STORM WARNING FOR:
CHITTAGONG
COX's BAZAR
BARISA
KHULRA
COMILLA
WTIO31 PGTW 170900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (BIJLI) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (BIJLI) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 20.4N 89.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N 89.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 21.5N 91.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 22.0N 92.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 22.4N 93.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
170900Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 89.5E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (BIJLI) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON
ANIMATED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INCLUDING A
17/0130Z SSMIS PASS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 50 KNOTS IS
CONSISTENT WITH DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM PGTW, KNES, AND DEMS. TC 01B
HAS TURNED MORE EASTWARD ALONG NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTRO-
PICAL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE CYCLONE HAS MAINTAINED
INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AS SUPPRESSED OUTFLOW BALANCES THE
FAVORABLE INFLUENCES OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND PASSAGE OVER WARM
WATER. THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS AND SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL IN
SOUTHEASTERN BANGLADESH AROUND TAU 18. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DISSIPATE
RAPIDLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS HIGHER INLAND TERRAIN. THE CURRENT FORECAST
IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 171500Z AND 172100Z.//
NNNN
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
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posted by moderatorImage Hosted by ImageShack.us1:29 PM
Cyclone may hit Bengal in 48 hours, 6 districts on alert
Kolkata: Six districts in West Bengal were put on alert on Thursday in view of cyclone Bijli, which lay centred 680 kms to the south and south-west of Kolkata.
“The cyclone is likely to move in a north-westerly direction,” a regional meteorological department official said. The cyclone is likely to hit West Bengal in the next 48 hours.
State Relief Minister Mortaza Hossain said six cyclone-prone districts — Midnapore West, Midnapore East, South 24 Parganas, North 24 Parganas, and parts of Hooghy and Howrah — have been alerted to tackle any eventuality.
“The cyclone may hit the Orissa coast. Later, it may affect either West Bengal or Bangladesh. We have alerted the district magistrates of these districts,” Hossain said. An emergency control room has been set up in the state relief department. he added.
The Met department has said that strong gale at 60-70 km/per hour to 80 km/per hour is likely to prevail along and off the Orissa coast during the next 48 hours, accompanied by rain or thunder showers.
“Heavy rainfall and isolated thunder squall is likely in the coastal regions of Andhra Pradesh, Orissa and West Bengal. The sea will be very rough and fishermen are advised not to venture into sea,” said an official of the Alipore Met department.
Accordingly, the cyclone centre is transmitting local cautionary signal at Gopalpur, Puri, Paradip and Chandbali. “We have received a warning that the storm is moving towards Paradip and Visakhapatnam and from Paradip it is likely to move towards Sagar Islands in West Bengal. It is likely to be diverted to Bangladesh. We have informed all the port users and ship owners to take adequate measures,” said an official of the Kolkata Port Trust.
indianexpress
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posted by moderatorImage Hosted by ImageShack.us1:20 PM
Cyclone alert for coastal areas
KOLKATA, April 16: The National Disaster Management Authority, New Delhi, and the Regional Meteorological Centre, Kolkata, today issued a caution stating that a cyclonic storm could hit coastal parts of the state in the next 48 hours.
The cyclonic trough, named Bijli, formed over the west central part of the Bay of Bengal, was centred at about 380 km away from Paradeep at 8.30 a.m. today. The warning issued also stated that the cyclone is likely to get more intense and move towards the north and north-west before taking a curved route.
Heavy rainfall or thundershowers were predicted for some coastal districts as well as a few places along the Gangetic West Bengal.
The state has been asked to ask the fishermen in these areas not to venture out into the sea for the next 48 hours, as a strong gale with a speed of upto 80 km per hour might blow over the coastal areas and the sea would be very rough.
The state government has put the coastal districts on full alert following the advisory.
A senior official at Writers’ Buildings said that all the district magistrates have been asked to put the disaster management cell on alert so that losses could be minimised if the cyclone hits the state.
The state government has taken initiatives to keep the disaster management cell ready to handle a crisis of this sort. A meeting was held at Writers’ Buildings in this regard a few days ago.
“As per the warning, the cyclone could hit the adjoining coastal districts of Orissa in the next 48 hours. We have asked the officials of coastal districts to be ready to handle the situation in an efficient manner if the storm hits. We have already taken all possible steps," an official said.
News update from www.candle4burma.ning.com
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