဂ်ပန္အစုိးရဆီက အကူအညီရေအာင္ လုပ္ႏုိင္တယ္။ ဂ်ပန္ေရာက္ ျမန္မာေတြဟာ အတက္ၾကြဆုံး ျဖစ္ေပမယ့္ အုပ္စုေတြမ်ားၿပီး ထိေရာက္တဲ့ ဖိအား ဂ်ပန္အစုိးရကုိ မေပးႏုိင္ဘူး။ တႏွစ္ တႏွစ္ ဂ်ပန္က Phd ပါရဂူ ၄ဝ ေလာက္ ျမန္မာအစုိးရအတြက္ ထုတ္ေပးေနတယ္။ အစုိးရဘက္က ေထာက္ခံခ်က္မရဘဲ ေက်ာင္းတက္ခြင့္နဲ႔ စေကာလားရွစ္ မရဘူး။
NGUB အေဝးေရာက္အစုိးရ ကUN မွာလည္း လူရွိတယ္။ ႏုိင္ငံျခားေရးဝန္ၾကီးလည္း ရွိတယ္။ ေပၚလစီနဲ႔ ဗ်ဴဟာ Strategy ဆုိတာ နားမလည္ ဦးေဆာင္မႈမေပးႏုိင္ေတာ့ ကမၻာအႏွံ႔ ျမန္မာေတြရွိလ်က္နဲ႔ ဘယ္ကို ဦးတည္ရမွန္း ဘာလုပ္ရမွန္း မသိၾကေတာ့ လူမ်ားၿပီး ပြဲမစည္ ျဖစ္ရတာေပါ့။
NLD အပါအဝင္ က်ေနာ္တုိ႔ အတုိက္အခံေတြအားလံုး သတိမမူမိတာ ရွိတယ္။ အဲဒါက ႏုိင္ငံျခား၊ အထူးသျဖင့္ အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြကို အားကိုးလြန္းေတာ့ တ႐ုတ္ဘက္ကၾကည့္ရင္ အတုိက္အခံဆုိတာ အေမရိကန္လူ။ အေနာက္ဘက္ ဒီမိုကေရစီတို႔ရဲ႕ ေနာက္လိုက္၊ သူတို႔ အာဏာရရင္ ငါတို႔အက်ဳိးယုတ္လွခ်ည္ရဲ႕ ဆိုတဲ့ (အျမင္) ရွိတယ္။ တ႐ုတ္ရဲ႕ ေပၚလစီက လွတယ္။ ေခတ္သစ္ တ႐ုတ္ေခါင္းေဆာင္ေတြက ေမာ္ေခတ္ကလို (မူ) ကုိ အေသမကိုင္ထားဘူး။ ရန္မလိုဘူး။ Confrontational မျဖစ္ဘူးလုိ႔ ဆိုခ်င္တာပါ။ ေအးေအးေလး တည့္ေအာင္ေပါင္းၿပီး တုိးတက္ေအာင္လုပ္။ တျဖည္းျဖည္း စီးပြားေရးနဲ႔ အႏုိင္ယူတာပဲ၊ လူလည္ၾကီးေတြပါ။
အေမရိကန္နဲ႔ တ႐ုတ္မတူတာက အေမရိကန္က စြာတယ္ Aggressive ျဖစ္တယ္။ လူပါးဝတယ္ Arrogant ျဖစ္တယ္။ တ႐ုတ္က ညင္သာတယ္။ လူပါးမဝဘူး။ ပုခံုးဖက္ၿပီးမွ တျဖည္းျဖည္း မ်ဳိတာပဲ။ မွ်မွ်ျပန္ၾကည့္ရင္ တ႐ုတ္ကို တခ်ိန္က အေနာက္ႏုိင္ငံေတြနဲ႔ ဂ်ပန္တုိ႔က မတရားအႏုိင္က်င့္ၿပီး မတရား ေစာ္ကားခဲ့ၾကတယ္။ Boxer Revolution ေဘာက္ဆာ ေတာ္လွန္ေရးေခတ္ကို ဖတ္ၾကည့့္ပါ။ အဂၤလိပ္ေတြက Dog & Chinese Not Allowed ေခြးႏွင့္ တ႐ုတ္ေတြ မဝင္ရဆိုၿပီး တ႐ုတ္ျပည္မွာ တ႐ုတ္ေတြအေပၚ လူပါးဝခဲ့ၾကတယ္။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ တ႐ုတ္ေတြဟာ အေနာက္တိုင္း၊ အထူးသျဖင့္ အေမရိကန္ေတြကို အေပၚစီးက မဆက္ဆံဘူး။ လက္ရွိအေျခအေနမွာ နယ္ေျမက်ဴးေက်ာ္လိုမႈလည္း မရွိဘူး။ ဒါေၾကာင့္ အတုိက္အခံေတြ အထူးသျဖင့္ NLD က တ႐ုတ္ၾကီး အျမင္မွန္ေရာက္ေအာင္ ေပၚလစီခ် ၾကိဳးစားသင့္တယ္။ ဒီမိုကေရစီရရင္လည္း တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ နယ္ခ်င္းဆက္စပ္ေနတဲ့အတြက္ ဘယ္အစိုးရမဆို သင့္ျမတ္ေအာင္ ေပါင္းသင္းဆက္ဆံရမွာပဲ။ ျမန္မာျပည္ေျမာက္ပိုင္းမွာရွိတဲ့ လူနည္းစု တိုင္းရင္းသား အဖြဲ႔ေတြနဲ႔ လူနည္းစုအဖြဲ႔ေတြဟာ တ႐ုတ္ၾသဇာ မကင္းဘူး။
NCGUB ဆိုတာ အေဝးေရာက္ အစိုးရဆိုေပမယ့္ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ ပံုမွန္ဆက္ဆံေရး မရွိဘူး။ က်ေနာ္ သိရသေလာက္ အေမရိကန္ေတြ အထင္လြဲမွာစိုးၿပီး တ႐ုတ္ကို မဆက္ဆံရဲဘူးတဲ့။ NLD (LA) က ဦးညိဳအုန္းျမင့္ တေယာက္ပဲ တ႐ုတ္နဲ႔ Relationship ဆက္ဆံေရး ရွိတယ္။
Just want to share what I read.
"Agree to Disagree"
Friday, 3 July 2009
Ban Ki-moon will meet NLD representatives
Source: The Irrawaddy
Date: 02 Jul 2009
By WAI MOE
UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon will meet representatives of Burma's opposition National League for Democracy (NLD) during his two-day visit to Burma, beginning on Friday. It is still not clear, however, whether the Burmese regime will accede to the UN chief's wish to also meet detained pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi.
NLD spokesman Nyan Win told The Irrawaddy on Thursday that five representatives of the party will meet Ban. The Burmese authorities had approved of a meeting but had not yet set a time, Nyan Win said.
The NLD spokesman said he did not expect Ban's visit to Burma would have any large impact on efforts to bring about positive changes.
The NLD's executive committee discussed Ban's upcoming visit on Wednesday.
Ban is scheduled to arrive in Rangoon on Friday and then travel to the capital, Naypyidaw, for a meeting with junta head Snr-Gen Than Shwe and other top generals the same day.
Ban is now in Japan, where he met on Wednesday with Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso.
After the meeting, Ban told reporters he would try to use his visit to Burma "as an opportunity to raise [in the] strongest possible terms and convey the concerns of the international community to the highest authorities of government."
He said "three of the most important benchmarks would be, first of all, they should release all political prisoners, including Daw Aung San Suu Kyi."
Ban said he would also tell the junta that the resumption of dialogue with the opposition was a necessary part of the national reconciliation process and he would urge the regime to create conditions conducive to credible elections in 2010.
Ahead of Ban's trip to Burma, the New York-based Human Rights Watch said on Wednesday that the UN chief should press the junta to release all political prisoners and to engage in dialogue with the opposition. Ban should not give legitimacy to the 2010 elections, the group said.
"There is a real danger that Burma's generals will try to use Ban's visit to legitimize the 2010 elections," said Kenneth Roth, executive director of Human Rights Watch in a statement
Date: 02 Jul 2009
By WAI MOE
UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon will meet representatives of Burma's opposition National League for Democracy (NLD) during his two-day visit to Burma, beginning on Friday. It is still not clear, however, whether the Burmese regime will accede to the UN chief's wish to also meet detained pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi.
NLD spokesman Nyan Win told The Irrawaddy on Thursday that five representatives of the party will meet Ban. The Burmese authorities had approved of a meeting but had not yet set a time, Nyan Win said.
The NLD spokesman said he did not expect Ban's visit to Burma would have any large impact on efforts to bring about positive changes.
The NLD's executive committee discussed Ban's upcoming visit on Wednesday.
Ban is scheduled to arrive in Rangoon on Friday and then travel to the capital, Naypyidaw, for a meeting with junta head Snr-Gen Than Shwe and other top generals the same day.
Ban is now in Japan, where he met on Wednesday with Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso.
After the meeting, Ban told reporters he would try to use his visit to Burma "as an opportunity to raise [in the] strongest possible terms and convey the concerns of the international community to the highest authorities of government."
He said "three of the most important benchmarks would be, first of all, they should release all political prisoners, including Daw Aung San Suu Kyi."
Ban said he would also tell the junta that the resumption of dialogue with the opposition was a necessary part of the national reconciliation process and he would urge the regime to create conditions conducive to credible elections in 2010.
Ahead of Ban's trip to Burma, the New York-based Human Rights Watch said on Wednesday that the UN chief should press the junta to release all political prisoners and to engage in dialogue with the opposition. Ban should not give legitimacy to the 2010 elections, the group said.
"There is a real danger that Burma's generals will try to use Ban's visit to legitimize the 2010 elections," said Kenneth Roth, executive director of Human Rights Watch in a statement
UN chief meets S'pore leaders
UN chief meets S'pore leaders
By Lee Siew Hua, Senior Political Correspondent
26 minutes ago
UNITED Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki Moon and Singapore leaders on Thursday discussed the importance of engaging Myanmar, a day ahead of his planned visit to Yangon.
The UN chief, here on a two-day working visit, called on Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong at the Istana and was hosted to dinner by Senior Minister Goh Chok Tong last night.
Singapore's Foreign Affairs Ministry said in a statement that PM Lee and Mr Ban exchanged views on the global economic crisis and discussed the UN chief's upcoming visit to Myanmar.
'PM Lee emphasised the importance of the continued engagement of the international community through the UN,' the statement said.
He also reiterated Singapore's 'support for the good offices of the UN Secretary-General and his Special Adviser Ibrahim Gambari's work on Myanmar'.
PM Lee and Mr Ban exchanged views on challenges facing the international community, including the economic crisis. At dinner, SM Goh discussed his recent four-day visit to Myanmar and Singapore's perspective on developments there.
'SM Goh emphasised the important role that the UN could play to help bring about national reconciliation in Myanmar by engaging all the stakeholders,' the statement said.
When SM Goh visited Myanmar last month, he urged its military government not to allow the ongoing trial of pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi to derail the national reconciliation process, and to ensure that national elections, to be held next year, are free and fair.
SM Goh said at the time that Myanmar's leaders understood the need to democratise, but they were being practical and doing it cautiously, step by step.
In March, PM Lee met visiting Myanmar Prime Minister Thein Sein and urged Myanmar to take bolder steps towards national reconciliation and engaging the international community. 'Singapore will do what we can, provided Myanmar considers this helpful,' he said at that time.
By Lee Siew Hua, Senior Political Correspondent
26 minutes ago
UNITED Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki Moon and Singapore leaders on Thursday discussed the importance of engaging Myanmar, a day ahead of his planned visit to Yangon.
The UN chief, here on a two-day working visit, called on Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong at the Istana and was hosted to dinner by Senior Minister Goh Chok Tong last night.
Singapore's Foreign Affairs Ministry said in a statement that PM Lee and Mr Ban exchanged views on the global economic crisis and discussed the UN chief's upcoming visit to Myanmar.
'PM Lee emphasised the importance of the continued engagement of the international community through the UN,' the statement said.
He also reiterated Singapore's 'support for the good offices of the UN Secretary-General and his Special Adviser Ibrahim Gambari's work on Myanmar'.
PM Lee and Mr Ban exchanged views on challenges facing the international community, including the economic crisis. At dinner, SM Goh discussed his recent four-day visit to Myanmar and Singapore's perspective on developments there.
'SM Goh emphasised the important role that the UN could play to help bring about national reconciliation in Myanmar by engaging all the stakeholders,' the statement said.
When SM Goh visited Myanmar last month, he urged its military government not to allow the ongoing trial of pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi to derail the national reconciliation process, and to ensure that national elections, to be held next year, are free and fair.
SM Goh said at the time that Myanmar's leaders understood the need to democratise, but they were being practical and doing it cautiously, step by step.
In March, PM Lee met visiting Myanmar Prime Minister Thein Sein and urged Myanmar to take bolder steps towards national reconciliation and engaging the international community. 'Singapore will do what we can, provided Myanmar considers this helpful,' he said at that time.
UN chief to lobby Myanmar for Suu Kyi's release
UN chief to lobby Myanmar for Suu Kyi's release
1 hour ago
YANGON, Myanmar (AP) — The U.N. secretary-general said ahead of his trip Friday to Myanmar that he plans to lobby the military-ruled country's top leader directly for the release of pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi.
U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon was due to arrive in Yangon early Friday and then fly to the country's new administrative capital of Naypyitaw for meetings with leaders. Suu Kyi, currently on trial for allegedly violating terms of her house arrest, said Thursday she has not been informed of any plans for her to meet with Ban during his visit.
Ban told reporters traveling with him late Thursday that his talks would focus on gaining the release of all political prisoners including Suu Kyi; resumption of dialogue between the military government and its opposition; and creating conditions for credible elections.
He will meet with top junta leader Senior Gen. Than Shwe and Prime Minister Gen. Thein Sein.
"This is going to be, I know, a very difficult mission. But as the same time I know that to bring changes to Myanmar, political conciliation and democratization, we need to do our best," Ban told reporters while en route to Myanmar.
He said he would "convey the concerns of the international community, about the slow pace of political conciliation and democratization process."
"First of all I'm going to argue for the release of all political prisoners, including Aung San Suu Kyi," Ban said, adding that he would raise Suu Kyi's case directly with Than Shwe.
The secretary-general is also scheduled to meet leaders from Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy, other political parties and some ethnic minorities.
While some senior party members from the league have been informed that they will have an opportunity to meet Ban, a spokesman for the party, Nyan Win, told reporters there is "no indication" that he would meet Suu Kyi.
Suu Kyi said that if they did speak, she did not intend to discuss her current trial for violating the terms of her house arrest, he said.
Nyan Win, who is also one of her lawyers, said that Suu Kyi told her lawyers that her trial is not her priority, adding that "she's interested only in national reconciliation."
He added: "The U.N. Secretary-General ought to meet ... Aung San Suu Kyi in order to resolve Myanmar's political problems."
Suu Kyi, who has been in detention without trial for more than 13 of the past 19 years, is being held in Insein Prison while her trial is under way. If found guilty, she could be sentenced to five years in prison.
She was charged after an uninvited visitor, 53-year-old American John W. Yettaw, swam secretly to her lakeside house in May and stayed for two days. Final testimony in the case is expected Friday.
In Japan on Tuesday, Ban reiterated his call for the junta to free Suu Kyi and all of its estimated 2,100 political prisoners.
Associated Press writer John Heilprin contributed to this report from Singapore.
1 hour ago
YANGON, Myanmar (AP) — The U.N. secretary-general said ahead of his trip Friday to Myanmar that he plans to lobby the military-ruled country's top leader directly for the release of pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi.
U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon was due to arrive in Yangon early Friday and then fly to the country's new administrative capital of Naypyitaw for meetings with leaders. Suu Kyi, currently on trial for allegedly violating terms of her house arrest, said Thursday she has not been informed of any plans for her to meet with Ban during his visit.
Ban told reporters traveling with him late Thursday that his talks would focus on gaining the release of all political prisoners including Suu Kyi; resumption of dialogue between the military government and its opposition; and creating conditions for credible elections.
He will meet with top junta leader Senior Gen. Than Shwe and Prime Minister Gen. Thein Sein.
"This is going to be, I know, a very difficult mission. But as the same time I know that to bring changes to Myanmar, political conciliation and democratization, we need to do our best," Ban told reporters while en route to Myanmar.
He said he would "convey the concerns of the international community, about the slow pace of political conciliation and democratization process."
"First of all I'm going to argue for the release of all political prisoners, including Aung San Suu Kyi," Ban said, adding that he would raise Suu Kyi's case directly with Than Shwe.
The secretary-general is also scheduled to meet leaders from Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy, other political parties and some ethnic minorities.
While some senior party members from the league have been informed that they will have an opportunity to meet Ban, a spokesman for the party, Nyan Win, told reporters there is "no indication" that he would meet Suu Kyi.
Suu Kyi said that if they did speak, she did not intend to discuss her current trial for violating the terms of her house arrest, he said.
Nyan Win, who is also one of her lawyers, said that Suu Kyi told her lawyers that her trial is not her priority, adding that "she's interested only in national reconciliation."
He added: "The U.N. Secretary-General ought to meet ... Aung San Suu Kyi in order to resolve Myanmar's political problems."
Suu Kyi, who has been in detention without trial for more than 13 of the past 19 years, is being held in Insein Prison while her trial is under way. If found guilty, she could be sentenced to five years in prison.
She was charged after an uninvited visitor, 53-year-old American John W. Yettaw, swam secretly to her lakeside house in May and stayed for two days. Final testimony in the case is expected Friday.
In Japan on Tuesday, Ban reiterated his call for the junta to free Suu Kyi and all of its estimated 2,100 political prisoners.
Associated Press writer John Heilprin contributed to this report from Singapore.
UN chief set for mission in Burma
Mr Ban has called for the release of all political prisoners
UN chief Ban Ki Moon will arrive in Burma shortly to seek the release of political prisoners including opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi.
Mr Ban will hold talks with Burma's military leader Gen Than Shwe.
Ms Suu Kyi, a Nobel Peace laureate, has spent much of the past two decades in prison or under house arrest.
Her trial on charges of breaking the terms of her house arrest is about to resume after an interruption of more than a month.
Ms Suu Kyi's lawyers have been appealing against the judge's ban on testimony from three defence witnesses. One additional defence witness will now be allowed to testify.
International outrage
The trial of 64-year-old Ms Suu Kyi has caused outrage around the world.
Aung San Suu Kyi is head of the National League for Democracy party
Critics of Burma's military government have dismissed it as a ruse to keep the opposition leader locked up until after next year's election.
The BBC's Jonathan Head says Mr Ban's two-day visit is risky - coinciding with the resumption of Ms Suu Kyi's trial - but he is calculating he will get meaningful concessions from Burma's military rulers.
Although previous UN visits have been unsuccessful, it is possible the country's leaders are looking for a face-saving way out, and Mr Ban could be the person to deliver it, our correspondent says.
He has called for the immediate release of all Burma's political prisoners, thought to number more than 2,000.
"Through my meetings... I will convey exactly what the international community expects and wishes [regarding] the way they want to see changes in Myanmar [Burma]," he told reporters in Singapore before his departure.
The secretary general may be rewarded with the release of a small number, but our correspondent says that won't appease critics who argue he shouldn't be making this visit at all.
Suu Kyi request
It is not clear if Mr Ban will be allowed to meet Ms Suu Kyi, although he is due to meet members of her National League for Democracy (NLD) and other opposition activists.
UN chief Ban Ki Moon will arrive in Burma shortly to seek the release of political prisoners including opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi.
Mr Ban will hold talks with Burma's military leader Gen Than Shwe.
Ms Suu Kyi, a Nobel Peace laureate, has spent much of the past two decades in prison or under house arrest.
Her trial on charges of breaking the terms of her house arrest is about to resume after an interruption of more than a month.
Ms Suu Kyi's lawyers have been appealing against the judge's ban on testimony from three defence witnesses. One additional defence witness will now be allowed to testify.
International outrage
The trial of 64-year-old Ms Suu Kyi has caused outrage around the world.
Aung San Suu Kyi is head of the National League for Democracy party
Critics of Burma's military government have dismissed it as a ruse to keep the opposition leader locked up until after next year's election.
The BBC's Jonathan Head says Mr Ban's two-day visit is risky - coinciding with the resumption of Ms Suu Kyi's trial - but he is calculating he will get meaningful concessions from Burma's military rulers.
Although previous UN visits have been unsuccessful, it is possible the country's leaders are looking for a face-saving way out, and Mr Ban could be the person to deliver it, our correspondent says.
He has called for the immediate release of all Burma's political prisoners, thought to number more than 2,000.
"Through my meetings... I will convey exactly what the international community expects and wishes [regarding] the way they want to see changes in Myanmar [Burma]," he told reporters in Singapore before his departure.
The secretary general may be rewarded with the release of a small number, but our correspondent says that won't appease critics who argue he shouldn't be making this visit at all.
Suu Kyi request
It is not clear if Mr Ban will be allowed to meet Ms Suu Kyi, although he is due to meet members of her National League for Democracy (NLD) and other opposition activists.
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